NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
70.0%
30.0%
-240
+205
-240
+215
-5-112
+5-105
-5-108
+5½-110
21.0
14.3
35.3
o40-115
u40-105
o40½-110
u40½-110
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
23.5%
76.5%
-115
-105
-105
-111
+0-110
+0-105
+1-108
-1-108
21.1
29.4
50.5
o44½-110
u44½-110
o44½-110
u44½-110
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
New England Patriots (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
59.5%
40.5%
-215
+190
-216
+190
-4-115
+4½-105
-4½-110
+5-110
24.1
20.9
45.0
o43-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
-170
+155
-170
+155
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20.7
21.0
41.7
o49-105
u49-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
39.4%
60.6%
+280
-340
+320
-340
+7-105
-7½+100
+7+100
-7-110
23.1
26.2
49.3
o43½-115
u44-112
o44-110
u44½-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
26.3%
73.7%
+640
-800
+720
-1000
+14-110
-14-105
+14-108
-14-108
17.6
24.8
42.4
o47-110
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.3%
67.7%
-255
+220
-250
+220
-6-110
+5½+100
-5½-108
+6-110
19.1
24.0
43.1
o39½-110
u39½-110
o39½-110
u40-110
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
82.0%
18.0%
+170
-190
+170
-190
+3½-106
-4+100
+4-110
-4-110
27.3
14.6
41.9
o43½-110
u44-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%
+240
-280
+245
-280
+6½-105
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-108
28.3
24.8
53.1
o47½-110
u48-115
o48-110
u48½-110
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
58.0%
42.0%
+110
-130
+120
-128
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-108
22.3
19.3
41.6
o44-110
u44-110
o44-110
u44-110
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%
+111
-125
+115
-129
+2-110
-2-105
+2½-108
-2½-105
23.0
19.6
42.6
o46-110
u46-110
o45½-110
u46-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
32.7%
67.3%
+105
-125
+110
-125
+1-105
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-108
19.5
24.2
43.7
o47½-110
u48-115
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New Orleans Saints
Philadelphia Eagles
50.6%
49.4%
-350
+345
-340
+320
-7½-106
+9-125
-7½-105
+8-110
21
24
-1.49848-1.45805-0.70623
Atlanta Falcons
Los Angeles Chargers
43.5%
56.5%
-102
-115
+105
-116
+0-102
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1-110
17
20
-0.66365-0.64508-0.57114
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
65.0%
35.0%
-385
+325
-375
+350
-10+110
+9-109
-8½-110
+9-110
31
24
-0.24941-0.24383-0.43080
New York Jets
Seattle Seahawks
19.0%
81.0%
+825
-1140
+900
-1350
+16½-109
-16½-102
+16½-110
-16½-110
3
40
-0.09914-0.08826-0.21072
Indianapolis Colts
Las Vegas Raiders
67.3%
32.7%
-135
+120
-140
+132
-2½-109
+2½-108
-2½-110
+2½+100
44
27
-0.57989-0.55139-0.39626
Kansas City Chiefs
Miami Dolphins
84.6%
15.4%
-335
+280
-335
+300
-7½+105
+7½-115
-7-110
+7-105
33
27
-0.28307-0.27437-0.16716
Minnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
36.3%
63.7%
+260
-305
+300
-304
+7-115
-7½+120
+7-110
-6½-120
14
26
-0.30427-0.28603-0.45149
Denver Broncos
Carolina Panthers
55.6%
44.4%
+180
-205
+190
-200
+4-107
-3½-109
+4-110
-4-110
32
27
-1.07148-1.08152-0.58740
Houston Texans
Chicago Bears
40.3%
59.7%
-115
-103
-115
+100
-1-104
+0-103
-1-110
+1-110
7
36
-0.72101-0.72865-0.51584
Arizona Cardinals
New York Giants
57.9%
42.1%
-155
+143
-157
+140
-3-109
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
26
7
-0.51390-0.51565-0.54673
Dallas Cowboys
Cincinnati Bengals
78.7%
21.3%
-160
+145
-160
+145
-3-114
+3-104
-3-110
+3-105
30
7
-0.50483-0.50483-0.23993
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
72.9%
27.1%
-365
+370
-360
+325
-9+108
+9-125
-7½-110
+7½-110
31
10
-0.24068-0.25662-0.31651
New England Patriots
Los Angeles Rams
57.3%
42.7%
+200
-225
+195
-220
+5-107
-5-109
+5½-110
-4½-110
3
24
-0.38641-0.39414-0.85205
Dallas Cowboys
Baltimore Ravens
30.6%
69.4%
+360
-390
+350
-410
+9-109
-10+115
+9-110
-8½-110
17
34
-0.23665-0.23465-0.36556
Buffalo Bills
San Francisco 49ers
34.9%
65.1%
+110
-120
+110
-125
+0+110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-110
34
24
-0.76492-0.77586-1.05306
Washington Football Team
Pittsburgh Steelers
13.7%
86.3%
+230
-257
+235
-260
+6-115
-5½-104
+6-110
-5½-110
23
17
-1.23248-1.24431-1.98479
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61722 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61296 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.63626
-0.01904
-0.02330

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.