NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Seahawks
New England Patriots
63.8%
36.2%
-160
+140
-160
+145
-3-112
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
23
20
-0.51706-0.50878-0.44943
San Francisco 49ers
Minnesota Vikings
46.5%
53.5%
-205
+180
-200
+176
-4-110
+4-105
-4-108
+4½-110
17
23
-1.05849-1.04381-0.62554
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars
78.1%
21.9%
+145
-165
+150
-160
+3+105
-3-114
+3-105
-3-108
18
13
-0.92644-0.93156-0.24691
Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay Packers
35.5%
64.5%
-135
+120
-130
+120
-2-117
+2½-105
-2-108
+2½-110
10
16
-0.81706-0.80802-0.43906
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
78.4%
21.6%
+290
-360
+320
-350
+8-110
-7½-113
+8-108
-7½-110
20
16
-1.39926-1.45081-0.24287
New Orleans Saints
Dallas Cowboys
78.3%
21.7%
+230
-275
+253
-270
+6+105
-6½-106
+6½-105
-6½-108
44
19
-1.22963-1.27422-0.24405
Los Angeles Chargers
Carolina Panthers
43.6%
56.4%
-215
+185
-200
+200
-4-113
+4½-105
-4½-108
+5-110
26
3
-0.41480-0.40546-0.82986
Las Vegas Raiders
Baltimore Ravens
22.6%
77.4%
+390
-480
+375
-400
+8½-105
-9+100
+9-110
-8-108
26
23
-1.62040-1.56858-1.48811
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
60.2%
39.8%
+125
-145
+125
-134
+2½-105
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-108
31
10
-0.84658-0.82789-0.50692
New York Jets
San Francisco 49ers
18.7%
81.3%
+175
-200
+184
-185
+3½-105
-3½-110
+4-108
-3½-110
19
32
-0.43532-0.43337-0.20690
Los Angeles Rams
Detroit Lions
72.2%
27.8%
+210
-235
+216
-245
+5-105
-5½-105
+5½-108
-5½-108
20
26
-0.37834-0.36855-1.27977
Dallas Cowboys
Cleveland Browns
31.7%
68.3%
+105
-120
+112
-130
+2-110
-1½-105
+2-108
-2-108
33
17
-0.75056-0.78768-1.14848
Washington Football Team
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17.3%
82.7%
+185
-200
+190
-195
+4-105
-4-110
+4-108
-4-108
20
37
-0.42286-0.41980-0.18939
Denver Broncos
Seattle Seahawks
16.3%
83.7%
+250
-280
+253
-280
+6½-105
-6½-113
+6½-105
-6½-108
20
26
-0.32768-0.32531-0.17806
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
51.9%
48.1%
+134
-150
+135
-140
+3-119
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
10
22
-0.53780-0.54782-0.73287
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
23.0%
77.0%
-160
+140
-160
+143
-3-105
+3-110
-3-105
+3-110
29
27
-0.51706-0.51206-1.46811
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.