NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+118
-135
+130
-138
+1+108
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-108
13.9
24.6
38.5
o34½-110
u34½-104
o35-110
u35-110
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
+103
-120
+107
-115
+1-105
-1-111
+1½-110
-1-108
15.7
22.5
38.2
o43½-115
u44-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-121
+105
-128
+110
-1½-110
+1-103
-2-108
+2-108
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46-113
u46½-110
o46-110
u46½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+250
-285
+255
-285
+6½-110
-6½-105
+6½+100
-6½-108
21.6
28.7
50.3
o38½-110
u38-105
o38½-110
u39-110
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+130
-145
+131
-150
+3-120
-2½-118
+3-110
-2½-120
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49½-105
u49-105
o49-110
u49½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+230
-275
+260
-261
+6-105
-6-111
+6½-110
-6½+105
15.3
30.9
46.2
o41-110
u41-110
o40-110
u41-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+140
-156
+140
-152
+3-110
-3-108
+3-108
-3+100
23.2
21.2
44.4
o37½-107
u37+100
o37-110
u38-110
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+215
-255
+225
-260
+5½-105
-6-105
+6-108
-6-108
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+180
-210
+190
-210
+4½-114
-4-110
+4½-108
-4-110
23.3
30.1
53.4
o41½-110
u41½-105
o41½-110
u42-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-158
+138
-145
+135
-2½-125
+3-110
-3+100
+3-108
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-115
-104
-118
+105
-1-110
+1-110
-1-108
+1½-110
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47½-110
u47½-110
o47½-110
u47½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-275
+255
-273
+260
-6½+100
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-108
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43½-105
u43½-115
o43½-110
u43½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-165
+145
-163
+145
-3-110
+3-105
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46½-105
u46½-110
o46-110
u46½-110
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Seahawks
Detroit Lions
75.7%
24.3%
+150
-170
+165
-165
+3+101
-3-113
+3½-110
-3-110
48
45
-0.94549-0.97456-0.27893
Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans
45.0%
55.0%
-240
+210
-235
+220
-5½-109
+5½-106
-5½-110
+6-110
34
24
-0.37637-0.36844-0.79802
Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens
40.5%
59.5%
-170
+155
-160
+155
-3-119
+3+110
-3-115
+3½-110
23
20
-0.48418-0.49303-0.90444
Chicago Bears
New York Giants
57.8%
42.2%
+130
-149
+130
-148
+3-119
-3+101
+3-115
-2½-110
12
20
-0.54614-0.54728-0.86332
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
43.3%
56.7%
+183
-210
+176
-190
+4½-110
-4-109
+4-110
-4-110
24
17
-1.07058-1.03257-0.83686
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
25.7%
74.3%
-205
+180
-200
+180
-4-107
+4-105
-4-110
+4½-110
28
25
-0.42615-0.42898-1.35868
Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati Bengals
68.7%
31.3%
+180
-200
+180
-200
+4-109
-4-109
+4-110
-4-110
15
27
-0.42898-0.42898-1.16267
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
49.9%
50.1%
+105
-123
+108
-115
+0+103
-1-114
+1½-110
-1-110
23
16
-0.75647-0.74790-0.69509
San Francisco 49ers
Denver Broncos
62.3%
37.7%
-120
+110
-120
+110
-1-109
+1½-105
-1-110
+2-110
10
11
-0.76336-0.76336-0.97633
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
53.1%
46.9%
-175
+155
-170
+160
-3½+101
+3+105
-3½+100
+3½-110
20
12
-0.48012-0.47678-0.63273
Atlanta Falcons
Seattle Seahawks
25.2%
74.8%
-104
-110
+100
-110
+0-103
-1-104
+1-110
+0-110
27
23
-0.70680-0.71668-1.37948
Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
44.8%
55.2%
+105
-120
+105
-120
+0+103
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1-110
14
12
-0.75056-0.75056-0.80234
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
22.9%
77.1%
+240
-260
+225
-200
+6½-105
-7+110
+6½-110
-4-110
38
10
-1.23998-1.15268-1.47604
Houston Texans
Chicago Bears
37.4%
62.6%
+150
-165
+150
-160
+3-105
-3-109
+3-110
-3-110
20
23
-0.49617-0.50078-0.46890
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Football Team
46.4%
53.6%
-245
+210
-220
+220
-5½-109
+5½-109
-5½-110
+6-110
24
8
-0.37449-0.37469-0.76865
Las Vegas Raiders
Tennessee Titans
30.2%
69.8%
-130
+115
-129
+125
-2-109
+1+103
-2-110
+2½-110
22
24
-0.79536-0.81867-0.35954
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.78021 
Sportsbooks168-7 (0.531)1-0.77730 
DRatings1610-6 (0.625)0-0.68033
0.09988
0.09697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.