NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 14, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Washington Football Team (7-9)
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
Unknown
Unknown
42.6%
57.4%
+187
-217
+200
-225
+4½-110
-4-113
+4½-102
-4-110
19.8
22.5
42.3
o49-110
u49-110
o48½-110
u49½-110
Games for Nov 13, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
18.4%
81.6%
-290
+250
-285
+250
-6½-109
+7-116
-6½-110
+6½+100
38
21
-0.31616-0.31846-1.69162
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
80.2%
19.8%
-255
+225
-260
+230
-5½-115
+6-105
-5½-110
+6-110
33
7
-0.34912-0.34307-0.22042
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
57.4%
42.6%
-325
+270
-330
+300
-7½+110
+7-105
-7-110
+7+100
41
38
-0.29140-0.27612-0.55521
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
57.2%
42.8%
-210
+190
-210
+190
-4½-109
+5-104
-4½-110
+5-110
35
16
-0.40603-0.40603-0.55820
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
14.7%
85.3%
+880
-1280
+850
-1200
+16-112
-15½-109
+16-110
-15-110
14
28
-0.09129-0.09551-0.15890
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
21.2%
78.8%
-165
+155
-165
+155
-3-115
+3+101
-3-110
+3+100
26
56
-0.95514-0.95514-0.23866
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
87.0%
13.0%
-880
+680
-900
+700
-13½-104
+13½-114
-13½-110
+13½-110
38
3
-0.12231-0.11935-0.13912
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27.6%
72.4%
+280
-330
+277
-320
+7-109
-7½+105
+7-110
-7-110
27
44
-0.28483-0.28991-0.32363
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
66.2%
33.8%
-165
+155
-165
+155
-3-114
+3+105
-3-110
+3+100
37
35
-0.48574-0.48574-0.41325
New York Jets
New England Patriots
20.2%
79.8%
+150
-165
+150
-160
+3+108
-3-119
+3½-110
-3-110
14
28
-0.49213-0.49809-0.22602
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
57.2%
42.8%
+395
-470
+390
-420
+10-105
-10-109
+10½-115
-10-110
22
24
-0.20915-0.22088-0.84919
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
75.5%
24.5%
-125
+110
-125
+115
-1½-109
+0+105
-1½-110
+2-110
19
23
-0.77583-0.78794-1.40462
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
41.7%
58.3%
-350
+290
-335
+300
-7½+105
+7½-115
-7-110
+7½-120
38
9
-0.27354-0.27437-0.87462
Tennessee Titans
Green Bay Packers
40.5%
59.5%
+160
-170
+160
-170
+3+101
-3-119
+3+100
-3-110
14
40
-0.47400-0.47400-0.51866
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
43.3%
56.7%
-169
+155
-165
+155
-3-118
+3+105
-3-110
+3+100
17
37
-0.96244-0.95514-0.56766
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
30.7%
69.3%
+110
-125
+117
-120
+1+102
-1½-105
+2½-110
-1½-110
9
20
-0.61676-0.61192-0.36616
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.63305 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.62988 
DRatings136-7 (0.462)0-0.64244
-0.00939
-0.01256

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.