NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+120
-135
+130
-140
+2½-105
-2½-114
+2½+100
-2½-108
13.9
24.6
38.5
o35-105
u36-110
o35½-110
u36-110
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
+109
-125
+107
-115
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1-110
15.7
22.5
38.2
o44-110
u44-110
o44-110
u44-110
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-125
+107
-125
+110
-1½-110
+1½-110
-2-108
+2-108
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46½-110
u46½-110
o46-110
u46½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+240
-285
+255
-285
+6½-115
-6½-105
+6½+100
-6½-108
21.3
28.4
49.7
o38½-110
u38-105
o38½-110
u39-110
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+125
-140
+130
-138
+2½+100
-2½-113
+3-120
-2½-110
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49-110
u49½-110
o49-110
u49½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+225
-265
+245
-260
+6-110
-6-109
+6-108
-6-108
15.3
30.9
46.2
o40½-110
u41½-115
o41-110
u41-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+146
-160
+145
-148
+3-119
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-120
23.2
21.2
44.4
o37-112
u37½-110
o37-110
u37½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+215
-240
+225
-235
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-108
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+180
-205
+180
-195
+4-105
-4-110
+4-108
-4-108
23.5
30.2
53.7
o41½-110
u41½-105
o41½-110
u41½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-158
+138
-145
+130
-3-105
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-120
+101
-118
+105
-1-110
+1-107
-1-108
+1½-110
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47½-110
u47+100
o47½-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-280
+240
-274
+250
-6½-105
+6½-112
-6-108
+6½-110
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43-110
u44½-110
o44-110
u44½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-160
+142
-160
+145
-3-110
+3-103
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46-115
u46½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
Buffalo Bills
25.6%
74.4%
+690
-890
+750
-1000
+14½-115
-14-109
+14-110
-14-110
15
29
-0.13173-0.12170-0.29566
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Jets
86.7%
13.3%
-870
+670
-850
+660
-14½-104
+14½-110
-14½-105
+14½-110
28
24
-0.13522-0.13721-0.14265
New York Giants
Chicago Bears
31.9%
68.1%
+245
-285
+240
-280
+6½-109
-6½-109
+6½-110
-6½-110
3
29
-0.33042-0.33588-0.38446
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
29.2%
70.8%
+320
-395
+330
-370
+8½-109
-9½+100
+8½-110
-8½-110
23
20
-1.47050-1.47819-1.23131
Miami Dolphins
New Orleans Saints
23.7%
76.3%
-164
+155
-160
+155
-3-119
+3½-115
-3-110
+3+100
20
3
-0.48937-0.49303-1.44088
Washington Football Team
Dallas Cowboys
45.1%
54.9%
+380
-460
+379
-430
+10-105
-10-109
+10-110
-10-110
14
56
-0.22604-0.22899-0.60055
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
31.7%
68.3%
-110
-107
-105
-110
+0-105
+1-112
+1-110
+0-110
13
17
-0.69981-0.68201-0.38167
Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs
29.5%
70.5%
+350
-425
+380
-420
+10-108
-10-109
+10½-110
-10-110
10
36
-0.24256-0.22948-0.34986
Chicago Bears
Seattle Seahawks
24.6%
75.4%
+270
-320
+260
-300
+7-107
-7-109
+7-110
-7-110
25
24
-1.33998-1.30833-1.40043
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
63.3%
36.7%
-104
-115
-105
-110
+1-109
+0-110
+1-110
+0-110
33
21
-0.71744-0.70441-0.45763
Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets
39.0%
61.0%
+115
-130
+120
-130
+2-109
-2-109
+2½-110
-2-110
21
26
-0.60042-0.59012-0.49499
Los Angeles Rams
Minnesota Vikings
59.1%
40.9%
-170
+155
-170
+164
-3½+100
+3½-113
-3-110
+3½-110
30
23
-0.48418-0.47101-0.52541
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
83.0%
17.0%
+290
-350
+304
-340
+7½-106
-7½-109
+7½-110
-7½-110
21
41
-0.28493-0.27788-1.77449
Detroit Lions
Atlanta Falcons
33.0%
67.0%
+290
-360
+320
-340
+7½-109
-7½-109
+7½-110
-7½-110
16
20
-0.28340-0.26860-0.40069
Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans
45.0%
55.0%
-650
+505
-600
+550
-13-107
+13-109
-13-110
+13½-110
29
41
-1.83152-1.88269-0.59824
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
36.8%
63.2%
+445
-525
+460
-500
+11-109
-11-108
+11-110
-10½-110
10
34
-0.19757-0.19416-0.45925
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.78021 
Sportsbooks168-7 (0.531)1-0.77730 
DRatings1610-6 (0.625)0-0.68033
0.09988
0.09697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.