NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-218
+210
-230
+5-105
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-108
5.8
28.4
34.2
o45½-110
u46½-107
o46½-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+280
-335
+305
-350
+7½-117
-7-115
+7½-115
-7-110
22.9
20.3
43.2
o46-108
u47½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
All Bet Values Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
40.1%
59.9%
+162
-177
+155
-164
+3½-115
-3-111
+3+100
-3-110
30
20
-0.98363-0.94936-0.91372
Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo Bills
40.1%
59.9%
+285
-320
+290
-320
+6½-108
-7+105
+7-110
-7+100
24
27
-0.29335-0.29008-0.51204
Washington Football Team
Philadelphia Eagles
12.6%
87.4%
-267
+250
-270
+250
-7+110
+7-120
-6½-110
+6½-110
20
14
-0.32725-0.32572-2.07338
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
40.0%
60.0%
+105
-120
+105
-118
+1+100
-1-114
+1-105
-1-110
7
18
-0.63709-0.64105-0.51101
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
41.0%
59.0%
-145
+129
-150
+135
-2½-118
+2½+101
-2½-110
+3-120
32
31
-0.54891-0.53234-0.89043
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
39.4%
60.6%
-340
+280
-340
+300
-7½+100
+7+100
-7-110
+7+100
26
23
-0.28133-0.27265-0.93229
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
18.4%
81.6%
-290
+250
-285
+250
-6½-109
+7-116
-6½-110
+6½+100
38
21
-0.31616-0.31846-1.69162
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
80.2%
19.8%
-255
+225
-260
+230
-5½-115
+6-105
-5½-110
+6-110
33
7
-0.34912-0.34307-0.22042
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
57.4%
42.6%
-325
+270
-330
+300
-7½+110
+7-105
-7-110
+7+100
41
38
-0.29140-0.27612-0.55521
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
57.2%
42.8%
-210
+190
-210
+190
-4½-109
+5-104
-4½-110
+5-110
35
16
-0.40603-0.40603-0.55820
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
14.7%
85.3%
+880
-1280
+850
-1200
+16-112
-15½-109
+16-110
-15-110
14
28
-0.09129-0.09551-0.15890
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
21.2%
78.8%
-165
+155
-165
+155
-3-115
+3+101
-3-110
+3+100
26
56
-0.95514-0.95514-0.23866
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
87.0%
13.0%
-880
+680
-900
+700
-13½-104
+13½-114
-13½-110
+13½-110
38
3
-0.12231-0.11935-0.13912
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27.6%
72.4%
+280
-330
+277
-320
+7-109
-7½+105
+7-110
-7-110
27
44
-0.28483-0.28991-0.32363
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
66.2%
33.8%
-165
+155
-165
+155
-3-114
+3+105
-3-110
+3+100
37
35
-0.48574-0.48574-0.41325
New York Jets
New England Patriots
20.2%
79.8%
+150
-165
+150
-160
+3+108
-3-119
+3½-110
-3-110
14
28
-0.49213-0.49809-0.22602
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.