NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+118
-135
+125
-138
+1+108
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-108
13.9
24.6
38.5
o34½-110
u34½-104
o35-110
u35-110
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
+102
-120
+107
-115
+1-109
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1-108
15.7
22.5
38.2
o43½-115
u44-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-121
+105
-128
+110
-1½-110
+1-103
-2-108
+2-108
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46-113
u46½-110
o46-110
u46½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+250
-285
+255
-285
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½+100
-6½-108
21.3
28.4
49.7
o38½-110
u38-105
o38½-110
u39-110
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+130
-143
+131
-150
+3-120
-2½-117
+3-110
-2½-120
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49½-105
u49½-110
o49-110
u49½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+230
-275
+260
-261
+6-105
-6-111
+6½-110
-6½+105
15.3
30.9
46.2
o41-110
u41-110
o40-110
u41-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+136
-156
+140
-152
+3-110
-3-108
+3-108
-3+100
23.2
21.2
44.4
o37½-105
u37+100
o37-110
u38-110
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+215
-255
+225
-260
+5½-105
-5½-115
+6-108
-6-108
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+180
-210
+190
-210
+4½-114
-4-110
+4½-108
-4-110
23.5
30.2
53.7
o41½-110
u41½-105
o41½-110
u42-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-158
+138
-145
+135
-2½-125
+3-110
-3+100
+3-108
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-118
+100
-118
+105
-1-110
+1-108
-1-108
+1½-110
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47½-110
u47½-110
o47½-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-275
+255
-273
+260
-6½+100
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-108
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43½-105
u43½-115
o43½-110
u43½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-165
+145
-163
+145
-3-110
+3-105
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46½-105
u46½-110
o46-110
u46½-110
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Chiefs
Indianapolis Colts
64.3%
35.7%
-220
+195
-210
+195
-4½-109
+5-110
-4½-110
+5-110
17
20
-1.10794-1.09808-1.02912
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
30.9%
69.1%
+235
-275
+237
-260
+6½-109
-7+105
+6½-110
-6½-110
24
28
-0.34150-0.34421-0.36940
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
76.9%
23.1%
-123
+115
-130
+115
-2-104
+2-109
-2-110
+2-110
14
22
-0.78202-0.79536-1.46482
Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets
51.3%
48.7%
-255
+235
-270
+240
-6-110
+6½-109
-6½-110
+6½-110
27
12
-0.34753-0.33865-0.66824
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
60.2%
39.8%
-195
+180
-200
+181
-4½-104
+4½-110
-4½-110
+4½-110
19
21
-1.04762-1.05547-0.92218
Baltimore Ravens
New England Patriots
67.0%
33.0%
-135
+130
-139
+130
-2½-110
+2½-104
-2½-110
+2½-105
37
26
-0.56352-0.55823-0.40027
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
60.0%
40.0%
+195
-210
+195
-212
+4½-109
-4½-109
+4½-110
-4½-110
17
29
-0.40573-0.40471-0.91524
Minnesota Vikings
Philadelphia Eagles
53.1%
46.9%
+130
-140
+130
-145
+3-116
-3+101
+3-110
-2½-119
7
24
-0.55696-0.55080-0.75634
Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills
38.9%
61.1%
+365
-425
+390
-430
+10-114
-11+108
+10-110
-9½-110
7
41
-0.23558-0.22437-0.49295
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
21.6%
78.4%
+395
-435
+400
-430
+10-105
-11+108
+10½-110
-10-110
10
27
-0.22191-0.22035-0.24358
Arizona Cardinals
Las Vegas Raiders
53.0%
47.0%
+205
-230
+213
-240
+5½-109
-5½-107
+5½-110
-5½-110
29
23
-1.13968-1.16607-0.63394
Houston Texans
Denver Broncos
50.1%
49.9%
+430
-510
+425
-500
+10½-109
-11+108
+10½-110
-10-110
9
16
-0.20349-0.20586-0.69521
Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas Cowboys
33.8%
66.2%
-319
+280
-320
+290
-8+110
+7-102
-7-110
+7-101
17
20
-1.35919-1.37912-0.41235
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
61.5%
38.5%
+318
-375
+320
-370
+8½-109
-10+110
+8½-110
-8½-110
7
27
-0.26469-0.26425-0.95469
Atlanta Falcons
Los Angeles Rams
28.7%
71.3%
+420
-490
+425
-470
+10-105
-11+108
+10-110
-10-110
27
31
-0.20828-0.20784-0.33846
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers
27.6%
72.4%
-155
+141
-155
+140
-3-105
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
17
14
-0.52037-0.52206-1.28674
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.78021 
Sportsbooks168-7 (0.531)1-0.77730 
DRatings1610-6 (0.625)0-0.68033
0.09988
0.09697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.