NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Indianapolis Colts
New England Patriots
64.2%
35.8%
-120
+110
-120
+110
-1-115
+2+100
-1½-110
+2-110
10
6
-0.62755-0.62755-0.44328
Carolina Panthers
Chicago Bears
38.8%
61.2%
+155
-173
+160
-170
+3+105
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-110
13
16
-0.48170-0.47678-0.49071
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Jets
63.4%
36.6%
-170
+159
-170
+160
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
27
6
-0.47823-0.47678-0.45549
Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati Bengals
80.6%
19.4%
+110
-123
+110
-125
+0+103
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-110
18
24
-0.62237-0.61904-1.63974
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
42.0%
58.0%
+150
-170
+150
-165
+3+100
-3-119
+3+100
-3-110
23
28
-0.49182-0.49617-0.54478
New York Giants
Las Vegas Raiders
31.3%
68.7%
+105
-123
+110
-120
+0+103
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1-110
6
30
-0.63360-0.62755-0.37580
Indianapolis Colts
Carolina Panthers
67.0%
33.0%
-123
+105
-120
+106
-1-110
+0+103
-1-110
+1½-110
27
13
-0.63360-0.63656-0.40085
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
19.6%
80.4%
+350
-415
+368
-440
+9-110
-10+105
+9-110
-9-110
17
24
-0.24355-0.23289-0.21875
Washington Football Team
New England Patriots
34.9%
65.1%
+130
-150
+135
-145
+2½+105
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
20
17
-0.86710-0.87165-1.05231
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Houston Texans
75.5%
24.5%
+130
-145
+130
-140
+2½+105
-2½-120
+3-119
-2½-110
37
39
-0.55080-0.55696-1.40650
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
36.1%
63.9%
+173
-198
+176
-190
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
-3½-110
3
20
-0.43909-0.44020-0.44755
Arizona Cardinals
Cleveland Browns
48.1%
51.9%
+580
-800
+575
-725
+13-110
-14+110
+13-110
-12½-110
0
27
-0.15310-0.15579-0.65535
Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens
41.0%
59.0%
+235
-260
+240
-280
+6-110
-7+117
+6-110
-6-110
3
37
-0.34595-0.33588-0.52795
Minnesota Vikings
Atlanta Falcons
46.9%
53.1%
+175
-190
+168
-185
+3½-105
-3½-110
+3½-110
-3½-110
31
28
-1.03022-1.00783-0.75656
Miami Dolphins
Kansas City Chiefs
22.0%
78.0%
-110
-105
-110
-103
-1-110
+0-103
+0-110
+1-110
14
21
-0.70441-0.70920-0.24909
Tennessee Titans
Pittsburgh Steelers
39.5%
60.5%
+155
-170
+160
-165
+3+100
-3-115
+3+105
-3-110
16
20
-0.48418-0.48102-0.50182
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.