NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
56.0%
44.0%
-193
+175
-185
+178
-3½-109
+4-110
-3½-110
+4-110
35
36
-1.03370-1.03125-0.82084
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Chargers
43.3%
56.7%
+145
-150
+145
-151
+3-107
-3-105
+3-110
-3-105
20
17
-0.90421-0.90580-0.83663
Tennessee Titans
Seattle Seahawks
38.4%
61.6%
+245
-275
+260
-275
+6½-109
-6-116
+6½-110
-6½-110
33
30
-1.26128-1.29197-0.95748
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
22.3%
77.7%
+600
-750
+600
-745
+13-102
-13-110
+13-110
-12½-110
25
48
-0.15007-0.15017-0.25264
Minnesota Vikings
Arizona Cardinals
38.6%
61.4%
+175
-195
+176
-190
+3½-105
-3½-109
+3½-105
-3½-110
33
34
-0.43833-0.44020-0.48717
New England Patriots
New York Jets
71.7%
28.3%
-240
+220
-233
+210
-6-104
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-110
25
6
-0.36652-0.37914-0.33250
Denver Broncos
Jacksonville Jaguars
62.9%
37.1%
-260
+230
-260
+230
-6-108
+6-109
-6-110
+6-110
23
13
-0.35037-0.35037-0.46353
San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles
55.1%
44.9%
-143
+130
-140
+135
-3+105
+3-114
-2½-110
+3-115
17
11
-0.55321-0.54782-0.59657
Los Angeles Rams
Indianapolis Colts
45.1%
54.9%
-195
+180
-210
+190
-3½-109
+4-105
-4-110
+4½-110
27
24
-0.43197-0.41146-0.79666
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
60.2%
39.8%
-185
+165
-182
+175
-3½+100
+3½-109
-3½-105
+4-110
35
0
-0.45828-0.44690-0.50692
Las Vegas Raiders
Pittsburgh Steelers
26.0%
74.0%
+220
-230
+201
-220
+6-109
-5½-110
+6-110
-5-110
26
17
-1.17257-1.12147-1.34630
Cincinnati Bengals
Chicago Bears
27.0%
73.0%
+105
-125
+110
-125
+2-110
-1½-109
+2-110
-1½-110
17
20
-0.63023-0.61904-0.31540
Houston Texans
Cleveland Browns
32.3%
67.7%
+590
-660
+600
-700
+13½-109
-13½-109
+14-110
-13-110
21
31
-0.15434-0.15123-0.38997
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
76.9%
23.1%
-145
+150
-150
+132
-3+100
+3½-119
-3+100
+3-110
7
26
-0.90810-0.87213-1.46482
New York Giants
Washington Football Team
38.6%
61.4%
+175
-196
+180
-200
+4-109
-4-109
+4-110
-4-110
29
30
-0.43771-0.42898-0.48765
Baltimore Ravens
Las Vegas Raiders
68.8%
31.2%
-165
+150
-160
+147
-3-109
+4½-110
-3-110
+3+100
27
33
-0.93869-0.92425-1.16437
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.