NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
55.6%
44.4%
+113
-130
+115
-128
+1+103
-2-109
+2-110
-2-110
41
31
-0.79023-0.79164-0.58659
New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers
23.5%
76.5%
+360
-430
+415
-450
+9½-109
-10½+110
+9½-110
-9½-110
24
27
-0.23739-0.21295-0.26811
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
31.7%
68.3%
+130
-138
+135
-140
+2½+101
-2½-115
+3-110
-2½-110
23
32
-0.55953-0.54782-0.38167
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
59.5%
40.5%
-103
-115
+100
-113
+0-103
-1-105
+1-110
-1-110
26
16
-0.71988-0.72321-0.51904
Cleveland Browns
Atlanta Falcons
49.4%
50.6%
-117
+105
-115
+100
-1-108
+0-103
-1-110
+1-110
20
23
-0.74446-0.72743-0.68209
Washington Football Team
Dallas Cowboys
45.1%
54.9%
+145
-160
+145
-155
+3-108
-3-109
+3-105
-3-110
10
25
-0.50878-0.51371-0.60055
Jacksonville Jaguars
Philadelphia Eagles
21.9%
78.1%
+240
-270
+240
-270
+6½-109
-7+110
+6½-110
-6-110
21
29
-0.33865-0.33865-0.24744
New York Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers
10.8%
89.2%
+150
-160
+155
-160
+3+100
-3-114
+3-100
-3-110
24
20
-0.93156-0.94358-2.22878
Seattle Seahawks
Detroit Lions
75.7%
24.3%
+150
-170
+165
-165
+3+101
-3-113
+3½-110
-3-110
48
45
-0.94549-0.97456-0.27893
Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans
45.0%
55.0%
-240
+210
-235
+220
-5½-109
+5½-106
-5½-110
+6-110
34
24
-0.37637-0.36844-0.79802
Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens
40.5%
59.5%
-170
+155
-160
+155
-3-119
+3+110
-3-115
+3½-110
23
20
-0.48418-0.49303-0.90444
Chicago Bears
New York Giants
57.8%
42.2%
+130
-149
+130
-148
+3-119
-3+101
+3-115
-2½-110
12
20
-0.54614-0.54728-0.86332
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
43.3%
56.7%
+183
-210
+176
-190
+4½-110
-4-109
+4-110
-4-110
24
17
-1.07058-1.03257-0.83686
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
25.7%
74.3%
-205
+180
-200
+180
-4-107
+4-105
-4-110
+4½-110
28
25
-0.42615-0.42898-1.35868
Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati Bengals
68.7%
31.3%
+180
-200
+180
-200
+4-109
-4-109
+4-110
-4-110
15
27
-0.42898-0.42898-1.16267
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
49.9%
50.1%
+105
-123
+108
-115
+0+103
-1-114
+1½-110
-1-110
23
16
-0.75647-0.74790-0.69509
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.