NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills
38.9%
61.1%
+365
-425
+390
-430
+10-114
-11+108
+10-110
-9½-110
7
41
-0.23558-0.22437-0.49295
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
21.6%
78.4%
+395
-435
+400
-430
+10-105
-11+108
+10½-110
-10-110
10
27
-0.22191-0.22035-0.24358
Arizona Cardinals
Las Vegas Raiders
53.0%
47.0%
+205
-230
+213
-240
+5½-109
-5½-107
+5½-110
-5½-110
29
23
-1.13968-1.16607-0.63394
Houston Texans
Denver Broncos
50.1%
49.9%
+430
-510
+425
-500
+10½-109
-11+108
+10½-110
-10-110
9
16
-0.20349-0.20586-0.69521
Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas Cowboys
33.8%
66.2%
-319
+280
-320
+290
-8+110
+7-102
-7-110
+7-101
17
20
-1.35919-1.37912-0.41235
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
61.5%
38.5%
+318
-375
+320
-370
+8½-109
-10+110
+8½-110
-8½-110
7
27
-0.26469-0.26425-0.95469
Atlanta Falcons
Los Angeles Rams
28.7%
71.3%
+420
-490
+425
-470
+10-105
-11+108
+10-110
-10-110
27
31
-0.20828-0.20784-0.33846
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers
27.6%
72.4%
-155
+141
-155
+140
-3-105
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
17
14
-0.52037-0.52206-1.28674
Carolina Panthers
New York Giants
52.0%
48.0%
-117
+105
-115
+100
-1-109
+1-105
-1-110
+1-110
16
19
-0.74446-0.72743-0.73395
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
41.2%
58.8%
-143
+130
-141
+130
-2½-114
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-120
20
10
-0.55321-0.55568-0.88617
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
85.1%
14.9%
-160
+148
-150
+146
-3-105
+3+100
-3-110
+3-105
0
24
-0.92669-0.90666-1.90053
Washington Football Team
Detroit Lions
48.6%
51.4%
-110
-110
-105
-110
+0-109
+0-105
+1-110
+0-110
27
36
-0.69315-0.68201-0.66582
New York Jets
Cleveland Browns
18.4%
81.6%
+230
-245
+226
-260
+6-105
-6-109
+6½-110
-6-110
31
30
-1.20701-1.21029-1.69336
Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens
26.5%
73.5%
+155
-171
+160
-175
+3½-119
-3½+101
+3½-110
-3½+100
42
38
-0.95899-0.97625-1.32931
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
12.0%
88.0%
+180
-195
+180
-200
+4-109
-4-104
+4-110
-4-110
24
27
-0.43197-0.42898-0.12775
Denver Broncos
Seattle Seahawks
16.3%
83.7%
-255
+250
-250
+240
-6-109
+7-125
-6-110
+6½-110
16
17
-1.25678-1.23213-0.17806
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.