NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Indianapolis Colts
53.5%
46.5%
+130
-140
+140
-145
+2½+105
-2½-120
+2½+100
-2½-110
20
27
-0.55696-0.53299-0.76567
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
23.2%
76.8%
-115
+100
-114
+105
-1-105
+1-107
-1-110
+1½-110
24
21
-0.66000-0.65009-1.45968
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
74.3%
25.7%
-450
+360
-400
+375
-10½+110
+9½-110
-9-110
+9½-110
34
13
-0.23562-0.23362-0.29768
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
28.7%
71.3%
-300
+270
-305
+280
-7½+110
+7-110
-7-110
+7-105
31
13
-0.30775-0.29969-1.24876
Washington Football Team
Dallas Cowboys
45.1%
54.9%
+550
-700
+550
-670
+13-110
-14+110
+13-110
-13-110
10
45
-0.16198-0.16281-0.60055
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
78.7%
21.3%
+360
-400
+350
-405
+8½-105
-10+110
+9-110
-8½-110
29
22
-1.54332-1.52800-0.24000
Philadelphia Eagles
Kansas City Chiefs
12.6%
87.4%
+125
-145
+130
-140
+2½+100
-2½-120
+2½+100
-2½-110
21
17
-0.84658-0.85085-2.07362
Minnesota Vikings
Denver Broncos
60.4%
39.6%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+2½+100
-2½-117
+2½+100
-2½-110
20
21
-0.55080-0.54173-0.92669
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
10.6%
89.4%
+350
-400
+335
-370
+8½-110
-10+110
+8½-110
-8½-110
6
32
-0.24512-0.25621-0.11150
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
49.0%
51.0%
+118
-135
+117
-130
+1+108
-2½-105
+2-110
-2-110
16
17
-0.58695-0.59626-0.67293
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
San Francisco 49ers
65.2%
34.8%
+585
-805
+625
-800
+14-115
-14+105
+14-110
-13½-110
14
27
-0.15197-0.14425-1.05432
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
42.4%
57.6%
-550
+435
-575
+475
-12+102
+11-105
-11-110
+11-110
33
10
-0.19960-0.18578-0.85717
Las Vegas Raiders
Miami Dolphins
39.4%
60.6%
+615
-800
+660
-900
+14-114
-14+105
+14-110
-13½-110
13
20
-0.14612-0.13645-0.50056
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
55.9%
44.1%
+300
-360
+353
-380
+8-110
-8-105
+8½-110
-8-110
26
31
-0.27720-0.24595-0.81903
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
84.4%
15.6%
+255
-290
+255
-290
+7-115
-7+100
+6½+100
-6½-110
14
34
-0.32123-0.32123-1.85957
New York Giants
Washington Football Team
38.6%
61.4%
+290
-350
+330
-365
+9-125
-7½-110
+8-110
-7½-110
31
19
-1.39461-1.47596-0.95210
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.