NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Lions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
15.0%
85.0%
-159
+140
-157
+140
-3-109
+3-110
-3-110
+3+100
20
6
-0.51803-0.52002-1.89605
New England Patriots
Las Vegas Raiders
46.5%
53.5%
+132
-145
+135
-145
+3-120
-3+105
+3-105
-3+105
17
21
-0.54713-0.54173-0.62577
Carolina Panthers
Miami Dolphins
33.3%
66.7%
+725
-900
+775
-1050
+14-110
-14-110
+14-110
-14-110
21
42
-0.12635-0.11794-0.40510
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
85.1%
14.9%
+175
-205
+173
-190
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
-4-110
20
37
-0.43245-0.44410-1.90053
New Orleans Saints
Houston Texans
77.9%
22.1%
-130
+115
-126
+115
-2-110
+2-105
-2-110
+2-110
13
20
-0.79536-0.78785-1.50909
San Francisco 49ers
Cleveland Browns
44.0%
56.0%
-450
+385
-475
+425
-9½-110
+9½-110
-9½-110
+10-110
17
19
-1.60306-1.67462-0.57994
Seattle Seahawks
Cincinnati Bengals
80.9%
19.1%
+140
-160
+140
-150
+3+100
-3-110
+3-110
-3-105
13
17
-0.51706-0.52736-1.65784
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
47.6%
52.4%
-150
+145
-157
+145
-3-115
+3-105
-3-110
+3-105
19
13
-0.51896-0.51171-0.74185
Washington Football Team
Atlanta Falcons
36.8%
63.2%
+110
-123
+110
-122
+2-110
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-110
24
16
-0.76932-0.76735-1.00041
Baltimore Ravens
Tennessee Titans
59.7%
40.3%
-235
+205
-220
+215
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-110
24
16
-0.38349-0.37964-0.51527
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
9.6%
90.4%
+510
-525
+505
-635
+10+100
-12+110
+10½-110
-10½-110
8
19
-0.17828-0.17506-0.10122
Green Bay Packers
Las Vegas Raiders
69.4%
30.6%
+110
-120
+110
-125
+2-110
-1-115
+2-110
-1-110
13
17
-0.62755-0.61904-1.18404
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers
32.1%
67.9%
+165
-182
+175
-175
+3½-105
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½+100
10
42
-0.46040-0.45199-0.38778
Kansas City Chiefs
Minnesota Vikings
76.0%
24.0%
-170
+160
-175
+165
-3-120
+3½-115
-3½+100
+3½-110
27
20
-0.47678-0.46561-0.27420
New York Jets
Denver Broncos
32.2%
67.8%
+115
-130
+120
-130
+2-108
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-110
31
21
-0.79536-0.80802-1.13389
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Rams
24.0%
76.0%
-185
+165
-190
+175
-3½-110
+3½-110
-3½-110
+3½-110
23
14
-0.45828-0.44150-1.42887
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.