NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys
61.5%
38.5%
+230
-260
+235
-260
+6½-109
-6½-107
+6½-110
-6-110
25
22
-1.21885-1.22946-0.48591
Houston Texans
San Francisco 49ers
32.7%
67.3%
+500
-615
+600
-600
+13½-103
-13½-114
+14-110
-13½-110
7
23
-0.17712-0.15415-0.39643
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
38.5%
61.5%
+295
-360
+312
-350
+8-109
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-110
13
34
-0.28027-0.27160-0.48652
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
36.7%
63.3%
-310
+260
-310
+290
-7-109
+7-105
-7-110
+7½-115
20
19
-0.31290-0.29201-1.00128
Miami Dolphins
Tennessee Titans
34.8%
65.2%
+153
-170
+150
-160
+3+101
-3-119
+3+100
-3-110
3
34
-0.48721-0.50078-0.42783
Jacksonville Jaguars
New England Patriots
16.8%
83.2%
+820
-1200
+980
-1400
+17½-110
-17-109
+17½-115
-17-110
10
50
-0.11132-0.09459-0.18443
Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals
88.6%
11.4%
-190
+170
-180
+170
-3½-109
+3½-105
-3½-110
+4-110
31
34
-1.01846-1.00641-2.17164
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Football Team
46.4%
53.6%
-250
+215
-260
+225
-6-109
+6-109
-6-110
+6-110
20
16
-0.36772-0.35489-0.76865
Atlanta Falcons
Buffalo Bills
25.6%
74.4%
+690
-890
+750
-1000
+14½-115
-14-109
+14-110
-14-110
15
29
-0.13173-0.12170-0.29566
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Jets
86.7%
13.3%
-870
+670
-850
+660
-14½-104
+14½-110
-14½-105
+14½-110
28
24
-0.13522-0.13721-0.14265
New York Giants
Chicago Bears
31.9%
68.1%
+245
-285
+240
-280
+6½-109
-6½-109
+6½-110
-6½-110
3
29
-0.33042-0.33588-0.38446
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
29.2%
70.8%
+320
-395
+330
-370
+8½-109
-9½+100
+8½-110
-8½-110
23
20
-1.47050-1.47819-1.23131
Miami Dolphins
New Orleans Saints
23.7%
76.3%
-164
+155
-160
+155
-3-119
+3½-115
-3-110
+3+100
20
3
-0.48937-0.49303-1.44088
Washington Football Team
Dallas Cowboys
45.1%
54.9%
+380
-460
+379
-430
+10-105
-10-109
+10-110
-10-110
14
56
-0.22604-0.22899-0.60055
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
31.7%
68.3%
-110
-107
-105
-110
+0-105
+1-112
+1-110
+0-110
13
17
-0.69981-0.68201-0.38167
Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs
29.5%
70.5%
+350
-425
+380
-420
+10-108
-10-109
+10½-110
-10-110
10
36
-0.24256-0.22948-0.34986
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.