NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16.9%
83.1%
-140
+125
-140
+130
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-110
+3-119
31
14
-0.56639-0.55696-1.77898
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
83.0%
17.0%
+350
-425
+350
-410
+8-115
-7½-103
+7½-110
-7-120
17
24
-0.24256-0.24406-1.77449
New York Giants
Minnesota Vikings
29.2%
70.8%
+130
-145
+133
-145
+2½+100
-2½-114
+3-120
-2½-110
31
24
-0.85918-0.86669-1.22936
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
29.8%
70.2%
+725
-1050
+800
-1100
+14-110
-14+100
+14-110
-13½-110
31
34
-0.12466-0.11441-0.35369
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
68.5%
31.5%
-130
+115
-135
+120
-2-108
+1+103
-2-110
+2½-110
30
31
-0.79536-0.81706-1.15363
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
61.5%
38.5%
+385
-420
+415
-450
+9-110
-10+105
+9½-110
-9-110
23
41
-0.22736-0.21295-0.95469
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
14.8%
85.2%
+210
-205
+230
-240
+4½-109
-4-110
+5-110
-4-110
20
16
-1.12609-1.20281-1.90744
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Football Team
43.8%
56.2%
-345
+300
-320
+300
-7-114
+8½-120
-7½-110
+7½-105
6
26
-1.41124-1.39812-0.57709
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
50.6%
49.4%
+235
-130
+240
-275
+5-110
-2-109
+6½-110
-6½-110
28
31
-0.42405-0.33724-0.70591
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
48.6%
51.4%
+790
-1000
+930
-1100
+14½-110
-14-109
+14+100
-14-110
13
38
-0.11653-0.10067-0.66495
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
36.8%
63.2%
+925
-890
+1080
-1600
+17-110
-14-109
+17-110
-17-105
16
22
-0.10303-0.08622-0.45925
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
40.1%
59.9%
+245
-220
+230
-240
+6½-109
-4½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
16
19
-0.35179-0.35718-0.51254
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
47.6%
52.4%
-275
+275
-260
+245
-7+110
+7½-109
-6½-110
+6½-110
29
13
-0.31016-0.33743-0.74185
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
83.0%
17.0%
+545
-650
+585
-650
+12-110
-7½+106
+11½-110
-11-110
16
27
-0.16458-0.15567-1.77449
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
27.2%
72.8%
+330
-340
+340
-400
+9½-120
-7½-109
+8-110
-7½-110
23
35
-0.26311-0.25005-0.31700
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
16.2%
83.8%
+165
-180
+170
-180
+3½-114
-3½-102
+4-110
-3½-105
10
7
-0.99458-1.00641-1.82065
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.