NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-210
+195
-206
+5-105
-4-110
+4½-110
-4-108
5.8
28.4
34.2
o45½-110
u46½-107
o46½-110
u47-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.4%
43.6%
+290
-350
+305
-320
+7½-117
-7-115
+7½-116
-7-110
22.9
20.3
43.2
o46-110
u47½-110
o46-110
u46½-110
All Bet Values Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
57.2%
42.8%
+395
-470
+390
-420
+10-105
-10-109
+10½-115
-10-110
22
24
-0.20915-0.22088-0.84919
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
75.5%
24.5%
-125
+110
-125
+115
-1½-109
+0+105
-1½-110
+2-110
19
23
-0.77583-0.78794-1.40462
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
41.7%
58.3%
-350
+290
-335
+300
-7½+105
+7½-115
-7-110
+7½-120
38
9
-0.27354-0.27437-0.87462
Tennessee Titans
Green Bay Packers
40.5%
59.5%
+160
-170
+160
-170
+3+101
-3-119
+3+100
-3-110
14
40
-0.47400-0.47400-0.51866
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
43.3%
56.7%
-169
+155
-165
+155
-3-118
+3+105
-3-110
+3+100
17
37
-0.96244-0.95514-0.56766
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
30.7%
69.3%
+110
-125
+117
-120
+1+102
-1½-105
+2½-110
-1½-110
9
20
-0.61676-0.61192-0.36616
Carolina Panthers
Washington Football Team
53.1%
46.9%
-115
+100
-115
+100
-1-109
+0-103
-1-110
+1-110
20
13
-0.65886-0.65886-0.63354
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
36.6%
63.4%
+110
-127
+115
-125
+2-105
-2-109
+2½-110
-2-110
16
19
-0.61315-0.60657-0.45623
Atlanta Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs
17.8%
82.2%
+455
-550
+450
-525
+10½-103
-12+103
+11-110
-11-105
14
17
-0.18273-0.18743-0.19637
New York Giants
Baltimore Ravens
10.3%
89.7%
+360
-420
+375
-420
+10-114
-10½+115
+9½-110
-9½-110
13
27
-0.22922-0.22492-0.10894
Chicago Bears
Jacksonville Jaguars
65.5%
34.5%
-450
+390
-450
+400
-10+110
+9½-104
-9-110
+9-110
41
17
-0.21437-0.21185-0.42315
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers
43.9%
56.1%
-110
-110
+100
-110
-1+100
+0-103
+1-110
+0-110
24
28
-0.69315-0.66963-0.57725
Cincinnati Bengals
Houston Texans
32.7%
67.3%
+280
-335
+290
-330
+9-130
-7½-104
+7½-110
-7½+100
37
31
-1.40031-1.40862-1.11862
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets
59.2%
40.8%
-300
+260
-300
+264
-7+100
+7-110
-6½-110
+6½+100
16
23
-1.33222-1.33804-0.89634
Miami Dolphins
Las Vegas Raiders
39.9%
60.1%
-135
+130
-135
+120
-2½-107
+3-120
-2½-110
+2½+100
26
25
-0.56240-0.57989-0.91962
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
72.9%
27.1%
+235
-270
+250
-265
+6½-120
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-110
20
12
-1.25741-1.27354-0.31596
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81165 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.81256 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.81147
0.00018
0.00109

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.