NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
11.6%
88.4%
+160
-160
+150
-165
+3½-114
-3-110
+3+100
-3-110
17
19
-0.48552-0.49617-0.12332
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Rams
22.2%
77.8%
+205
-220
+200
-220
+5½-109
-5½-109
+5½-110
-5-110
22
10
-1.13038-1.11923-1.50711
Philadelphia Eagles
Arizona Cardinals
30.8%
69.2%
-225
+200
-225
+197
-5-109
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-110
20
17
-0.39304-0.39632-1.17753
San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers
55.5%
44.5%
-250
+235
-240
+220
-5½-114
+6½-109
-6-110
+6-110
37
15
-0.34919-0.36652-0.58861
Detroit Lions
New England Patriots
31.3%
68.7%
+150
-150
+135
-154
+3+101
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
0
29
-0.51083-0.53171-0.37471
Los Angeles Chargers
Cleveland Browns
32.8%
67.2%
-117
+115
-118
+105
-1½-106
+2½-109
-1½-110
+1½-110
30
28
-0.62200-0.64249-1.11602
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
74.3%
25.7%
-165
+150
-162
+155
-3-119
+3+101
-3-110
+3½-119
17
40
-0.93869-0.94652-1.35689
Tennessee Titans
Washington Football Team
67.2%
32.8%
-110
+110
-110
+100
+0-108
+1½-109
+0-110
+1-110
21
17
-0.64663-0.67015-0.39782
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
41.4%
58.6%
+325
-345
+330
-365
+8½-110
-7½-109
+8½-110
-8-110
22
29
-0.26505-0.25950-0.53469
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
22.3%
77.7%
+390
-465
+400
-460
+10½-110
-10-109
+10-110
-10-110
15
21
-0.22152-0.21791-0.25264
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
43.9%
56.1%
+655
-855
+630
-850
+14-109
-14-105
+14-110
-14-110
3
38
-0.13798-0.14246-0.57873
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
68.0%
32.0%
+265
-300
+264
-310
+7-109
-7½+120
+7-110
-7+100
13
6
-1.31841-1.32234-0.38581
Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans Saints
37.5%
62.5%
+205
-225
+197
-215
+5½-108
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-110
32
39
-0.38769-0.40099-0.46956
New York Giants
Green Bay Packers
16.7%
83.3%
+335
-370
+384
-400
+9-110
-8-109
+9½-110
-8½-110
27
22
-1.48713-1.58353-1.78689
Indianapolis Colts
Denver Broncos
72.9%
27.1%
+165
-175
+160
-170
+3+105
-3-118
+3½-110
-3-120
12
9
-0.98819-0.96964-0.31612
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
57.2%
42.8%
+110
-127
+115
-120
+1+103
-2-109
+2-110
-1½-110
9
24
-0.61580-0.61667-0.84777
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.