NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Bears
Cleveland Browns
39.0%
61.0%
+133
-150
+130
-135
+2½+105
-2½-120
+3-120
-2½-110
17
20
-0.53959-0.56352-0.49418
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
51.1%
48.9%
-145
+135
-140
+130
-2½-120
+2½+102
-2½-110
+2½+100
7
9
-0.87165-0.85085-0.71458
Denver Broncos
Detroit Lions
43.0%
57.0%
+210
-230
+210
-230
+5½-110
-5½-108
+5½-110
-5-110
17
42
-0.38037-0.38037-0.56282
Pittsburgh Steelers
Indianapolis Colts
48.4%
51.6%
+103
-117
+102
-115
+1-101
+0-117
+1-110
-1-110
13
30
-0.64902-0.65520-0.66252
Minnesota Vikings
Cincinnati Bengals
66.3%
33.7%
+146
-160
+155
-165
+3-105
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
24
27
-0.50717-0.48848-1.08717
Los Angeles Chargers
Las Vegas Raiders
37.3%
62.7%
+139
-155
+145
-155
+3-110
-3-107
+3-105
-3-105
21
63
-0.52376-0.51371-0.46660
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
79.9%
20.1%
-245
+220
-240
+213
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-110
+6-110
22
24
-1.18554-1.16607-1.60649
Tennessee Titans
Miami Dolphins
54.6%
45.4%
+640
-850
+600
-775
+13½-105
-14+105
+14-110
-13½-110
28
27
-2.03088-1.97407-0.60470
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
47.0%
53.0%
+165
-185
+165
-172
+3½-110
-3½-110
+3½-110
-3½-110
13
33
-0.45828-0.46797-0.63526
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
30.0%
70.0%
+115
-128
+110
-122
+1+103
-2-108
+2-110
-1½-110
20
17
-0.79164-0.76735-1.20417
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
38.5%
61.5%
+151
-170
+150
-165
+3+100
-3-116
+3+108
-3-110
24
7
-0.94794-0.93869-0.95389
Minnesota Vikings
Las Vegas Raiders
46.9%
53.1%
-150
+135
-150
+135
-2½-125
+3-110
-2½-119
+3-110
3
0
-0.53604-0.53604-0.75630
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
61.5%
38.5%
+700
-1000
+700
-950
+16-110
-14½-110
+15-110
-14½-110
16
28
-0.12883-0.12941-0.95469
Houston Texans
New York Jets
62.9%
37.1%
-164
+150
-165
+155
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
6
30
-0.93728-0.95078-0.99207
Indianapolis Colts
Cincinnati Bengals
77.6%
22.4%
+137
-155
+145
-150
+2½+110
-3-103
+3-110
-3+100
14
34
-0.52719-0.51896-1.49620
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
69.1%
30.9%
+106
-123
+110
-124
+1+101
+0-123
+2-110
-1½-110
29
25
-0.75903-0.77126-0.36962
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.