NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
70.0%
30.0%
-250
+215
-240
+215
-5½-114
+5½-105
-5-108
+5½-110
21.3
14.6
35.9
o40-115
u40½-110
o40½-110
u40½-110
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
23.5%
76.5%
-125
+105
-115
+105
+0-119
+0-101
+0-110
+1½-108
21.1
29.4
50.5
o44-110
u44-110
o44-110
u44½-110
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
New England Patriots (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
59.5%
40.5%
-224
+194
-210
+190
-4½-110
+4½-110
-4½-108
+4½-108
24.0
20.9
44.9
o42½-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u43½-110
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.2%
50.8%
-175
+155
-175
+160
-3-120
+3+100
-3-110
+3+100
20.7
21.0
41.7
o48½-110
u48½-110
o48½-110
u48½-110
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
39.4%
60.6%
+285
-355
+310
-340
+7-105
-7½+100
+7+100
-7-110
23.0
26.3
49.3
o43½-110
u43½-105
o43½-110
u44-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15)
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
26.3%
73.7%
+600
-800
+675
-900
+13½-105
-14-102
+14-110
-13½-108
17.6
24.8
42.4
o47-105
u47-110
o46½-110
u47-110
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.3%
67.7%
-255
+225
-250
+225
-6-105
+6-105
-6-108
+6-108
18.9
23.9
42.8
o39½-110
u39½-110
o39½-110
u40-110
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
New York Jets (2-14)
Unknown
Unknown
82.0%
18.0%
+175
-205
+170
-190
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
-4-110
27.4
14.8
42.2
o43-110
u43-105
o43½-110
u44-110
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%
+240
-285
+245
-280
+6½-110
-6½-109
+6½-108
-6½-108
28.4
25.0
53.4
o47½-110
u48-110
o48-110
u48½-110
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Unknown
Unknown
58.0%
42.0%
+114
-130
+120
-125
+2-110
-2½-105
+2½-110
-1½-108
22.2
19.2
41.4
o45-105
u44½-105
o44½-110
u45-110
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Buffalo Bills (13-3)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%
+112
-130
+115
-130
+1-101
-2-110
+2½-110
-2½-106
23.0
19.6
42.6
o46-110
u46-110
o45½-110
u46½-110
Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
32.7%
67.3%
+105
-125
+107
-125
+1-105
-1-110
+2-110
-1½-108
19.5
24.2
43.7
o48-105
u48½-115
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 16, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
24.2%
75.8%
+180
-190
+180
-190
+4-110
-4-104
+4-110
-3½-110
29
3
-1.04703-1.04703-1.41853
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
64.5%
35.5%
-220
+215
-240
+205
-5-109
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-110
34
17
-0.37831-0.37251-0.43792
Dallas Cowboys
Detroit Lions
65.4%
34.6%
-350
+310
-380
+320
-7-114
+7½-105
-7½+100
+7½-110
35
27
-0.26535-0.25260-0.42474
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
44.7%
55.3%
+145
-145
+140
-150
+3-105
-3+100
+3-105
-3-105
7
21
-0.52452-0.52481-0.59238
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
24.8%
75.2%
+230
-240
+215
-250
+6½-109
-7+110
+6½-110
-6½-110
27
24
-1.20808-1.18486-1.39356
Minnesota Vikings
Dallas Cowboys
49.3%
50.7%
+165
-173
+160
-175
+3½-115
-3-119
+3½-110
-3-120
28
24
-0.98932-0.98315-0.70650
Los Angeles Rams
Pittsburgh Steelers
54.5%
45.5%
-215
+205
-210
+200
-4-114
+5-110
-4-110
+4½-110
12
17
-1.13113-1.11486-0.78656
Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers
39.6%
60.4%
+205
-235
+215
-230
+5-102
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-110
16
24
-0.37570-0.37141-0.50377
Miami Dolphins
Indianapolis Colts
16.8%
83.2%
+445
-505
+450
-550
+10½-105
-12+110
+11-110
-11-110
16
12
-1.74646-1.78480-1.78129
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
50.0%
50.0%
+240
-150
+250
-300
+6½-105
-3+101
+7-110
-3-125
13
20
-0.42627-0.31177-0.69315
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
50.0%
50.0%
-510
+430
-575
+450
-10-114
+10½-105
-10½-110
+10½-110
49
13
-0.19396-0.18031-0.69315
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
50.0%
50.0%
+605
-775
+625
-900
+14½-135
-13½-109
+14-110
-13½-110
26
9
-2.04222-2.03968-0.69315
New York Giants
New York Jets
50.0%
50.0%
-150
+130
-155
+135
-3+100
+3-114
-3-105
+3-110
27
34
-0.87373-0.91632-0.69315
Arizona Cardinals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
50.0%
50.0%
+210
-220
+210
-230
+5½-105
-4½-109
+5½-110
-5-110
27
30
-0.38205-0.38299-0.69315
Buffalo Bills
Cleveland Browns
50.0%
50.0%
+140
-150
+150
-150
+3-110
-3+101
+3-105
-3+100
16
19
-0.52481-0.51765-0.69315
Kansas City Chiefs
Tennessee Titans
50.0%
50.0%
-235
+240
-250
+220
-5½-105
+6-109
-5½-110
+6½-110
32
35
-1.27154-1.21503-0.69315

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61722 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.61296 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.63626
-0.01904
-0.02330

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.