NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-245
+225
-240
+5-105
-5½-105
+6-110
-5½-108
5.8
28.4
34.2
o45½-110
u45½-107
o45½-110
u45½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+290
-350
+300
-350
+7½-116
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
23.0
20.4
43.4
o46½-110
u47½-110
o47-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Eagles
Carolina Panthers
44.9%
55.1%
+121
-140
+125
-138
+3-125
-2½-112
+2½-101
-2½-110
21
18
-0.82819-0.83492-0.79991
Miami Dolphins
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
26.2%
73.8%
+460
-600
+500
-600
+11-104
-11-114
+11½-110
-11-110
17
45
-0.18924-0.17768-0.30345
New York Jets
Atlanta Falcons
25.5%
74.5%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+3-114
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
20
27
-0.55080-0.54173-0.29481
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
40.1%
59.9%
-144
+130
-135
+130
-2½-114
+3-120
-2½-110
+3-120
26
17
-0.55199-0.56352-0.91372
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
51.9%
48.1%
+152
-170
+155
-165
+3+100
-3-114
+3+100
-3-110
14
28
-0.48874-0.48848-0.73287
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New England Patriots
67.3%
32.7%
-285
+260
-276
+260
-6½-105
+7-115
-6½-110
+7-115
19
17
-0.31864-0.32094-0.39531
Pittsburgh Steelers
Green Bay Packers
39.3%
60.7%
+215
-247
+225
-245
+6½-115
-6-104
+6-110
-5½-110
17
27
-0.36879-0.35997-0.49842
Baltimore Ravens
Denver Broncos
79.2%
20.8%
+100
-115
+102
-115
+1-104
-1-110
+1½-110
-1-110
23
7
-0.72743-0.73260-0.23351
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
61.5%
38.5%
+120
-130
+120
-135
+2½-107
-2½-109
+2½-110
-2½-110
28
21
-0.80802-0.81706-0.48602
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
36.2%
63.8%
+180
-200
+182
-190
+4-110
-3½-109
+4-110
-3½-110
37
20
-1.05317-1.04646-1.01611
Houston Texans
Buffalo Bills
20.0%
80.0%
+1140
-1700
+1200
-1780
+18½-109
-18½-109
+18½-110
-18-110
0
40
-0.08195-0.07811-0.22286
Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles
81.7%
18.3%
-355
+285
-330
+300
-7-109
+7-105
-7-110
+7-110
42
30
-0.28736-0.28198-0.20191
New York Giants
New Orleans Saints
12.5%
87.5%
+282
-340
+290
-332
+7½-120
-7-109
+7-110
-7-110
27
21
-1.37417-1.38561-2.07864
Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys
46.6%
53.4%
+195
-210
+190
-212
+4½-105
-4½-107
+4½-110
-4½-110
28
36
-0.40573-0.41044-0.62695
Indianapolis Colts
Miami Dolphins
55.8%
44.2%
+125
-140
+130
-140
+2½-104
-2½-114
+2½-110
-2½-110
27
17
-0.83833-0.85085-0.58304
Cleveland Browns
Minnesota Vikings
47.0%
53.0%
-110
-105
-110
-105
+0-109
+0-106
+0-110
+1-110
14
7
-0.68201-0.68201-0.75507
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.