NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
41.2%
58.8%
+190
-210
+196
-215
+4½-110
-4½-105
+5-110
-4½-110
26
9
-1.08672-1.10537-0.88617
Los Angeles Rams
Indianapolis Colts
45.1%
54.9%
-123
+105
-120
+105
-1½-110
+2-110
-1-110
+1½-110
29
23
-0.63360-0.63885-0.79666
Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston Texans
71.6%
28.4%
-150
+130
-150
+140
-3+100
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-119
6
30
-0.86710-0.89199-1.25762
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
64.4%
35.6%
-118
+100
-115
+105
-1-110
+1-105
-1-110
+1½-110
28
3
-0.65427-0.64814-0.44069
Denver Broncos
Chicago Bears
32.3%
67.7%
-145
+140
-155
+145
-3+100
+3-110
-3-105
+3-105
31
28
-0.53299-0.51371-1.12936
Minnesota Vikings
Carolina Panthers
53.5%
46.5%
-205
+177
-195
+190
-4-110
+4½-110
-4-110
+4½-110
21
13
-0.42991-0.41980-0.62541
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
29.8%
70.2%
+137
-150
+138
-145
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
20
48
-0.53253-0.53645-0.35369
Atlanta Falcons
Jacksonville Jaguars
78.5%
21.5%
+157
-175
+155
-165
+3+105
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-110
7
23
-0.47715-0.48848-1.53707
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
14.8%
85.2%
-135
+117
-140
+122
-2½-110
+2-105
-2½-110
+2½-110
34
20
-0.58900-0.57222-1.90744
Los Angeles Rams
Cincinnati Bengals
78.0%
22.0%
+150
-160
+150
-165
+3+100
-3-117
+3+100
-3-110
16
19
-0.50078-0.49617-1.51463
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
18.4%
81.6%
-240
+215
-245
+220
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-110
25
11
-0.37138-0.36468-1.69527
Pittsburgh Steelers
Las Vegas Raiders
64.6%
35.4%
+143
-160
+142
-155
+3-110
-3-110
+3-110
-3-105
23
18
-0.91444-0.90461-0.43645
Chicago Bears
Kansas City Chiefs
15.2%
84.8%
+545
-700
+575
-725
+12-110
-11½-108
+12½-110
-12½-110
10
41
-0.16313-0.15579-0.16450
Dallas Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals
28.7%
71.3%
-570
+470
-625
+550
-11-110
+10½-105
-11-110
+12-110
16
28
-1.76633-1.88757-0.33799
Carolina Panthers
Seattle Seahawks
20.5%
79.5%
+180
-200
+190
-206
+4½-110
-4-105
+4½-110
-4½-110
27
37
-0.42898-0.41358-0.22990
Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens
36.2%
63.8%
+290
-350
+320
-360
+7½-110
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7½-105
22
19
-1.39461-1.45556-1.01633
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.