NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-225
+210
-230
+5-105
-5-105
+5-110
-4½-108
5.8
28.4
34.2
o45½-110
u47-115
o46½-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+285
-350
+300
-350
+7½-117
-7-115
+7½-115
-7-110
22.9
20.3
43.2
o46-110
u47½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
All Bet Values Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Bengals
Chicago Bears
27.0%
73.0%
+105
-125
+110
-125
+2-110
-1½-109
+2-110
-1½-110
17
20
-0.63023-0.61904-0.31540
Houston Texans
Cleveland Browns
32.3%
67.7%
+590
-660
+600
-700
+13½-109
-13½-109
+14-110
-13-110
21
31
-0.15434-0.15123-0.38997
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
76.9%
23.1%
-145
+150
-150
+132
-3+100
+3½-119
-3+100
+3-110
7
26
-0.90810-0.87213-1.46482
New York Giants
Washington Football Team
38.6%
61.4%
+175
-196
+180
-200
+4-109
-4-109
+4-110
-4-110
29
30
-0.43771-0.42898-0.48765
Baltimore Ravens
Las Vegas Raiders
68.8%
31.2%
-165
+150
-160
+147
-3-109
+4½-110
-3-110
+3+100
27
33
-0.93869-0.92425-1.16437
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
55.6%
44.4%
-160
+145
-155
+146
-3-107
+3-109
-3-106
+3-104
9
31
-0.91937-0.91442-0.81243
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
30.0%
70.0%
+145
-160
+140
-155
+3-110
-3-104
+3-110
-3+100
24
38
-0.50878-0.52206-0.35659
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
44.2%
55.8%
+160
-179
+168
-170
+3½-115
-3-119
+3½-115
-3-110
31
26
-0.98136-0.98859-0.81719
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
41.2%
58.8%
+122
-135
+130
-140
+2½-104
-2½-109
+3-120
-2½-110
30
20
-0.82212-0.85085-0.88617
Cleveland Browns
Kansas City Chiefs
18.3%
81.7%
+325
-385
+348
-410
+8-105
-7½-107
+8½-110
-8-110
17
22
-0.25960-0.24502-0.20235
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
48.6%
51.4%
+125
-139
+122
-135
+2½-101
-2½-114
+2½+100
-2½-110
3
17
-0.56768-0.57893-0.66536
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
36.1%
63.9%
+290
-360
+300
-350
+7-109
-7-106
+7-110
-7+100
18
32
-0.28340-0.27871-0.44755
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
30.0%
70.0%
+205
-227
+220
-230
+6-120
-5-109
+6-110
-5-110
48
37
-1.13697-1.17257-1.20284
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
19.6%
80.4%
+460
-575
+500
-605
+11-107
-11-109
+11-110
-11-110
9
21
-0.19031-0.17749-0.21875
Baltimore Ravens
Tennessee Titans
54.3%
45.7%
-180
+167
-180
+165
-3½-104
+3½-112
-3-120
+3½-110
20
13
-0.45907-0.46185-0.61020
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Football Team
75.5%
24.5%
-425
+425
-470
+415
-10-101
+10-105
-10-110
+10-110
31
23
-0.21131-0.21146-0.28096
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.