NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Buffalo Bills
Arizona Cardinals
59.0%
41.0%
+135
-150
+135
-145
+3-110
-3-104
+3-110
-3+100
30
32
-0.53232-0.53929-0.89279
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
48.0%
52.0%
+165
-175
+165
-175
+3+110
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-120
12
37
-0.46283-0.46283-0.65395
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
77.8%
22.2%
-255
+230
-260
+240
-6-109
+6-103
-6-110
+6½-110
46
23
-0.34582-0.33680-0.25148
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
74.6%
25.4%
-210
+195
-216
+190
-4½-105
+4½-108
-4½-110
+4½-110
17
27
-1.10630-1.10669-1.36865
Jacksonville Jaguars
Green Bay Packers
16.9%
83.1%
+720
-970
+750
-930
+13½-109
-13½-105
+13½-110
-13½-110
20
24
-0.11395-0.11358-0.18474
Houston Texans
Cleveland Browns
35.8%
64.2%
+195
-220
+210
-216
+4½-105
-4½-109
+5-110
-4½-110
7
10
-0.39414-0.38496-0.44354
Washington Football Team
Detroit Lions
30.9%
69.1%
+123
-134
+125
-140
+2½+100
-3+115
+3-120
-2½-110
27
30
-0.57606-0.56308-0.36894
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
52.7%
47.3%
-115
+100
-110
+105
-1-109
+0-103
+0-110
+1½-110
34
17
-0.65886-0.65778-0.64061
New England Patriots
New York Jets
71.7%
28.3%
-420
+350
-400
+350
-10½+115
+9½-114
-9½-105
+9½-110
30
27
-0.23227-0.23713-0.33257
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
48.2%
51.8%
+165
-175
+160
-170
+3+105
-3-119
+3½-110
-3-115
38
3
-0.99290-0.97421-0.73031
Miami Dolphins
Arizona Cardinals
32.7%
67.3%
+220
-245
+230
-260
+6-105
-7+120
+6-110
-6-110
34
31
-1.20005-1.23650-1.11929
Pittsburgh Steelers
Dallas Cowboys
40.8%
59.2%
-825
+675
-820
+700
-14-103
+15-130
-14-105
+14-110
24
19
-0.12621-0.12426-0.89575
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
33.4%
66.6%
-116
+105
-115
+105
-1-109
+0+102
-1-110
+1½-110
31
26
-0.64508-0.64714-1.09584
New York Giants
Washington Football Team
55.0%
45.0%
+145
-158
+150
-160
+2½+115
-3-107
+3-110
-3-105
23
20
-0.92160-0.93570-0.59769
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
61.5%
38.5%
-300
+260
-290
+256
-7½+125
+6½+101
-6½-110
+6½+100
27
25
-0.30638-0.31288-0.48589
Carolina Panthers
Kansas City Chiefs
9.4%
90.6%
+430
-500
+400
-472
+10-109
-11+113
+10-105
-10-105
31
33
-0.19561-0.20753-0.09926
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.