NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 26, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
New York Giants (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
49.9%
50.1%
-205
+175
-195
+180
-4½-110
+4½-110
-4-110
+4½-108
25.2
25.0
50.2
o44-110
u44-110
o44-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
8.6%
91.4%
+205
-210
+197
-220
+5-105
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-108
34.2
o45½-110
u46½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
3rd Q
12:38
3
34
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
56.4%
43.6%
+300
-350
+305
-325
+7½-117
-7-115
+7½-116
-7-110
43.2
o45½-110
u47½-110
o45½-110
u46-110
2nd Q
01:58
21
10

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
73.3%
26.7%
-630
+520
-660
+520
-13½+105
+12-105
-12-110
+12½-110
47
7
-0.16151-0.15833-0.31058
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
33.0%
67.0%
+255
-300
+260
-290
+6½-110
-7+113
+6½-110
-6½-110
33
52
-0.30903-0.31075-0.40021
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
76.0%
24.0%
-1000
+750
-1050
+750
-14½-109
+14½-105
-14-110
+14½-110
17
27
-2.26068-2.27975-1.42887
Cleveland Browns
New York Giants
61.3%
38.7%
-280
+260
-270
+250
-7+115
+7-125
-6-110
+6½-110
20
6
-0.31535-0.32572-0.48898
Kansas City Chiefs
New Orleans Saints
54.9%
45.1%
-137
+130
-140
+130
-2½-114
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-115
32
29
-0.55925-0.55466-0.59949
Philadelphia Eagles
Arizona Cardinals
63.1%
36.9%
+230
-260
+240
-260
+6½-115
-7+120
+6½-110
-6-110
26
33
-0.34305-0.33680-0.99663
New York Jets
Los Angeles Rams
29.8%
70.2%
+1200
-1840
+1300
-1400
+17-109
-17-109
+17-110
-17-110
23
20
-2.74528-2.67292-1.20935
San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys
54.6%
45.4%
-190
+175
-190
+175
-3½-110
+4-109
-3½-110
+3½-110
33
41
-1.03778-1.03778-0.78992
Jacksonville Jaguars
Baltimore Ravens
7.4%
92.6%
+660
-860
+650
-725
+12½-109
-13½+110
+12½-110
-12½-110
14
40
-0.12542-0.13613-0.07650
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
31.3%
68.7%
+130
-150
+131
-145
+3-115
-2½-123
+3-110
-3+100
33
27
-0.87373-0.86624-1.16008
Seattle Seahawks
Washington Football Team
82.0%
18.0%
-260
+250
-265
+240
-7+120
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-110
20
15
-0.33094-0.33414-0.19798
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
72.8%
27.2%
-123
+105
-120
+105
-1-114
+0+103
-1-110
+1-105
12
22
-0.75903-0.75252-1.30085
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
62.7%
37.3%
-265
+235
-270
+250
-7+120
+6½-115
-6-110
+6½-110
31
27
-0.33721-0.32572-0.46657
Detroit Lions
Tennessee Titans
29.0%
71.0%
+330
-400
+350
-380
+9-109
-10+115
+9-110
-8-110
25
46
-0.24370-0.24242-0.34231
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
25.6%
74.4%
+315
-375
+320
-360
+9-125
-7½-104
+7½-110
-7½+100
20
27
-0.25585-0.25843-0.29516
Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers
21.4%
78.6%
+395
-430
+380
-440
+9½-105
-10½+115
+9½-110
-9-110
16
24
-0.21735-0.21910-0.24037
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.78543 
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.78808 
DRatings148-6 (0.571)0-0.82079
-0.03536
-0.03271

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.