NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Bears
Washington Football Team
51.8%
48.2%
+215
-250
+230
-250
+5½-110
-5½-110
+5½-108
-5½-108
25
24
-1.17866-1.21110-0.65776
Buffalo Bills
Atlanta Falcons
65.1%
34.9%
-186
+165
-190
+175
-3½-105
+3½-113
-3½+100
+3½-105
14
24
-1.00188-1.03022-1.05374
Detroit Lions
Kansas City Chiefs
10.2%
89.8%
+130
-150
+135
-145
+2½+100
-2½-115
+2½+105
-2½-110
17
30
-0.54502-0.54173-0.10707
Cincinnati Bengals
Green Bay Packers
11.3%
88.7%
+776
-900
+800
-950
+14-110
-14-110
+14-108
-14-108
18
27
-0.11943-0.11583-0.12006
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25.6%
74.4%
+163
-180
+170
-185
+3½-115
-3½+100
+3½-108
-3-110
19
30
-0.46466-0.45144-0.29543
Tennessee Titans
Las Vegas Raiders
59.8%
40.2%
+170
-195
+175
-188
+3½-110
-3½-110
+3½+100
-3½-107
10
20
-0.44488-0.44281-0.91051
New England Patriots
New Orleans Saints
21.4%
78.6%
-170
+157
-175
+160
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
25
19
-0.48119-0.47276-1.54075
Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins
32.5%
67.5%
-180
+157
-180
+175
-3½-102
+3½-115
-3½+100
+3½-105
29
27
-0.47331-0.44830-1.12347
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
42.4%
57.6%
-153
+135
-145
+140
-3+100
+3-120
-3+100
+3-107
27
30
-0.88424-0.88394-0.55227
Seattle Seahawks
Jacksonville Jaguars
87.5%
12.5%
-118
+100
-115
+100
-1-110
+1-109
-1-108
+1½-110
20
12
-0.65427-0.66000-0.13395
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
36.7%
63.3%
-300
+250
-310
+290
-7+100
+6½-105
-6½+100
+7-120
17
3
-0.32277-0.29201-1.00128
Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts
36.7%
63.3%
+316
-400
+370
-410
+8½+100
-9+100
+9-110
-8½-110
27
31
-0.26273-0.23481-0.45806
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
30.0%
70.0%
+263
-310
+250
-285
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½-108
-6-110
9
23
-0.31068-0.32640-0.35716
Denver Broncos
New York Jets
62.8%
37.2%
-330
+303
-325
+315
-7-105
+7-110
-7-108
+7-108
13
11
-0.28015-0.27391-0.46485
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
52.4%
47.6%
-410
+344
-400
+345
-7½-110
+7½-110
-7½+100
+8-110
17
34
-1.51937-1.51731-0.74322
Kansas City Chiefs
Jacksonville Jaguars
92.7%
7.3%
-193
+168
-185
+170
-3½+105
+3½-115
-3½+105
+3½-110
28
31
-1.01716-1.01255-2.62210
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.