NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-242
+225
-240
+5-105
-5½-105
+6-110
-5½-108
5.7
28.2
33.9
o45½-110
u45½-107
o45½-110
u45½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+290
-350
+300
-350
+7½-116
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
23.0
20.4
43.4
o46½-110
u47½-110
o47-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
68.5%
31.5%
+110
-125
+110
-124
+1+102
-1½-109
+2-110
-1½-110
41
16
-0.77319-0.77126-0.37838
Buffalo Bills
Jacksonville Jaguars
87.2%
12.8%
-1110
+790
-1200
+875
-14½-119
+16-110
-15½-110
+16½-105
6
9
-2.21531-2.30259-2.05682
New England Patriots
Carolina Panthers
53.1%
46.9%
-176
+160
-175
+165
-3-120
+3½-114
-3½+100
+3½-110
24
6
-0.47197-0.46561-0.63339
Minnesota Vikings
Baltimore Ravens
24.3%
75.7%
+265
-315
+280
-324
+7-109
-7-105
+7+100
-7-110
31
34
-0.30818-0.29593-0.27901
Denver Broncos
Dallas Cowboys
39.7%
60.3%
+405
-450
+407
-495
+10-105
-10-109
+10-105
-10-110
30
16
-1.63547-1.65208-0.92470
Houston Texans
Miami Dolphins
32.0%
68.0%
+165
-184
+170
-180
+3½-108
-4-104
+4-110
-3½-110
9
17
-0.45898-0.45497-0.38640
New York Jets
Indianapolis Colts
12.4%
87.6%
+430
-500
+400
-470
+10-105
-10-109
+10½-110
-10-110
30
45
-0.20410-0.21717-0.13226
New York Giants
Kansas City Chiefs
9.5%
90.5%
+460
-570
+435
-525
+11-110
-11-105
+11-110
-10½-110
17
20
-0.19053-0.20092-0.09944
Green Bay Packers
Arizona Cardinals
61.7%
38.3%
+235
-275
+240
-260
+6½-110
-6½-104
+6½-110
-6½-110
24
21
-1.24029-1.23998-0.48337
New Orleans Saints
Seattle Seahawks
54.6%
45.4%
-245
+210
-230
+210
-5½-109
+6-110
-5½-110
+6-110
13
10
-0.37449-0.38037-0.60536
Indianapolis Colts
San Francisco 49ers
58.0%
42.0%
+150
-165
+155
-165
+3½-114
-3½+105
+3½-119
-3-110
30
18
-0.93869-0.95078-0.54473
Houston Texans
Arizona Cardinals
29.2%
70.8%
+1300
-2500
+1300
-2075
+20½-114
-20-110
+20-110
-20-110
5
31
-0.07166-0.07221-0.34572
Chicago Bears
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19.9%
80.1%
+525
-665
+562
-695
+12-105
-12-107
+12½-110
-12-110
3
38
-0.16895-0.15939-0.22147
Philadelphia Eagles
Las Vegas Raiders
38.0%
62.0%
-105
-113
-105
-110
+1-114
-1-104
+1-110
+0-110
22
33
-0.67574-0.68201-0.47818
Detroit Lions
Los Angeles Rams
20.5%
79.5%
+850
-1300
+1000
-1410
+16½-105
-16½-109
+16½-110
-16½-110
19
28
-0.10738-0.09291-0.22910
New York Jets
New England Patriots
20.6%
79.4%
+275
-330
+280
-320
+7-105
-7-109
+7-105
-7-110
13
54
-0.29823-0.29670-0.23086
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.