NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+210
-245
+225
-240
+5½-110
-5-115
+6-110
-5½-108
5.7
28.2
33.9
o45½-110
u45½-110
o45½-110
u45½-110
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+280
-350
+300
-350
+7½-115
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
22.9
20.3
43.2
o46½-110
u47½-110
o47-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
77.8%
22.2%
-160
+145
-165
+155
-3-110
+3-110
-3-108
+3+100
56.4
o46-115
u46½-105
o46-110
u46½-105
2nd Q
02:00
10
14

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
50.6%
49.4%
-155
+135
-145
+130
-2½-115
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-115
13
28
-0.88724-0.85918-0.70591
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
80.2%
19.8%
+155
-174
+160
-170
+3½-115
-3½-102
+3½-110
-3½-105
10
41
-0.48091-0.47678-1.62151
Carolina Panthers
Miami Dolphins
33.3%
66.7%
-120
+100
-120
+106
-1½-110
+0+101
-1½-110
+1½-110
10
33
-0.73760-0.75313-0.40510
Atlanta Falcons
Jacksonville Jaguars
74.5%
25.5%
-119
+105
-120
+110
-1½-104
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
21
14
-0.64065-0.62755-0.29390
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Indianapolis Colts
53.5%
46.5%
-149
+135
-140
+135
-3-104
+3-114
-2½-110
+3-115
38
31
-0.53715-0.54782-0.62553
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
52.4%
47.6%
-195
+170
-190
+175
-4-106
+4-110
-4-105
+4-110
7
13
-1.02415-1.03022-0.74322
New York Jets
Houston Texans
27.5%
72.5%
+125
-140
+130
-143
+3-120
-2½-114
+3-120
-2½-110
21
14
-0.83833-0.85590-1.29197
Tennessee Titans
New England Patriots
57.8%
42.2%
+255
-305
+280
-300
+7-103
-7-115
+7+100
-7-110
13
36
-0.31776-0.30075-0.86266
Buffalo Bills
New Orleans Saints
36.9%
63.1%
-290
+250
-270
+245
-7-107
+7-105
-7-105
+7-110
31
6
-0.32515-0.33448-0.99569
Las Vegas Raiders
Dallas Cowboys
53.1%
46.9%
+270
-320
+265
-310
+7-105
-7-109
+7+100
-7-110
36
33
-1.33998-1.32437-0.63222
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
55.9%
44.1%
-133
+125
-130
+118
-2½-109
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-110
16
14
-0.57583-0.59419-0.58136
New York Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14.0%
86.0%
+430
-500
+450
-500
+10½-109
-11-105
+11-110
-10½-110
10
30
-0.20410-0.19737-0.15139
Pittsburgh Steelers
Los Angeles Chargers
71.1%
28.9%
+225
-260
+245
-260
+6½-111
-6-115
+6½-105
-6½-105
37
41
-0.35489-0.33743-1.24247
Dallas Cowboys
Kansas City Chiefs
11.5%
88.5%
+124
-140
+130
-135
+2½+100
-2½-114
+2½+100
-2½-110
9
19
-0.56833-0.56352-0.12213
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
32.2%
67.8%
+210
-244
+200
-165
+5½-105
-5½-109
+5-110
-3-110
23
13
-1.16280-1.05360-1.13476
Cincinnati Bengals
Las Vegas Raiders
26.5%
73.5%
-133
+120
-130
+120
-2½-110
+2-104
-2-110
+2½-105
32
13
-0.58573-0.59012-1.32754
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.83328 
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.83570 
DRatings148-6 (0.571)0-0.85146
-0.01818
-0.01576

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.