NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-245
+225
-240
+5-105
-5½-105
+6-110
-5½-108
5.8
28.4
34.2
o45½-110
u45½-107
o45½-110
u45½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+290
-350
+300
-350
+7½-116
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
23.0
20.4
43.4
o46½-110
u47½-110
o47-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
70.0%
30.0%
-240
+205
-232
+202
-5½-109
+6-105
-5½-110
+5½-110
24
14
-0.38151-0.38789-0.35705
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
23.0%
77.0%
+445
-470
+450
-525
+11-105
-10-110
+11½-110
-10½-110
3
31
-0.20092-0.19594-0.26183
Miami Dolphins
Jacksonville Jaguars
81.8%
18.2%
-150
+133
-150
+140
-3+100
+3-114
-3-105
+3-110
20
23
-0.87465-0.89199-1.70534
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Philadelphia Eagles
74.1%
25.9%
-300
+250
-290
+260
-7+101
+7-119
-6½-110
+7-119
28
22
-0.32277-0.31741-0.29994
Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens
36.2%
63.8%
+310
-370
+310
-345
+7½-105
-7½-109
+7½-110
-7½-110
25
31
-0.26989-0.27353-0.44929
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
30.0%
70.0%
+126
-140
+130
-140
+3-119
-2½-120
+3-119
-2½-110
38
20
-0.84084-0.85085-1.20417
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
40.5%
59.5%
+240
-275
+242
-250
+5½-105
-5½-109
+6-110
-5½-110
10
17
-0.33724-0.34314-0.51914
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
39.2%
60.8%
+300
-340
+320
-340
+7+100
-7-114
+7½-110
-7-110
20
44
-0.28030-0.26860-0.49789
Cleveland Browns
Los Angeles Chargers
56.9%
43.1%
+120
-133
+122
-133
+2½-105
-2½-106
+2½-110
-2½-110
42
47
-0.58573-0.58173-0.84130
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
43.8%
56.2%
+210
-240
+220
-232
+5½-109
-5½-109
+6-110
-5½-110
20
9
-1.15948-1.17438-0.82503
New England Patriots
Houston Texans
54.5%
45.5%
-355
+300
-360
+330
-8-104
+8-110
-7½-110
+8-110
25
22
-0.27796-0.26017-0.60695
Green Bay Packers
Cincinnati Bengals
83.4%
16.6%
-127
+110
-128
+115
-2½-105
+2-108
-2-110
+2½-110
25
22
-0.61580-0.60349-0.18104
Denver Broncos
Pittsburgh Steelers
16.9%
83.1%
-125
+105
-124
+115
-1½-109
+1-101
-1½-110
+2-110
19
27
-0.76029-0.78397-0.18555
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
30.9%
69.1%
+360
-440
+380
-420
+10-110
-10-104
+10-110
-10-110
17
19
-0.23649-0.22948-0.36940
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
84.4%
15.6%
-207
+180
-192
+180
-4½-105
+4½-107
-4-110
+5-110
37
19
-0.42505-0.43383-0.16929
New Orleans Saints
Washington Football Team
77.9%
22.1%
-138
+120
-135
+125
-2½-109
+2½-105
-2½-110
+2½-105
33
22
-0.57882-0.57304-0.24982
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.