NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New Orleans Saints
Arizona Cardinals
64.5%
35.5%
+130
-140
+135
-145
+2½-105
-2½-108
+2½-101
-2½-110
34
42
-0.55696-0.54173-1.03485
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
38.5%
61.5%
+180
-190
+175
-190
+4-109
-4-101
+4-110
-3½-110
16
19
-0.43510-0.44150-0.48652
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
42.0%
58.0%
+250
-225
+240
-270
+6½+101
-6-109
+7-115
-6½-110
17
26
-0.34549-0.33865-0.54478
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
30.0%
70.0%
-110
+132
-150
+140
+0-109
+2½+105
-2½-110
+3-120
24
20
-0.60042-0.52736-1.20417
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
32.2%
67.8%
-135
+120
-130
+120
-2½-108
+1+108
-2-110
+2½-110
9
19
-0.81706-0.80802-0.38787
Carolina Panthers
Los Angeles Rams
23.6%
76.4%
+345
-415
+375
-450
+10-115
-10½+110
+10-110
-9-110
10
24
-0.24598-0.22897-0.26965
San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta Falcons
48.9%
51.1%
-182
+245
-180
+165
-3½-105
+6½-109
-3½-110
+3½-110
14
28
-1.17141-0.99458-0.67231
Minnesota Vikings
Miami Dolphins
41.8%
58.2%
+100
+150
-170
+155
+1-109
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
24
16
-0.58778-0.48418-0.87335
Baltimore Ravens
New York Giants
79.5%
20.5%
-240
+205
-240
+215
-5½-110
+6-109
-5½-110
+6-110
20
24
-1.14832-1.17047-1.58377
New York Jets
Green Bay Packers
8.9%
91.1%
+350
-360
+320
-360
+9½-109
-7½-115
+8-110
-8-110
27
10
-1.50891-1.45556-2.42340
New England Patriots
Cleveland Browns
41.6%
58.4%
+160
-145
+130
-145
+3½-114
-2½-119
+2½+100
-2½-110
38
15
-0.93168-0.85918-0.87685
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
10.2%
89.8%
+115
-123
+112
-120
+2½-109
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1-110
27
34
-0.61153-0.62315-0.10703
Cincinnati Bengals
New Orleans Saints
10.2%
89.8%
-115
+150
-165
+160
-1-109
+3-104
-3-110
+3+100
30
26
-0.55837-0.48102-2.28661
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pittsburgh Steelers
49.5%
50.5%
-280
+350
-425
+380
-6½-109
+9½-107
-9½-110
+10-110
18
20
-1.46227-1.58631-0.68387
Washington Football Team
Chicago Bears
37.4%
62.6%
-120
+108
-115
+105
-1-109
+0+103
-1-110
+1½-110
12
7
-0.63203-0.64814-0.98286
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
15.5%
84.5%
+280
-330
+290
-320
+7-109
-7-108
+7-101
-7-110
29
30
-0.29484-0.29008-0.16869
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.