NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
70.0%
30.0%
-240
+205
-240
+215
-5-112
+5-105
-5-108
+5½-110
21.0
14.3
35.3
o40-115
u40-105
o40½-110
u40½-110
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
23.5%
76.5%
-115
-105
-105
-111
+0-110
+0-105
+1-108
-1-108
21.1
29.4
50.5
o44½-110
u44½-110
o44½-110
u44½-110
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
New England Patriots (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
59.5%
40.5%
-215
+190
-216
+190
-4-115
+4½-105
-4½-110
+5-110
24.1
20.9
45.0
o43-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
-170
+155
-170
+155
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20.7
21.0
41.7
o49-105
u49-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
39.4%
60.6%
+280
-340
+320
-340
+7-105
-7½+100
+7+100
-7-110
23.1
26.2
49.3
o43½-115
u44-112
o44-110
u44½-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
26.3%
73.7%
+640
-800
+720
-1000
+14-110
-14-105
+14-108
-14-108
17.6
24.8
42.4
o47-110
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.3%
67.7%
-255
+220
-250
+220
-6-110
+5½+100
-5½-108
+6-110
19.1
24.0
43.1
o39½-110
u39½-110
o39½-110
u40-110
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
82.0%
18.0%
+170
-190
+170
-190
+3½-106
-4+100
+4-110
-4-110
27.3
14.6
41.9
o43½-110
u44-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%
+240
-280
+245
-280
+6½-105
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-108
28.3
24.8
53.1
o47½-110
u48-115
o48-110
u48½-110
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
58.0%
42.0%
+110
-130
+120
-128
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-108
22.3
19.3
41.6
o44-110
u44-110
o44-110
u44-110
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%
+111
-125
+115
-129
+2-110
-2-105
+2½-108
-2½-105
23.0
19.6
42.6
o46-110
u46-110
o45½-110
u46-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
32.7%
67.3%
+105
-125
+110
-125
+1-105
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-108
19.5
24.2
43.7
o47½-110
u48-115
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
14.0%
86.0%
+700
-750
+650
-810
+13½-110
-14+115
+13-110
-12½-105
16
22
-0.12933-0.12966-0.15086
New England Patriots
Los Angeles Chargers
58.1%
41.9%
+115
-130
+116
-130
+1+102
-2-109
+2-110
-1½-110
45
0
-0.79862-0.80102-0.54380
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
51.8%
48.2%
+335
-400
+342
-400
+9½-120
-8-109
+8½-110
-8½-110
16
30
-0.24200-0.23968-0.72927
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
49.1%
50.9%
-145
+130
-140
+130
-2½-118
+3-120
-2½-110
+3-120
38
28
-0.54726-0.55466-0.71182
New York Giants
Seattle Seahawks
17.7%
82.3%
+500
-580
+475
-580
+11-109
-12+103
+11-110
-10½-110
17
12
-1.85240-1.82959-1.73342
Cleveland Browns
Tennessee Titans
40.7%
59.3%
+190
-190
+180
-200
+4-114
-4+100
+4-110
-4-105
41
35
-1.06470-1.06352-0.89990
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
66.1%
33.9%
-143
+125
-140
+130
-3+105
+2+105
-2½-110
+3-120
21
16
-0.55858-0.55466-0.41391
Las Vegas Raiders
New York Jets
47.9%
52.1%
-360
+300
-360
+304
-7½+101
+8½-130
-7-110
+7½-120
31
28
-0.26618-0.26456-0.73603
Jacksonville Jaguars
Minnesota Vikings
16.2%
83.8%
+400
-470
+425
-480
+10-109
-11+110
+10-110
-10-110
24
27
-0.20791-0.20021-0.17632
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
65.2%
34.8%
-175
+165
-170
+160
-3-124
+3+110
-3-120
+3½-110
26
20
-0.46283-0.47401-0.42800
Cincinnati Bengals
Miami Dolphins
39.2%
60.8%
+440
-500
+434
-500
+10-105
-11+110
+10-110
-10-110
7
19
-0.19350-0.19476-0.49755
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
36.6%
63.4%
+140
-155
+140
-150
+3-113
-3-104
+3-110
-3+100
34
30
-0.90533-0.89568-1.00485
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
62.9%
37.1%
+450
-525
+450
-545
+10½-108
-12+110
+10½-105
-10½-110
14
19
-0.18743-0.18444-0.99034
Seattle Seahawks
Philadelphia Eagles
45.0%
55.0%
-290
+255
-270
+260
-7+110
+6½-105
-6½-110
+6½+100
23
17
-0.31341-0.32025-0.79760
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
32.5%
67.5%
+315
-370
+380
-370
+9½-125
-7½-104
+9½-110
-7½-105
25
41
-0.25730-0.23642-0.39236
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
58.5%
41.5%
-170
+160
-170
+170
-3½+101
+3½-115
-3-110
+3½-110
27
24
-0.47401-0.46262-0.53546
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61722 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61296 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.63626
-0.01904
-0.02330

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.