NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
58.0%
42.0%
+143
-163
+144
-155
+3-108
-3-110
+3-108
-3-108
18
34
-0.50921-0.51537-0.86838
Cleveland Browns
Washington Football Team
57.4%
42.6%
+138
-150
+135
-150
+3-110
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
13
34
-0.53079-0.53604-0.85360
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
47.7%
52.3%
-134
+120
-130
+112
-2-110
+2-105
-1½-110
+2-108
15
10
-0.58431-0.60679-0.74024
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
85.1%
14.9%
+180
-210
+180
-200
+4-105
-3½-116
+3½+100
-3½-108
34
37
-0.42344-0.42898-1.90053
Buffalo Bills
Houston Texans
72.0%
28.0%
+105
-125
+110
-120
+1-104
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1-110
20
23
-0.63023-0.62755-1.27386
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
83.0%
17.0%
-145
+127
-135
+125
-2½-116
+2½+105
-2½-108
+2½-108
41
38
-0.55638-0.57304-0.18581
Carolina Panthers
Chicago Bears
38.8%
61.2%
+175
-200
+180
-190
+4-110
-4-108
+4-108
-4-108
10
36
-0.43532-0.43510-0.49071
New York Jets
Minnesota Vikings
23.7%
76.3%
+125
-142
+124
-135
+2½-105
-2½-115
+2½-105
-2½-108
17
23
-0.56384-0.57499-0.27069
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
69.1%
30.9%
+120
-135
+130
-140
+2½-105
-2½-110
+2½-103
-2½-107
30
36
-0.58291-0.55696-1.17441
Seattle Seahawks
Detroit Lions
75.7%
24.3%
+190
-220
+200
-215
+4-105
-4-113
+4½-110
-4-108
29
42
-0.40651-0.39768-1.41301
Tennessee Titans
Miami Dolphins
54.6%
45.4%
+135
-155
+135
-150
+2½+100
-2½-118
+3-110
-2½-118
31
12
-0.88724-0.87962-0.60470
Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens
40.5%
59.5%
+130
-135
+130
-135
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+102
-2½-110
10
35
-0.56352-0.56352-0.51881
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers
82.5%
17.5%
-300
+310
-310
+280
-6½-113
+8-110
-7+100
+7-110
17
10
-0.28157-0.29866-0.19229
Cleveland Browns
Las Vegas Raiders
49.5%
50.5%
-105
+135
-145
+140
+1-115
+2½-102
-2½-120
+3-110
16
20
-0.79012-0.88394-0.68233
New England Patriots
San Francisco 49ers
42.1%
57.9%
+460
-525
+470
-580
+10½-114
-10-110
+11-110
-10½-108
13
30
-0.19275-0.18705-0.54633
Washington Football Team
Arizona Cardinals
29.2%
70.8%
+165
-185
+165
-175
+3½-110
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½+100
42
14
-1.00068-0.98819-1.23025
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.