NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Minnesota Vikings
46.5%
53.5%
-290
+255
-320
+272
-6½-110
+6½-105
-6½-110
+7-110
17
22
-1.29193-1.34396-0.62554
Miami Dolphins
Philadelphia Eagles
55.8%
44.2%
+149
-162
+150
-155
+3-110
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
17
31
-0.50048-0.50566-0.81724
Green Bay Packers
Denver Broncos
79.6%
20.4%
+105
-122
+108
-115
+1-105
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1-110
17
19
-0.63533-0.64124-1.59160
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
12.0%
88.0%
+220
-240
+240
-260
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-110
17
31
-0.36652-0.34163-0.12775
Pittsburgh Steelers
Los Angeles Rams
47.9%
52.1%
+155
-175
+155
-170
+3½-110
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+100
24
17
-0.96420-0.95763-0.73702
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
32.2%
67.8%
+360
-440
+375
-430
+9-106
-10½+110
+9½-110
-9-110
10
20
-0.23649-0.23071-0.38787
Washington Football Team
New York Giants
50.6%
49.4%
-160
+140
-155
+135
-3-105
+3-110
-3-110
+3-105
7
14
-0.90701-0.88724-0.70443
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
63.3%
36.7%
-350
+320
-370
+335
-7½-110
+8-110
-7½-110
+8-110
25
29
-1.45081-1.48713-1.00179
Detroit Lions
Baltimore Ravens
15.2%
84.8%
+145
-160
+140
-155
+3-106
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
6
38
-0.50878-0.52206-0.16499
Cleveland Browns
Indianapolis Colts
33.5%
66.5%
-180
+165
-175
+165
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½-105
+3½-110
39
38
-0.46185-0.46561-1.09446
Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears
45.2%
54.8%
-130
+120
-130
+120
-2½-110
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-110
12
30
-0.80802-0.80802-0.60102
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
22.3%
77.7%
+130
-145
+135
-145
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
-2½-110
16
13
-0.85918-0.87165-1.49946
Jacksonville Jaguars
New Orleans Saints
6.4%
93.6%
+135
-135
+120
-138
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2-110
31
24
-0.85442-0.82225-2.74218
New York Giants
Buffalo Bills
16.4%
83.6%
+700
-1050
+940
-1100
+15-110
-15-103
+16-110
-15-110
9
14
-0.12831-0.09974-0.17868
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Jets
64.7%
35.3%
-275
+255
-290
+260
-7+110
+6½+101
-6½-110
+7-115
14
20
-1.28186-1.30206-1.03990
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
36.2%
63.8%
+290
-310
+285
-335
+7½-110
-7½+110
+7-105
-7-110
9
26
-0.29201-0.29063-0.44942
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.