NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Chargers
Green Bay Packers
17.4%
82.6%
-158
+140
-155
+150
-3-105
+3-110
-3-105
+3-105
20
23
-0.90412-0.92410-0.19080
Arizona Cardinals
Houston Texans
60.9%
39.1%
+205
-240
+210
-235
+5½-105
-5½-110
+5½-110
-5½-110
16
21
-0.38151-0.37834-0.93854
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
60.0%
40.0%
+126
-135
+120
-135
+1+108
-2½-112
+2½-110
-2-110
10
13
-0.57111-0.58291-0.91524
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
11.6%
88.4%
+173
-197
+180
-190
+4-110
-4-106
+4-110
-3½-110
20
34
-0.43970-0.43510-0.12332
Denver Broncos
Buffalo Bills
16.6%
83.4%
+305
-350
+320
-380
+7½-105
-7½-110
+7½-110
-7½-105
24
22
-1.42312-1.46439-1.79462
New York Jets
Las Vegas Raiders
21.6%
78.4%
-110
-105
+100
-110
+0-110
+1-110
+1-110
+0-110
12
16
-0.70441-0.67015-0.24296
Washington Football Team
Seattle Seahawks
19.6%
80.4%
+220
-260
+221
-250
+6-110
-7+117
+6-110
-6-110
26
29
-0.35955-0.36196-0.21836
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
39.2%
60.8%
+1000
-1450
+1200
-2000
+17½-110
-17½-105
+18-110
-17½-110
17
49
-0.09274-0.07767-0.49789
Detroit Lions
Los Angeles Chargers
39.9%
60.1%
-130
+135
-130
+120
-2-106
+3-120
-2-110
+2-110
41
38
-0.56124-0.59012-0.91789
Atlanta Falcons
Arizona Cardinals
36.3%
63.7%
-130
+115
-130
+120
-2-110
+1+103
-2-110
+2½-110
23
25
-0.79536-0.80802-0.45051
Tennessee Titans
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
34.7%
65.3%
+125
-145
+130
-140
+2½+100
-2½-119
+2½+100
-2½-110
6
20
-0.56016-0.55696-0.42679
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
49.9%
50.1%
+155
-170
+148
-165
+3½-115
-3-119
+3+100
-3-110
19
23
-0.48418-0.49933-0.69053
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings
69.9%
30.1%
-150
+140
-150
+135
-3-105
+3-110
-3-105
+3-110
19
27
-0.89199-0.87962-1.19928
San Francisco 49ers
Jacksonville Jaguars
77.8%
22.2%
-165
+150
-160
+155
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
34
3
-0.49617-0.49303-0.25130
Houston Texans
Cincinnati Bengals
56.4%
43.6%
+220
-240
+215
-235
+6-115
-5½-110
+5½-110
-5½-110
30
27
-1.18136-1.16616-0.57275
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
26.3%
73.7%
+225
-240
+237
-260
+6-105
-5½-110
+6-110
-6-110
33
31
-1.19214-1.23368-1.33747
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.