NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+210
-245
+225
-240
+5½-110
-5-115
+6-110
-5½-108
5.7
28.2
33.9
o45½-110
u45½-107
o45½-110
u45½-110
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+280
-350
+300
-350
+7½-115
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
22.9
20.3
43.2
o46½-110
u47½-110
o47-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
77.8%
22.2%
-160
+145
-165
+155
-3-110
+3-110
-3-108
+3+100
56.4
o46-115
u46½-105
o46-110
u46½-105
FINAL
FINAL
22
17

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
67.3%
32.7%
-120
+110
-120
+105
-1-115
+1½-105
-1-110
+1½-110
31
34
-0.76336-0.75056-1.11676
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
23.9%
76.1%
+375
-450
+400
-440
+10-109
-10-109
+10-110
-10-110
22
13
-1.58645-1.62415-1.43112
New Orleans Saints
Philadelphia Eagles
76.6%
23.4%
+135
-150
+145
-145
+3-115
-3-102
+3-110
-3-105
29
40
-0.53604-0.52452-1.45115
Baltimore Ravens
Chicago Bears
69.4%
30.6%
-115
+105
-118
+105
-1-110
+1-106
-1-110
+2-110
16
13
-0.64814-0.64249-0.36569
Washington Football Team
Carolina Panthers
43.1%
56.9%
+150
-170
+155
-170
+3+101
-3½+100
+3+105
-3-110
27
21
-0.94549-0.95763-0.84209
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
74.3%
25.7%
-190
+175
-180
+175
-3½-109
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
24
17
-0.44150-0.44830-0.29768
Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo Bills
40.1%
59.9%
+260
-290
+280
-290
+7-110
-7-104
+7-110
-7+100
41
15
-1.30206-1.34170-0.91447
San Francisco 49ers
Jacksonville Jaguars
77.8%
22.2%
-275
+255
-270
+250
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½-101
30
10
-0.32507-0.33041-0.25130
Detroit Lions
Cleveland Browns
28.8%
71.2%
+500
-635
+550
-660
+13-105
-13½-106
+13-110
-13-110
10
13
-0.17640-0.16311-0.33934
New England Patriots
Atlanta Falcons
46.5%
53.5%
-320
+270
-310
+270
-7-105
+7-107
-7-110
+7-110
25
0
-0.30361-0.30562-0.76565
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
57.2%
42.8%
-183
+175
-180
+175
-3½-109
+3½-109
-3½-110
+3½-101
10
31
-1.02182-1.01807-0.84777
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
77.8%
22.2%
-145
+140
-148
+130
-2½-122
+3-110
-2½-119
+3-110
41
14
-0.53299-0.54728-0.25145
Philadelphia Eagles
Denver Broncos
52.0%
48.0%
-105
-115
+100
-110
+1-115
+0-106
+1-110
+0-110
30
13
-0.71505-0.71668-0.65437
Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers
40.3%
59.7%
+156
-170
+160
-165
+3½-115
-3-112
+3½-110
-3-110
0
17
-0.48268-0.48102-0.51637
Carolina Panthers
Arizona Cardinals
30.4%
69.6%
+260
-305
+290
-320
+7-105
-7-109
+7½-119
-7-110
34
10
-1.31134-1.37912-1.18984
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
54.4%
45.6%
+162
-175
+170
-175
+3½-115
-3-119
+3½-110
-3½+100
27
20
-0.98104-0.99997-0.60884
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.83328 
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.83570 
DRatings148-6 (0.571)0-0.85146
-0.01818
-0.01576

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.