NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers
65.5%
34.5%
+160
-160
+163
-170
+3+106
-3-120
+3½-110
-3-119
30
28
-0.95550-0.97678-0.42373
Seattle Seahawks
Minnesota Vikings
63.4%
36.6%
-128
+120
-121
+125
-2-109
+2½-105
-1½-110
+2-110
17
30
-0.80428-0.80285-1.00520
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Rams
52.9%
47.1%
-110
-105
-110
-105
+0-109
+1-110
+0-110
+1-110
24
34
-0.70441-0.70441-0.75307
New York Jets
Denver Broncos
32.2%
67.8%
+450
-570
+475
-570
+10-105
-10-109
+10½-110
-10-110
0
26
-0.19368-0.18599-0.38828
Miami Dolphins
Las Vegas Raiders
49.7%
50.3%
+172
-195
+170
-175
+3½-105
-3½-109
+4-110
-3½-110
28
31
-0.44223-0.45869-0.68782
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
13.7%
86.3%
+125
-138
+130
-140
+3-125
-2½-110
+3-120
-2½-110
24
10
-0.83492-0.85085-1.99033
Chicago Bears
Cleveland Browns
39.0%
61.0%
+305
-340
+314
-330
+7½-105
-7½-109
+7½-110
-7½-110
6
26
-0.27727-0.27365-0.49418
Atlanta Falcons
New York Giants
58.5%
41.5%
+125
-140
+130
-140
+2½+100
-2½-114
+3-120
-2½-110
17
14
-0.83833-0.85085-0.53611
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
12.0%
88.0%
+260
-300
+270
-294
+7-114
-7-104
+7-110
-7-105
30
24
-1.30833-1.32467-2.12085
New Orleans Saints
New England Patriots
70.2%
29.8%
+130
-145
+130
-145
+3-119
-3+101
+3-110
-2½-120
28
13
-0.85918-0.85918-0.35358
Washington Football Team
Buffalo Bills
20.0%
80.0%
+285
-340
+300
-323
+7-108
-7-109
+7+100
-7-110
21
43
-0.28978-0.28323-0.22279
Baltimore Ravens
Detroit Lions
78.2%
21.8%
-375
+310
-360
+320
-7½-109
+7½-105
-7½-110
+7½-105
19
17
-0.26921-0.26562-0.24614
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
45.7%
54.3%
+190
-210
+190
-210
+4½-110
-4½-104
+5-110
-4½-110
16
25
-0.41146-0.41146-0.61054
Arizona Cardinals
Jacksonville Jaguars
80.5%
19.5%
-385
+315
-370
+325
-8-109
+8½-110
-7½-110
+8½-110
31
19
-0.26509-0.26151-0.21715
Carolina Panthers
Houston Texans
45.9%
54.1%
-410
+340
-400
+348
-8-114
+8-102
-8-110
+8½-110
24
9
-0.24897-0.24609-0.77838
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
14.8%
85.2%
+465
-525
+460
-570
+11½-109
-11½-109
+12-110
-11½-110
17
35
-0.19120-0.19053-0.16071
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.