NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+115
-134
+125
-138
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-108
-2½-108
13.9
24.6
38.5
o35-105
u35-112
o35-110
u35-110
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
+105
-125
+107
-115
+1½-110
-1-113
+1½-110
-1-108
15.7
22.5
38.2
o44-110
u44-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-125
+110
-128
+110
-1½-110
+2-110
-2-108
+2-108
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46½-110
u46½-110
o46-110
u46½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+240
-285
+255
-285
+6½-108
-6½-105
+6½+100
-6½-108
21.3
28.4
49.7
o38½-110
u38-105
o38½-110
u39-110
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+125
-140
+133
-145
+2½+100
-2½-113
+3-110
-2½-115
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49-110
u49½-114
o49-110
u49½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+230
-270
+260
-260
+6-109
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-108
15.3
30.9
46.2
o41-110
u41½-115
o41-110
u41-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+135
-155
+135
-148
+3-119
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-120
23.2
21.2
44.4
o37-112
u37½-110
o37-110
u38-110
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+215
-255
+225
-260
+5½-105
-6-103
+6-108
-6-108
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+190
-220
+190
-210
+4-105
-4-115
+4½-108
-4-110
23.5
30.2
53.7
o41½-110
u41½-105
o41½-110
u42-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-158
+138
-145
+130
-3-105
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-120
+100
-118
+105
-1-110
+1-108
-1-108
+1½-110
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47-120
u48-110
o47½-110
u48-110
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-280
+240
-274
+260
-6½-105
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-108
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43-110
u44½-110
o44-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-160
+142
-160
+145
-3-110
+3-102
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46-115
u46½-110
o46-110
u46½-110
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
41.4%
58.6%
+165
-185
+165
-175
+3½-104
-3½-109
+4-110
-3½-105
17
31
-0.45828-0.46561-0.53469
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
78.7%
21.3%
-192
+175
-190
+185
-4-109
+4-105
-4-110
+4-110
30
37
-1.03254-1.05334-1.54473
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
42.0%
58.0%
-275
+235
-260
+225
-6½-104
+6½-105
-6-110
+6½-110
51
26
-0.34150-0.35489-0.86743
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
85.8%
14.2%
-615
+500
-600
+500
-11½-109
+12-105
-11½-110
+12-110
28
24
-0.17712-0.17768-0.15334
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
30.0%
70.0%
-105
+102
+100
+112
+0-109
+1½-110
+1½-110
+2-110
14
26
-0.71031-0.72270-0.35716
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
23.8%
76.2%
+550
-700
+540
-690
+13-105
-12½-105
+12½-110
-12½-110
10
37
-0.16198-0.16458-0.27215
Detroit Lions
Seattle Seahawks
17.1%
82.9%
+330
-410
+340
-360
+9-104
-9-113
+9½-110
-8½-110
29
51
-0.25408-0.25496-0.18796
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
16.2%
83.8%
+265
-290
+250
-280
+7-110
-7-103
+7-110
-6½-115
10
18
-0.31367-0.32768-0.17664
Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys
61.5%
38.5%
+230
-260
+235
-260
+6½-109
-6½-107
+6½-110
-6-110
25
22
-1.21885-1.22946-0.48591
Houston Texans
San Francisco 49ers
32.7%
67.3%
+500
-615
+600
-600
+13½-103
-13½-114
+14-110
-13½-110
7
23
-0.17712-0.15415-0.39643
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
38.5%
61.5%
+295
-360
+312
-350
+8-109
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-110
13
34
-0.28027-0.27160-0.48652
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
36.7%
63.3%
-310
+260
-310
+290
-7-109
+7-105
-7-110
+7½-115
20
19
-0.31290-0.29201-1.00128
Miami Dolphins
Tennessee Titans
34.8%
65.2%
+153
-170
+150
-160
+3+101
-3-119
+3+100
-3-110
3
34
-0.48721-0.50078-0.42783
Jacksonville Jaguars
New England Patriots
16.8%
83.2%
+820
-1200
+980
-1400
+17½-110
-17-109
+17½-115
-17-110
10
50
-0.11132-0.09459-0.18443
Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals
88.6%
11.4%
-190
+170
-180
+170
-3½-109
+3½-105
-3½-110
+4-110
31
34
-1.01846-1.00641-2.17164
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Football Team
46.4%
53.6%
-250
+215
-260
+225
-6-109
+6-109
-6-110
+6-110
20
16
-0.36772-0.35489-0.76865
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.78021 
Sportsbooks168-7 (0.531)1-0.77730 
DRatings1610-6 (0.625)0-0.68033
0.09988
0.09697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.