NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
70.0%
30.0%
-240
+205
-240
+215
-5-112
+5-105
-5-110
+5½-108
21.2
14.4
35.6
o40-115
u40-105
o40½-110
u40½-110
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
23.5%
76.5%
-115
-105
-105
-111
+0-110
+0-105
+1-108
-1-108
21.1
29.4
50.5
o44½-110
u44½-110
o44½-110
u44½-110
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
New England Patriots (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
59.5%
40.5%
-215
+185
-210
+190
-4½-107
+4+100
-4½-110
+4½-110
24.1
20.9
45.0
o43-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
-175
+155
-170
+155
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20.7
21.0
41.7
o49-105
u49-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
39.4%
60.6%
+280
-340
+320
-340
+7½-120
-7-110
+7+100
-7-110
23.1
26.2
49.3
o43½-115
u44-112
o44-110
u44½-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
26.3%
73.7%
+640
-800
+720
-1000
+14-114
-14-105
+14-110
-13½-108
17.6
24.8
42.4
o47-110
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.3%
67.7%
-255
+220
-250
+220
-6-110
+5½+100
-5½-108
+6-110
18.9
23.9
42.8
o39½-110
u39½-110
o39½-110
u40-110
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
82.0%
18.0%
+170
-190
+170
-190
+3½-106
-4+100
+4-110
-4-110
27.4
14.7
42.1
o43½-110
u44-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%
+240
-280
+245
-280
+6½-105
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-108
28.4
25.0
53.4
o47½-110
u48-115
o48-110
u48½-110
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
58.0%
42.0%
+110
-130
+120
-128
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-108
22.2
19.2
41.4
o44-110
u44-110
o44-110
u44-110
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%
+111
-130
+115
-129
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-108
-2½-105
23.0
19.6
42.6
o46-110
u46-110
o45½-110
u46-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
32.7%
67.3%
+105
-125
+110
-125
+1-105
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-108
19.5
24.2
43.7
o47½-110
u48-115
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Jets
Los Angeles Chargers
30.4%
69.6%
+360
-440
+375
-450
+10-114
-10½+113
+9½-105
-9½-110
28
34
-0.22476-0.21837-0.36311
Miami Dolphins
Denver Broncos
36.5%
63.5%
-210
+185
-200
+184
-4-109
+4-105
-4-110
+3½+100
13
20
-1.08847-1.07084-0.45476
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens
21.0%
79.0%
+220
-250
+230
-250
+6-109
-6-105
+6-110
-6-110
30
24
-1.20698-1.22292-1.55913
Cincinnati Bengals
Washington Football Team
50.5%
49.5%
+105
-123
+110
-125
+0+105
-1½-105
+2-110
-1½-110
9
20
-0.63132-0.61676-0.70269
Pittsburgh Steelers
Jacksonville Jaguars
79.3%
20.7%
-500
+435
-500
+425
-12+110
+10½-105
-10-115
+10½-110
27
3
-0.19456-0.19672-0.23196
New England Patriots
Houston Texans
66.8%
33.2%
-140
+130
-140
+130
-2½-114
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
20
27
-0.85395-0.85395-1.10253
Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers
50.5%
49.5%
-168
+155
-165
+150
-3-119
+3+105
-3-110
+3+100
0
20
-0.96063-0.94500-0.70370
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
24.8%
75.2%
+165
-180
+170
-170
+3+115
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½+100
9
24
-0.45768-0.46262-0.28485
Philadelphia Eagles
Cleveland Browns
59.7%
40.3%
+120
-135
+125
-135
+2½-105
-2½-109
+2½-105
-2-110
17
22
-0.57989-0.57089-0.90882
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
26.9%
73.1%
+155
-170
+150
-160
+3+100
-3-109
+3-105
-3-105
21
28
-0.48007-0.49809-0.31326
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
58.5%
41.5%
-170
+160
-170
+160
-3-119
+3+105
-3½+100
+3½-110
19
13
-0.47401-0.47401-0.53669
Baltimore Ravens
New England Patriots
61.8%
38.2%
-310
+275
-280
+272
-7½+115
+7-105
-7+100
+7-110
17
23
-1.36536-1.32430-0.96168
San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints
49.6%
50.4%
+335
-400
+350
-400
+9-105
-10½+120
+9½-110
-9-110
13
27
-0.24200-0.23713-0.68617
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
59.2%
40.8%
+135
-145
+135
-140
+2½+110
-2½-119
+3-110
-2½-115
16
23
-0.53929-0.54663-0.89754
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
16.8%
83.2%
+260
-300
+260
-300
+6½-105
-6½-108
+6½+100
-6½-110
10
36
-0.30638-0.30638-0.18440
Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins
60.8%
39.2%
+105
-121
+110
-124
+0+105
-1½-109
+2-110
-1½-110
21
29
-0.63514-0.61862-0.93532
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61722 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61296 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.63626
-0.01904
-0.02330

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.