NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
Detroit Lions
56.6%
43.4%
+155
-170
+160
-170
+3+100
-3-117
+3½-115
-3-110
6
20
-0.48418-0.47678-0.83471
Buffalo Bills
Washington Football Team
72.0%
28.0%
-218
+205
-220
+200
-4½-110
+4½-105
-4½-110
+5½-110
37
3
-0.39087-0.39531-0.32806
Denver Broncos
Miami Dolphins
27.4%
72.6%
+230
-257
+235
-260
+6-110
-7+117
+6-110
-6-110
20
70
-0.35132-0.34595-0.31961
New Orleans Saints
Green Bay Packers
47.5%
52.5%
-115
+110
-120
+106
-2-105
+1½-105
-1-110
+1½-110
17
18
-0.75294-0.75313-0.64409
New England Patriots
New York Jets
71.7%
28.3%
-135
+117
-135
+120
-2½-110
+1+108
-2½-110
+2½+100
15
10
-0.58900-0.58291-0.33250
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
68.0%
32.0%
+295
-330
+320
-365
+7+100
-7½+100
+7½-110
-7½+100
37
17
-1.39412-1.45783-0.38581
Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns
54.9%
45.1%
+165
-180
+163
-170
+3½-105
-3½-110
+3½-110
-3½-110
3
27
-0.46185-0.47244-0.79624
Los Angeles Chargers
Minnesota Vikings
35.0%
65.0%
-110
-102
-105
+100
+0-110
+1-110
+1-110
+1-110
28
24
-0.67497-0.68116-1.04939
New York Giants
San Francisco 49ers
27.6%
72.4%
+460
-525
+480
-600
+10½-112
-12+110
+10½-105
-10½-110
12
30
-0.19275-0.18327-0.32299
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
30.0%
70.0%
-135
+122
-130
+122
-2½-110
+2-105
-2-110
+2½-110
22
26
-0.82212-0.81306-0.35716
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
76.9%
23.1%
-160
+154
-165
+155
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
+3+100
20
17
-0.49456-0.48848-0.26282
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
47.7%
52.3%
-125
+110
-118
+115
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1-110
+2-110
24
17
-0.61904-0.62019-0.74024
Washington Football Team
Denver Broncos
50.1%
49.9%
+175
-190
+175
-185
+4-109
-3½-110
+4-110
-4-110
35
33
-1.03022-1.02427-0.69125
New York Jets
Dallas Cowboys
28.0%
72.0%
+310
-360
+350
-365
+7½+105
-8-110
+8½-110
-8-110
10
30
-0.27128-0.24928-0.32862
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
32.5%
67.5%
-310
+275
-315
+290
-7-110
+7+100
-7-110
+7½-115
30
23
-0.30209-0.29103-1.12365
New York Giants
Arizona Cardinals
24.5%
75.5%
-220
+190
-220
+197
-4½-110
+4½+100
-4½-110
+5-110
31
28
-0.40651-0.39860-1.40846
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.