NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys
76.0%
24.0%
-133
+115
-130
+125
-2½-109
+2½-109
-2-110
+2½-110
19
3
-0.59598-0.58016-0.27457
New York Giants
Tennessee Titans
19.8%
80.2%
+205
-240
+210
-240
+5½-109
-5½-107
+5½-110
-5½-110
21
20
-1.14832-1.15948-1.62181
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
67.3%
32.7%
+113
-130
+120
-130
+1+103
-2-110
+2-110
-2-110
7
23
-0.60466-0.59012-1.11676
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
51.9%
48.1%
+160
-175
+160
-170
+3½-105
-3½-109
+3½-110
-3½-110
19
24
-0.47276-0.47678-0.73287
Kansas City Chiefs
Arizona Cardinals
71.3%
28.7%
-245
+225
-250
+225
-7+118
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-110
44
21
-0.35997-0.35820-0.33855
Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington Football Team
23.2%
76.8%
+140
-150
+140
-150
+3-105
-3-109
+3-110
-3-110
22
28
-0.52736-0.52736-0.26443
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
68.2%
31.8%
-290
+280
-305
+280
-7½+110
+7-109
-7-110
+7-105
20
20
-0.82235-0.82540-0.76445
Philadelphia Eagles
Detroit Lions
50.5%
49.5%
-240
+215
-242
+210
-6-109
+6-109
-6-110
+6-110
38
35
-0.37138-0.37561-0.68326
San Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears
49.6%
50.4%
-260
+235
-250
+240
-7+113
+6½-109
-6½-105
+6½-110
10
19
-1.22946-1.23213-0.68603
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
80.2%
19.8%
+265
-315
+270
-300
+7-109
-7½+105
+7-110
-7-110
23
20
-1.32720-1.32840-0.22015
Cleveland Browns
Carolina Panthers
56.0%
44.0%
+110
-125
+110
-125
+1+103
-1½-109
+2-110
-1½-110
26
24
-0.77319-0.77319-0.57982
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
41.3%
58.7%
+150
-160
+150
-160
+3-104
-3-114
+3+100
-3-110
7
20
-0.50078-0.50078-0.53341
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
71.9%
28.1%
-240
+205
-230
+205
-5½-109
+5½-105
-5½-110
+5½-110
27
26
-0.38151-0.38554-0.33016
Baltimore Ravens
New York Jets
86.5%
13.5%
-285
+255
-290
+270
-7+110
+6½-105
-6½-110
+7-119
24
9
-0.32247-0.31004-0.14467
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams
48.4%
51.6%
-127
+110
-125
+115
-2-108
+2-109
-2-110
+2½-110
31
10
-0.61580-0.60825-0.72528
Los Angeles Rams
Cincinnati Bengals
78.0%
22.0%
-210
+190
-195
+185
-4½-109
+4½-109
-4½-105
+4½-105
23
20
-0.41146-0.42580-0.24832
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.