NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-245
+210
-240
+5-105
-5½-105
+5½-108
-5-110
5.8
28.4
34.2
o45½-110
u46½-110
o46-110
u46½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+285
-350
+300
-350
+7½-115
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
22.9
20.3
43.2
o46½-110
u47½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tennessee Titans
New York Jets
81.2%
18.8%
-245
+225
-237
+215
-5½-109
+6-110
-5-110
+6-110
24
27
-1.19634-1.16790-1.67344
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
33.6%
66.4%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+3-115
-3+101
+3-110
-3+100
14
24
-0.55080-0.54173-0.40999
Washington Football Team
Atlanta Falcons
36.8%
63.2%
-120
+105
-119
+115
-2½-105
+2-109
-1½-110
+2-110
34
30
-0.63885-0.61841-1.00041
Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati Bengals
32.8%
67.2%
+282
-340
+300
-320
+7½-115
-7½+101
+7½-110
-7-110
21
24
-0.29176-0.28377-0.39757
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
47.0%
53.0%
+175
-184
+175
-185
+3½-109
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-105
21
41
-0.44551-0.44482-0.63526
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers
65.5%
34.5%
+160
-160
+163
-170
+3+106
-3-120
+3½-110
-3-119
30
28
-0.95550-0.97678-0.42373
Seattle Seahawks
Minnesota Vikings
63.4%
36.6%
-128
+120
-121
+125
-2-109
+2½-105
-1½-110
+2-110
17
30
-0.80428-0.80285-1.00520
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Rams
52.9%
47.1%
-110
-105
-110
-105
+0-109
+1-110
+0-110
+1-110
24
34
-0.70441-0.70441-0.75307
New York Jets
Denver Broncos
32.2%
67.8%
+450
-570
+475
-570
+10-105
-10-109
+10½-110
-10-110
0
26
-0.19368-0.18599-0.38828
Miami Dolphins
Las Vegas Raiders
49.7%
50.3%
+172
-195
+170
-175
+3½-105
-3½-109
+4-110
-3½-110
28
31
-0.44223-0.45869-0.68782
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
13.7%
86.3%
+125
-138
+130
-140
+3-125
-2½-110
+3-120
-2½-110
24
10
-0.83492-0.85085-1.99033
Chicago Bears
Cleveland Browns
39.0%
61.0%
+305
-340
+314
-330
+7½-105
-7½-109
+7½-110
-7½-110
6
26
-0.27727-0.27365-0.49418
Atlanta Falcons
New York Giants
58.5%
41.5%
+125
-140
+130
-140
+2½+100
-2½-114
+3-120
-2½-110
17
14
-0.83833-0.85085-0.53611
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
12.0%
88.0%
+260
-300
+270
-294
+7-114
-7-104
+7-110
-7-105
30
24
-1.30833-1.32467-2.12085
New Orleans Saints
New England Patriots
70.2%
29.8%
+130
-145
+130
-145
+3-119
-3+101
+3-110
-2½-120
28
13
-0.85918-0.85918-0.35358
Washington Football Team
Buffalo Bills
20.0%
80.0%
+285
-340
+300
-323
+7-108
-7-109
+7+100
-7-110
21
43
-0.28978-0.28323-0.22279
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.