NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
27.2%
72.8%
+365
-465
+375
-420
+7½-110
-7½-105
+8-110
-7½-105
23
20
-1.57422-1.57620-1.30317
Washington Football Team
Los Angeles Chargers
44.0%
56.0%
+150
-170
+155
-170
+3+100
-3-115
+3½-110
-3-108
27
10
-0.94549-0.95763-0.82175
Detroit Lions
Cincinnati Bengals
52.3%
47.7%
-490
+415
-500
+450
-10+100
+9-105
-8½-110
+10-110
37
24
-0.21009-0.19737-0.64848
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Seattle Seahawks
48.4%
51.6%
+172
-197
+170
-190
+4-110
-4-105
+3½-105
-3½-108
38
35
-1.03111-1.01846-0.72551
Tennessee Titans
Arizona Cardinals
51.3%
48.7%
+347
-445
+355
-400
+7½-105
-7½-110
+7½-107
-7½-108
22
21
-1.53684-1.53470-0.66717
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
17.5%
82.5%
-135
+120
-140
+120
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-110
+2½-107
44
10
-0.58291-0.57618-1.74440
New York Giants
New Orleans Saints
12.5%
87.5%
+118
-135
+120
-135
+2½-110
-2½-109
+2½-108
-2-110
14
26
-0.58695-0.58291-0.13365
Denver Broncos
Philadelphia Eagles
37.3%
62.7%
+186
-220
+195
-220
+4-110
-4-110
+4-108
-4-108
21
17
-1.08729-1.10794-0.98728
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
29.2%
70.8%
+289
-360
+300
-350
+7-105
-7½+100
+7½-110
-7½+100
6
40
-0.28404-0.27871-0.34518
Dallas Cowboys
New York Jets
62.3%
37.7%
+107
-125
+120
-120
+1+100
-2-110
+2-108
-1-110
37
22
-0.76548-0.78845-0.47329
Miami Dolphins
Carolina Panthers
56.3%
43.7%
-113
+100
-115
+100
-1-105
+1-113
-1-108
+1-108
24
27
-0.72321-0.72743-0.82720
Minnesota Vikings
Cleveland Browns
47.5%
52.5%
-191
+166
-180
+165
-3½+100
+3½-115
-3½+105
+3½-110
21
17
-0.45284-0.46185-0.74480
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
32.5%
67.5%
+350
-440
+360
-420
+8-105
-8-110
+8½-110
-7½-110
26
23
-1.54043-1.55084-1.12365
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
38.4%
61.6%
+350
-400
+375
-450
+7+100
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
3
28
-0.24512-0.22897-0.48391
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
18.2%
81.8%
+135
-155
+145
-150
+3-120
-2½-120
+3-110
-2½-120
21
27
-0.53067-0.51896-0.20119
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
76.2%
23.8%
-330
+278
-335
+285
-6½-107
+6½-105
-6½-105
+6½-105
40
40
-0.82870-0.83406-0.85412
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.