NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Bengals
Arizona Cardinals
20.4%
79.6%
-170
+158
-170
+160
-3-120
+3+105
-3-110
+3+105
34
20
-0.47970-0.47678-1.59052
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
49.2%
50.8%
-210
+187
-225
+197
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
+5-110
10
17
-1.07984-1.11715-0.67643
New Orleans Saints
New England Patriots
70.2%
29.8%
+110
-130
+115
-128
+2-108
-2-110
+2+100
-1½-110
34
0
-0.78250-0.79164-0.35358
New York Giants
Miami Dolphins
27.0%
73.0%
+550
-700
+575
-735
+12½-108
-12-110
+12½-110
-12½-110
16
31
-0.16198-0.15555-0.31455
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
43.3%
56.7%
-135
+123
-135
+127
-2½-110
+2½-105
-2½-110
+2½-105
16
23
-0.82465-0.83466-0.56752
Carolina Panthers
Detroit Lions
50.1%
49.9%
+380
-450
+400
-475
+9½-105
-9-107
+9½-110
-9½-110
24
42
-0.22684-0.21680-0.69421
Houston Texans
Atlanta Falcons
36.8%
63.2%
+117
-135
+125
-135
+2½-110
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-110
19
21
-0.58900-0.57304-0.45857
Jacksonville Jaguars
Buffalo Bills
10.5%
89.5%
+200
-220
+215
-240
+5-110
-4½-110
+5½-110
-4½-110
25
20
-1.11923-1.17047-2.25218
Chicago Bears
Washington Football Team
51.8%
48.2%
+220
-255
+225
-260
+6-110
-6-105
+6-110
-6-110
40
20
-1.19349-1.20815-0.65776
Seattle Seahawks
New York Giants
77.1%
22.9%
-135
+120
-135
+120
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2-110
+2½-105
24
3
-0.58291-0.58291-0.26053
Kansas City Chiefs
New York Jets
91.1%
8.9%
-415
+388
-410
+375
-8-110
+8½-110
-8-110
+8½-110
23
20
-0.22657-0.23260-0.09355
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
48.6%
51.4%
+700
-1000
+720
-1000
+15½-110
-14½-110
+15-110
-14½-110
16
35
-0.12883-0.12588-0.66495
New England Patriots
Dallas Cowboys
55.2%
44.8%
+225
-255
+230
-260
+6-105
-6-110
+6-110
-6-110
3
38
-0.35652-0.35037-0.80211
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
51.9%
48.1%
+240
-255
+240
-260
+7-127
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-110
17
24
-0.34321-0.34163-0.73287
Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
16.3%
83.7%
-135
+119
-135
+130
-2½-105
+2+100
-2½-110
+2½-105
3
27
-0.81452-0.84211-0.17791
Washington Football Team
Philadelphia Eagles
42.6%
57.4%
+360
-400
+365
-425
+8½-110
-10+110
+9½-110
-8½-110
31
34
-0.24038-0.23558-0.55593
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.