NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-242
+225
-240
+5-105
-5½-105
+6-110
-5½-108
5.7
28.2
33.9
o45½-110
u45½-107
o45½-110
u45½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+290
-350
+300
-350
+7½-116
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
23.0
20.4
43.4
o46½-110
u47½-110
o47-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
Miami Dolphins
40.4%
59.6%
-124
+105
-123
+112
-1½-109
+1½-105
-1½-110
+2-110
30
28
-0.63190-0.61798-0.90753
Kansas City Chiefs
Tennessee Titans
62.3%
37.7%
-195
+175
-190
+175
-4-104
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
3
27
-1.03595-1.03022-0.97429
Washington Football Team
Green Bay Packers
19.4%
80.6%
+350
-425
+360
-410
+8½-105
-9-104
+9-110
-8½-110
10
24
-0.24256-0.23934-0.21530
Carolina Panthers
New York Giants
51.8%
48.2%
-151
+135
-145
+135
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
+3-110
3
25
-0.88119-0.87165-0.72979
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
10.7%
89.3%
+240
-280
+250
-265
+6½-114
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-110
41
17
-1.25425-1.26447-2.23213
Denver Broncos
Cleveland Browns
26.4%
73.6%
+105
-122
+115
-125
+2-112
-1½-109
+2-110
-1½-110
14
17
-0.63533-0.60825-0.30646
Buffalo Bills
Tennessee Titans
50.2%
49.8%
-255
+225
-254
+230
-6-107
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-110
31
34
-1.20434-1.21426-0.69754
Seattle Seahawks
Pittsburgh Steelers
45.6%
54.4%
+205
-219
+210
-220
+5½-105
-5½-109
+5½-110
-5½-110
20
23
-0.39041-0.38472-0.60905
Dallas Cowboys
New England Patriots
34.3%
65.7%
-191
+185
-190
+190
-3½-109
+3½-103
-3½-110
+3½-103
35
29
-0.42826-0.42286-1.06953
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
58.0%
42.0%
+190
-205
+190
-206
+5-109
-5-105
+5½-110
-5-110
34
24
-1.08152-1.08258-0.54409
Arizona Cardinals
Cleveland Browns
48.1%
51.9%
+125
-135
+135
-140
+3-115
-3+105
+3-110
-3+105
37
14
-0.82968-0.86325-0.73243
Los Angeles Rams
New York Giants
73.7%
26.3%
-360
+315
-345
+330
-7½-104
+8-105
-7½+100
+7½-110
38
11
-0.26842-0.26234-0.30481
Cincinnati Bengals
Detroit Lions
37.0%
63.0%
-185
+170
-185
+180
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½-110
+3½-110
34
11
-0.45144-0.43838-0.99501
Los Angeles Chargers
Baltimore Ravens
17.8%
82.2%
+145
-140
+135
-150
+3-109
-2½-115
+3-105
-3-105
6
34
-0.53045-0.53604-0.19581
Minnesota Vikings
Carolina Panthers
53.5%
46.5%
-135
+115
-126
+120
-2-110
+2½-105
-2-110
+2-110
34
28
-0.59314-0.59626-0.62541
Kansas City Chiefs
Washington Football Team
82.8%
17.2%
-285
+255
-280
+270
-6½-109
+7-115
-6½-110
+6½-101
31
13
-0.32247-0.31247-0.18856
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.