NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-245
+210
-240
+5-105
-5½-105
+5½-108
-5-110
5.8
28.4
34.2
o45½-110
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
All Bet Values Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+285
-350
+300
-350
+7½-117
-7-115
+7½-115
-7-110
22.9
20.3
43.2
o46-110
u47½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
All Bet Values Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Ravens
Detroit Lions
78.2%
21.8%
-375
+310
-360
+320
-7½-109
+7½-105
-7½-110
+7½-105
19
17
-0.26921-0.26562-0.24614
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
45.7%
54.3%
+190
-210
+190
-210
+4½-110
-4½-104
+5-110
-4½-110
16
25
-0.41146-0.41146-0.61054
Arizona Cardinals
Jacksonville Jaguars
80.5%
19.5%
-385
+315
-370
+325
-8-109
+8½-110
-7½-110
+8½-110
31
19
-0.26509-0.26151-0.21715
Carolina Panthers
Houston Texans
45.9%
54.1%
-410
+340
-400
+348
-8-114
+8-102
-8-110
+8½-110
24
9
-0.24897-0.24609-0.77838
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
14.8%
85.2%
+465
-525
+460
-570
+11½-109
-11½-109
+12-110
-11½-110
17
35
-0.19120-0.19053-0.16071
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
56.0%
44.0%
-193
+175
-185
+178
-3½-109
+4-110
-3½-110
+4-110
35
36
-1.03370-1.03125-0.82084
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Chargers
43.3%
56.7%
+145
-150
+145
-151
+3-107
-3-105
+3-110
-3-105
20
17
-0.90421-0.90580-0.83663
Tennessee Titans
Seattle Seahawks
38.4%
61.6%
+245
-275
+260
-275
+6½-109
-6-116
+6½-110
-6½-110
33
30
-1.26128-1.29197-0.95748
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
22.3%
77.7%
+600
-750
+600
-745
+13-102
-13-110
+13-110
-12½-110
25
48
-0.15007-0.15017-0.25264
Minnesota Vikings
Arizona Cardinals
38.6%
61.4%
+175
-195
+176
-190
+3½-105
-3½-109
+3½-105
-3½-110
33
34
-0.43833-0.44020-0.48717
New England Patriots
New York Jets
71.7%
28.3%
-240
+220
-233
+210
-6-104
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-110
25
6
-0.36652-0.37914-0.33250
Denver Broncos
Jacksonville Jaguars
62.9%
37.1%
-260
+230
-260
+230
-6-108
+6-109
-6-110
+6-110
23
13
-0.35037-0.35037-0.46353
San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles
55.1%
44.9%
-143
+130
-140
+135
-3+105
+3-114
-2½-110
+3-115
17
11
-0.55321-0.54782-0.59657
Los Angeles Rams
Indianapolis Colts
45.1%
54.9%
-195
+180
-210
+190
-3½-109
+4-105
-4-110
+4½-110
27
24
-0.43197-0.41146-0.79666
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
60.2%
39.8%
-185
+165
-182
+175
-3½+100
+3½-109
-3½-105
+4-110
35
0
-0.45828-0.44690-0.50692
Las Vegas Raiders
Pittsburgh Steelers
26.0%
74.0%
+220
-230
+201
-220
+6-109
-5½-110
+6-110
-5-110
26
17
-1.17257-1.12147-1.34630
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.