NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-160
+140
-160
+150
-3-110
+3-108
-3-108
+3-105
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46-110
u46-105
o46½-110
u46½-110
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
38.1%
61.9%
+215
-247
+215
-235
+6-112
-5½-115
+6-110
-5½-108
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
2nd Q
01:55
14
7
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
29.3%
70.7%
+180
-197
+180
-195
+4-105
-4-112
+4½-108
-4-110
53.7
o41½-110
u41½-105
o41½-110
u41½-110
2nd Q
02:24
3
17
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
25.9%
74.1%
-151
+135
-145
+131
-3+100
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
2nd Q
04:24
13
7
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
75.7%
24.3%
-120
+100
-120
+110
-1-110
+1-108
-1½-108
+1½-108
48.7
o47½-110
u47+100
o47½-110
u47½-110
2nd Q
07:36
14
3
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
32.5%
67.5%
-265
+230
-260
+240
-6-105
+6½-115
-6-108
+6-108
53.0
o43-110
u44½-110
o44-110
u44½-110
2nd Q
04:12
14
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Lions
Denver Broncos
46.0%
54.0%
+475
-615
+500
-600
+12½-109
-12½-109
+12½-110
-12-110
10
38
-0.18414-0.17768-0.61554
Seattle Seahawks
Houston Texans
72.5%
27.5%
-425
+345
-420
+374
-9½-109
+9½-105
-9-110
+9½-110
33
13
-0.24498-0.23207-0.32193
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Football Team
43.8%
56.2%
-276
+235
-275
+250
-6½-109
+6½-109
-6-110
+6½-110
27
20
-0.34122-0.32902-0.82446
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
51.1%
48.9%
+120
-140
+125
-140
+3-125
-2½-113
+2½+100
-2½-110
29
21
-0.82563-0.83833-0.67217
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
64.4%
35.6%
+140
-157
+140
-150
+3-109
-3-109
+3-110
-3-101
22
24
-0.52002-0.52736-1.03167
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
10.6%
89.4%
+325
-400
+360
-400
+8½-109
-9-105
+8½-110
-8½-110
0
20
-0.25783-0.24038-0.11205
New Orleans Saints
New York Jets
88.2%
11.8%
-185
+180
-200
+184
-4½-104
+4½-114
-4½-110
+4½-110
30
9
-0.43838-0.42407-0.12587
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
15.5%
84.5%
+360
-450
+400
-420
+10-110
-9½-109
+10-110
-9½-110
9
48
-0.23562-0.22123-0.16869
Pittsburgh Steelers
Minnesota Vikings
62.4%
37.6%
+155
-170
+165
-170
+3½-119
-3½+101
+3½-110
-3½+100
28
36
-0.48418-0.46959-0.97686
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
27.2%
72.8%
+130
-145
+130
-144
+3-115
-3+101
+3-110
-2½-120
14
10
-0.85918-0.85755-1.30317
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
9.6%
90.4%
+330
-410
+340
-360
+9-110
-8½-109
+9-110
-7½-110
9
22
-0.25408-0.25496-0.10122
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
28.7%
71.3%
-136
+125
-130
+135
-2½-112
+3-119
-2½-110
+3-115
23
30
-0.83144-0.84513-0.33808
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
49.2%
50.8%
-190
+175
-190
+180
-4-108
+4-109
-4-110
+4-110
19
20
-1.03022-1.04185-0.67643
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Rams
9.9%
90.1%
+620
-750
+610
-810
+14-109
-14-109
+14-110
-14-105
7
37
-0.14618-0.14690-0.10465
Washington Football Team
Las Vegas Raiders
36.8%
63.2%
+110
-125
+110
-125
+1+102
-1½-109
+2½-110
-1½-110
17
15
-0.77319-0.77319-1.00008
New York Giants
Miami Dolphins
27.0%
73.0%
+255
-300
+264
-270
+7-110
-6½-119
+7-110
-6½-110
9
20
-0.31888-0.31953-0.31455
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks104-6 (0.400)0-0.79736 
Sportsbooks104-6 (0.400)0-0.80170 
DRatings105-5 (0.500)0-0.93174
-0.13438
-0.13004

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.