NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
51.1%
48.9%
-260
+226
-240
+230
-6-105
+6-110
-6-108
+6-108
38
20
-0.35398-0.35718-0.67217
Pittsburgh Steelers
Las Vegas Raiders
64.6%
35.4%
-190
+165
-170
+175
-3½-110
+3½-110
-3-120
+3½-108
32
13
-0.45487-0.45586-0.43645
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
50.6%
49.4%
-160
+140
-152
+140
-3-105
+3-115
-3+104
+3-110
23
16
-0.51706-0.52520-0.68055
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
45.7%
54.3%
+115
-133
+125
-132
+2-105
-2½-110
+2½+100
-2½-108
20
17
-0.80078-0.82426-0.78320
Cleveland Browns
Philadelphia Eagles
55.6%
44.4%
+335
-390
+340
-392
+7½+100
-9-102
+8½-110
-8-108
16
20
-0.25374-0.25095-0.81108
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
41.2%
58.8%
-180
+160
-180
+160
-3½-105
+3½-115
-3½-105
+3½-110
51
27
-0.46893-0.46893-0.88617
Houston Texans
New England Patriots
34.9%
65.1%
-285
+258
-280
+250
-6½-105
+6½-110
-6½-105
+6½-105
41
21
-0.32015-0.32768-1.05208
Arizona Cardinals
Green Bay Packers
28.5%
71.5%
+215
-245
+210
-240
+5½-105
-5½-110
+5½-108
-5½-108
13
34
-0.36951-0.37637-0.33612
Washington Football Team
Baltimore Ravens
17.5%
82.5%
+260
-310
+265
-300
+7-114
-7-105
+7-108
-7-106
23
30
-0.31290-0.31137-0.19201
Jacksonville Jaguars
Chicago Bears
22.0%
78.0%
-128
+110
-125
+109
-2-105
+1-101
-1½-108
+2-110
16
35
-0.77884-0.77063-0.24815
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
28.7%
71.3%
-195
+170
-185
+175
-3½-110
+3½-110
-3½+100
+3½-110
36
24
-0.44488-0.44482-1.24876
New Orleans Saints
Kansas City Chiefs
37.0%
63.0%
+202
-230
+200
-224
+5½-115
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-108
13
26
-0.38873-0.39349-0.46134
Dallas Cowboys
Pittsburgh Steelers
19.9%
80.1%
+125
-142
+125
-138
+2½-103
-2½-110
+2½+100
-2½-110
20
17
-0.84169-0.83492-1.61380
New York Giants
Seattle Seahawks
16.1%
83.9%
+275
-330
+270
-300
+7-110
-7-107
+7-105
-7+100
29
20
-1.35530-1.32840-1.82896
Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Rams
53.2%
46.8%
-160
+140
-145
+145
-3-105
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
24
19
-0.51706-0.52452-0.63032
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
48.6%
51.4%
+290
-360
+300
-345
+7½-115
-7-115
+7+100
-7-110
24
23
-1.39926-1.41124-0.72216
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.