NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
70.0%
30.0%
-250
+215
-240
+215
-5½-114
+5½-105
-5-110
+5½-108
21.2
14.4
35.6
o40-115
u40-105
o40½-110
u40½-110
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
23.5%
76.5%
-120
+100
-105
-108
+0-115
+1½-110
+1-110
+0-108
21.1
29.4
50.5
o44-110
u44-105
o44-110
u44½-110
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
New England Patriots (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
59.5%
40.5%
-225
+195
-210
+190
-4½-110
+4½-105
-4½-108
+4½-108
24.1
20.9
45.0
o43-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
-175
+155
-175
+160
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20.7
21.0
41.7
o48½-110
u48½-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
39.4%
60.6%
+285
-350
+310
-340
+7-105
-7½+100
+7+100
-7-110
23.0
26.3
49.3
o43½-110
u43½-105
o44-110
u44-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
26.3%
73.7%
+580
-800
+660
-900
+13½-105
-14-101
+14-110
-13½-108
17.6
24.8
42.4
o47-110
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.3%
67.7%
-255
+220
-250
+225
-6-108
+6-110
-6-108
+6-108
18.9
23.9
42.8
o39½-110
u39½-110
o39½-110
u40-110
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
82.0%
18.0%
+173
-198
+170
-190
+3½+100
-4-105
+4-110
-4-110
27.4
14.7
42.1
o43½-105
u43-105
o43½-110
u44-110
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%
+240
-280
+245
-280
+6½-110
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-108
28.4
25.0
53.4
o47½-107
u48-110
o48-110
u48-110
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
58.0%
42.0%
+114
-130
+120
-128
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-108
22.2
19.2
41.4
o45-105
u44½-105
o44½-110
u45-110
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%
+111
-130
+115
-129
+1½-108
-2-105
+2½-110
-2½-105
23.0
19.6
42.6
o46-110
u46-110
o45½-110
u46½-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
32.7%
67.3%
+105
-125
+107
-125
+1-105
-1-115
+2-110
-1½-108
19.5
24.2
43.7
o48-110
u48-110
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
32.1%
67.9%
+350
-435
+375
-460
+9½-105
-10½+105
+10-110
-10+100
21
31
-0.22887-0.21635-0.38666
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
71.7%
28.3%
-750
+595
-900
+600
-13-105
+13½-109
-13-110
+13½-110
23
20
-0.14015-0.12946-0.33311
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
6.3%
93.7%
+885
-1200
+950
-1325
+17-104
-16½-115
+17-110
-17-110
27
24
-2.41665-2.49241-2.77067
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
17.5%
82.5%
+100
+108
+110
+105
+1-105
+0+105
-1-110
+1½-110
13
6
-0.67409-0.70484-1.74377
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
68.2%
31.8%
-800
+600
-850
+650
-13½-109
+15-130
-14-110
+14½-110
42
10
-0.13581-0.12704-0.38299
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
37.8%
62.2%
+100
-113
+105
-120
+1-104
+0-105
+1½-110
+0-110
28
22
-0.72414-0.75254-0.97315
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
27.5%
72.5%
-175
+195
-200
+210
-3-125
+5-110
-3½-110
+4½-110
21
19
-0.43280-0.39744-1.29208
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
74.2%
25.8%
-135
+135
-135
+125
-2½-109
+3-110
-2½-110
+2½-105
23
33
-0.85442-0.83243-1.35491
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
40.6%
59.4%
+180
-180
+180
-200
+4½-110
-4-109
+4½-110
-4-110
23
10
-1.02963-1.06352-0.90116
Kansas City Chiefs
Chicago Bears
60.4%
39.6%
-290
+285
-310
+280
-7+105
+7½-110
-7+100
+7-110
26
3
-0.29851-0.29240-0.50489
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
16.2%
83.8%
+340
-380
+360
-420
+8-105
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-110
27
13
-1.52418-1.58548-1.81874
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
49.8%
50.2%
-130
+130
-135
+125
-2-109
+3-125
-2½-110
+2½-110
9
17
-0.83292-0.83243-0.68820
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
26.5%
73.5%
+280
-335
+310
-340
+8½-120
-7½-104
+7+105
-7½-110
24
17
-1.40031-1.44570-1.32908
Detroit Lions
Denver Broncos
51.9%
48.1%
+315
-355
+330
-350
+9-110
-8-105
+8-110
-7½-110
17
27
-0.26185-0.25798-0.73114
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
59.3%
40.7%
-425
+395
-480
+380
-11½+115
+10½-115
-9½-110
+10-110
31
15
-0.21847-0.21118-0.52275
Carolina Panthers
Indianapolis Colts
30.0%
70.0%
+260
-300
+275
-310
+7-109
-7½+110
+7-110
-7+100
6
38
-0.30638-0.29475-0.35602
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61722 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61296 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.63626
-0.01904
-0.02330

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.