NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-160
+145
-160
+145
-3-110
+3-105
-3-108
+3+100
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46-110
u46-105
o46-110
u46½-110
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
25.9%
74.1%
-151
+135
-145
+131
-3+100
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
4th Q
00:29
20
13
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
75.7%
24.3%
-120
+100
-120
+110
-1-110
+1-108
-1½-108
+1½-108
48.7
o47½-110
u47+100
o47½-110
u47½-110
4th Q
03:05
28
18
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
32.5%
67.5%
-265
+230
-260
+240
-6-105
+6½-115
-6-108
+6-108
53.0
o43-110
u44½-110
o44-110
u44½-110
4th Q
00:42
24
24

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Football Team
Las Vegas Raiders
36.8%
63.2%
+110
-125
+110
-125
+1+102
-1½-109
+2½-110
-1½-110
17
15
-0.77319-0.77319-1.00008
New York Giants
Miami Dolphins
27.0%
73.0%
+255
-300
+264
-270
+7-110
-6½-119
+7-110
-6½-110
9
20
-0.31888-0.31953-0.31455
Los Angeles Chargers
Cincinnati Bengals
56.9%
43.1%
+125
-140
+130
-140
+2½+101
-3+110
+3-119
-2½-110
41
22
-0.83833-0.85085-0.56354
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Jets
64.7%
35.3%
-210
+185
-206
+195
-5-104
+5-110
-4½-110
+5½-110
33
18
-0.41737-0.40782-0.43617
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
68.2%
31.8%
-430
+360
-450
+400
-10-109
+10½-110
-10-110
+10½-110
31
0
-0.23739-0.21869-0.38232
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
69.1%
30.9%
-500
+420
-495
+425
-11-105
+10½-109
-10½-110
+11-110
30
17
-0.20764-0.20616-0.36962
Arizona Cardinals
Chicago Bears
53.7%
46.3%
-360
+310
-350
+310
-7½-114
+7½-102
-7½-110
+8-110
33
22
-0.27128-0.27275-0.62118
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
59.0%
41.0%
-305
+260
-310
+270
-7-109
+7-109
-7-110
+7-105
27
29
-1.31134-1.33435-0.89133
Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans Saints
15.1%
84.9%
-280
+240
-270
+250
-6½-114
+6½-104
-6½-110
+6½-101
27
17
-0.33588-0.33041-1.89140
Seattle Seahawks
Washington Football Team
72.5%
27.5%
-127
+110
-126
+115
-1½-107
+2-110
-1½-110
+2-110
15
17
-0.77699-0.78785-1.29033
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
26.3%
73.7%
+135
-155
+141
-155
+3-110
-3-106
+3-110
-3+100
10
16
-0.53067-0.52037-0.30450
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
36.1%
63.9%
-125
+108
-118
+110
-1½-110
+1+100
-1½-110
+2-110
28
36
-0.76804-0.75927-0.44755
Minnesota Vikings
San Francisco 49ers
42.5%
57.5%
+175
-190
+176
-190
+4-105
-4-109
+4-110
-4-110
26
34
-0.44150-0.44020-0.55356
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
50.6%
49.4%
-155
+135
-145
+130
-2½-115
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-115
13
28
-0.88724-0.85918-0.70591
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
80.2%
19.8%
+155
-174
+160
-170
+3½-115
-3½-102
+3½-110
-3½-105
10
41
-0.48091-0.47678-1.62151
Carolina Panthers
Miami Dolphins
33.3%
66.7%
-120
+100
-120
+106
-1½-110
+0+101
-1½-110
+1½-110
10
33
-0.73760-0.75313-0.40510
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks125-7 (0.417)0-0.79838 
Sportsbooks125-7 (0.417)0-0.80126 
DRatings126-6 (0.500)0-0.88571
-0.08733
-0.08445

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.