NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-242
+225
-240
+5-105
-5½-105
+6-110
-5½-108
5.7
28.2
33.9
o45½-110
u45½-107
o45½-110
u45½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+290
-350
+300
-350
+7½-116
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
23.0
20.4
43.4
o46½-110
u47½-110
o47-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
54.4%
45.6%
+162
-175
+170
-175
+3½-115
-3-119
+3½-110
-3½+100
27
20
-0.98104-0.99997-0.60884
Detroit Lions
Pittsburgh Steelers
17.8%
82.2%
+210
-227
+210
-240
+6-110
-5½-113
+6-110
-5½-110
16
16
-0.76484-0.76792-0.96132
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Football Team
75.5%
24.5%
-455
+365
-430
+380
-10-104
+10-114
-9½-110
+10-110
19
29
-1.57118-1.58807-1.40674
New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans
58.0%
42.0%
+135
-150
+135
-150
+3-115
-3+101
+3-110
-3+100
21
23
-0.53604-0.53604-0.86719
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
84.5%
15.5%
-750
+575
-700
+600
-13½-110
+13-105
-13-110
+13½-110
45
17
-0.15522-0.15123-0.16849
Atlanta Falcons
Dallas Cowboys
53.2%
46.8%
+285
-350
+310
-350
+7½-106
-7½-110
+7½-110
-7½-110
3
43
-0.28815-0.27275-0.75830
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
47.4%
52.6%
+120
-135
+125
-135
+2½-104
-2½-114
+2½-105
-2½-110
7
45
-0.58291-0.57304-0.64289
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
10.2%
89.8%
+380
-470
+415
-484
+10½-106
-10½-110
+10½-110
-10½-110
17
23
-0.22527-0.21050-0.10703
Baltimore Ravens
Miami Dolphins
64.1%
35.9%
-405
+360
-410
+360
-8½-109
+9-110
-8½-110
+8½-110
10
22
-1.54524-1.54717-1.02454
Chicago Bears
Pittsburgh Steelers
25.5%
74.5%
+260
-300
+270
-310
+7-114
-7-104
+7-110
-7-110
27
29
-0.31508-0.30562-0.29432
Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Rams
42.7%
57.3%
+290
-350
+300
-320
+7+100
-7-109
+7-105
-7-110
28
16
-1.39461-1.39812-0.85036
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
48.6%
51.4%
+211
-245
+216
-240
+5½-105
-5½-109
+5½-110
-5½-110
31
17
-1.16581-1.17267-0.72216
Green Bay Packers
Kansas City Chiefs
34.2%
65.8%
+280
-330
+304
-330
+7-102
-7-109
+7½-110
-7-110
7
13
-0.29484-0.27954-0.41854
Los Angeles Chargers
Philadelphia Eagles
43.2%
56.8%
-110
+105
-115
+105
+0-109
+1-105
+0-110
+1½-110
27
24
-0.65817-0.64814-0.83993
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
20.1%
79.9%
+245
-280
+260
-290
+7-120
-7+105
+7-110
-6½-110
27
25
-1.26471-1.30206-1.60485
Las Vegas Raiders
New York Giants
58.5%
41.5%
-150
+135
-155
+141
-3-104
+3-110
-3-110
+3-110
16
23
-0.87962-0.90214-0.87924
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.