NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
70.0%
30.0%
-250
+215
-240
+215
-5½-114
+5½-105
-5-108
+5½-110
21.2
14.4
35.6
o40-115
u40-105
o40½-110
u41-110
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
23.5%
76.5%
-120
+100
-105
-108
+0-115
+1½-110
+1-110
+0-108
21.1
29.4
50.5
o44-110
u44-105
o44-110
u44½-110
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
New England Patriots (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
59.5%
40.5%
-225
+195
-210
+190
-4½-110
+4½-105
-4½-108
+4½-108
24.1
20.9
45.0
o43-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u44-110
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
-175
+155
-175
+160
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20.7
21.0
41.7
o48½-110
u48½-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
39.4%
60.6%
+285
-355
+310
-340
+7½-117
-7-115
+7+100
-7-110
23.1
26.2
49.3
o43½-110
u43½-105
o44-110
u44-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
26.3%
73.7%
+600
-800
+660
-900
+13½-105
-14-101
+14-110
-13½-108
17.6
24.8
42.4
o47-110
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.3%
67.7%
-255
+220
-250
+225
-6-108
+6-110
-6-108
+6-108
18.9
23.9
42.8
o39½-110
u39½-110
o39½-110
u40-110
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
82.0%
18.0%
+173
-195
+170
-190
+3½+100
-4-105
+4-110
-4-110
27.4
14.8
42.2
o43-110
u43-105
o43½-110
u44-110
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%
+240
-285
+245
-280
+6½-110
-6½-105
+6½-108
-6½-108
28.4
25.0
53.4
o47½-107
u48-110
o48-110
u48-110
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
58.0%
42.0%
+114
-130
+120
-128
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2-108
22.2
19.2
41.4
o45-105
u44½-105
o44½-110
u45-110
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%
+111
-130
+115
-129
+1½-108
-2-105
+2½-110
-2½-105
23.0
19.6
42.6
o46-110
u46-110
o45½-110
u46½-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
32.7%
67.3%
+105
-125
+107
-125
+1-105
-1-115
+2-110
-1½-108
19.5
24.2
43.7
o48-110
u48-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Bengals
Miami Dolphins
55.6%
44.4%
-110
+110
-125
+110
-1½-109
+1+103
-1½-110
+2-110
35
38
-0.74194-0.77583-0.81168
Pittsburgh Steelers
New York Jets
73.4%
26.6%
-165
+170
-175
+155
-3-110
+3+110
-3-115
+3+100
10
16
-0.98385-0.97313-1.32392
New York Giants
Washington Football Team
60.2%
39.8%
-118
+110
+110
+110
+0-118
+1+100
-1-110
+1½-110
41
35
-0.63010-0.69315-0.50765
New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans
56.0%
44.0%
-175
+175
-180
+165
-3-119
+3½+100
-3½+100
+3½-115
38
28
-0.45199-0.45768-0.57985
Jacksonville Jaguars
Atlanta Falcons
37.0%
63.0%
+290
-335
+295
-340
+7½-110
-7½+101
+7½-110
-7-110
12
24
-0.27859-0.27471-0.46277
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
43.8%
56.2%
+275
-325
+285
-330
+7½-115
-7½+110
+7+100
-7-110
31
34
-0.28899-0.28256-0.57576
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
18.4%
81.6%
+255
-285
+250
-290
+7-115
-7+105
+6½+100
-6½-110
17
24
-0.31568-0.31616-0.20352
Houston Texans
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
51.7%
48.3%
-150
+140
-150
+135
-3+101
+3-105
-3+100
+3-110
23
20
-0.52482-0.53234-0.65929
Indianapolis Colts
New Orleans Saints
30.9%
69.1%
+350
-380
+340
-400
+8½-116
-9+115
+8½-110
-8-110
7
34
-0.24242-0.24033-0.36957
Buffalo Bills
Pittsburgh Steelers
42.9%
57.1%
+100
-105
+105
-115
+1-109
+1-110
+1-110
-1-110
17
10
-0.70542-0.74137-0.84527
Los Angeles Rams
Dallas Cowboys
60.0%
40.0%
-110
+110
-110
+100
-1-109
+1½-105
+0-110
+1½-110
21
44
-0.74194-0.71723-0.91539
Atlanta Falcons
San Francisco 49ers
18.7%
81.3%
+410
-475
+425
-520
+10½-115
-11+110
+10-110
-10-110
29
22
-1.68745-1.73795-1.67456
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
59.6%
40.4%
-115
+110
-120
+110
-1-114
+1½-105
-1½-110
+2-110
39
10
-0.63612-0.62618-0.51797
Cleveland Browns
Arizona Cardinals
61.6%
38.4%
-160
+140
-155
+145
-3-109
+3-105
-2½-125
+3-110
24
38
-0.91467-0.91589-0.95623
Jacksonville Jaguars
Las Vegas Raiders
49.0%
51.0%
+255
-300
+280
-310
+7-110
-7½+120
+7-110
-7+100
20
16
-1.32486-1.37227-0.71431
Miami Dolphins
New York Giants
29.7%
70.3%
+165
-180
+170
-180
+3½-109
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½+100
20
36
-0.45768-0.45216-0.35173
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61722 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61296 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.63626
-0.01904
-0.02330

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.