NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
55.6%
44.4%
-160
+145
-155
+146
-3-107
+3-109
-3-106
+3-104
9
31
-0.91937-0.91442-0.81243
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
30.0%
70.0%
+145
-160
+140
-155
+3-110
-3-104
+3-110
-3+100
24
38
-0.50878-0.52206-0.35659
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
44.2%
55.8%
+160
-179
+168
-170
+3½-115
-3-119
+3½-115
-3-110
31
26
-0.98136-0.98859-0.81719
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
41.2%
58.8%
+122
-135
+130
-140
+2½-104
-2½-109
+3-120
-2½-110
30
20
-0.82212-0.85085-0.88617
Cleveland Browns
Kansas City Chiefs
18.3%
81.7%
+325
-385
+348
-410
+8-105
-7½-107
+8½-110
-8-110
17
22
-0.25960-0.24502-0.20235
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
48.6%
51.4%
+125
-139
+122
-135
+2½-101
-2½-114
+2½+100
-2½-110
3
17
-0.56768-0.57893-0.66536
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
36.1%
63.9%
+290
-360
+300
-350
+7-109
-7-106
+7-110
-7+100
18
32
-0.28340-0.27871-0.44755
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
30.0%
70.0%
+205
-227
+220
-230
+6-120
-5-109
+6-110
-5-110
48
37
-1.13697-1.17257-1.20284
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
19.6%
80.4%
+460
-575
+500
-605
+11-107
-11-109
+11-110
-11-110
9
21
-0.19031-0.17749-0.21875
Baltimore Ravens
Tennessee Titans
54.3%
45.7%
-180
+167
-180
+165
-3½-104
+3½-112
-3-120
+3½-110
20
13
-0.45907-0.46185-0.61020
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Football Team
75.5%
24.5%
-425
+425
-470
+415
-10-101
+10-105
-10-110
+10-110
31
23
-0.21131-0.21146-0.28096
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
40.1%
59.9%
+162
-177
+155
-164
+3½-115
-3-111
+3+100
-3-110
30
20
-0.98363-0.94936-0.91372
Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo Bills
40.1%
59.9%
+285
-320
+290
-320
+6½-108
-7+105
+7-110
-7+100
24
27
-0.29335-0.29008-0.51204
Washington Football Team
Philadelphia Eagles
12.6%
87.4%
-267
+250
-270
+250
-7+110
+7-120
-6½-110
+6½-110
20
14
-0.32725-0.32572-2.07338
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
40.0%
60.0%
+105
-120
+105
-118
+1+100
-1-114
+1-105
-1-110
7
18
-0.63709-0.64105-0.51101
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
41.0%
59.0%
-145
+129
-150
+135
-2½-118
+2½+101
-2½-110
+3-120
32
31
-0.54891-0.53234-0.89043
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.