NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Buffalo Bills
Tennessee Titans
51.6%
48.4%
-165
+150
-159
+140
-3-109
+3½-120
-3-105
+3-110
16
42
-0.94500-0.91282-0.72668
Los Angeles Chargers
New Orleans Saints
25.5%
74.5%
+280
-330
+285
-335
+7-109
-7½+115
+7-110
-7-110
27
30
-0.28483-0.28079-0.29491
Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks
38.1%
61.9%
+270
-290
+255
-290
+7-120
-7+110
+6½-110
-6½-110
26
27
-0.30563-0.31341-0.48015
Indianapolis Colts
Cleveland Browns
56.6%
43.4%
-103
-115
+115
-120
+0-103
-1-104
+2-110
-1-110
23
32
-0.66602-0.61587-0.83441
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
17.3%
82.7%
+320
-345
+310
-340
+7½-105
-7½-104
+7½-110
-7½+100
34
37
-0.26320-0.26864-0.18987
Miami Dolphins
San Francisco 49ers
12.6%
87.4%
+315
-380
+320
-353
+8½-115
-9½+105
+8-110
-7½+100
43
17
-1.49326-1.47220-2.06989
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
8.8%
91.2%
+550
-700
+600
-670
+12½-109
-13½+105
+12½-110
-11½-110
3
27
-0.15015-0.14660-0.09161
Philadelphia Eagles
Pittsburgh Steelers
47.0%
53.0%
+300
-360
+320
-360
+7½-105
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7½+100
29
38
-0.26617-0.25843-0.63543
Arizona Cardinals
New York Jets
55.7%
44.3%
-310
+275
-310
+280
-7½+115
+7-110
-6½-110
+7-110
30
10
-0.29476-0.29240-0.58519
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
28.7%
71.3%
+245
-285
+249
-280
+6½-108
-7+110
+6½-110
-6½-110
14
30
-0.32131-0.32136-0.33799
Los Angeles Rams
Washington Football Team
71.6%
28.4%
-345
+290
-330
+300
-7-109
+7½-120
-7-110
+7+100
30
10
-0.27519-0.27612-0.33427
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
12.4%
87.6%
+430
-500
+415
-490
+10½-109
-11½+105
+10½-110
-10-110
40
32
-1.72783-1.70468-2.08828
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
27.8%
72.2%
+130
-145
+135
-135
+2½+100
-2½-114
+3-120
-2-110
23
16
-0.86401-0.85442-1.27913
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Chicago Bears
66.4%
33.6%
-190
+185
-190
+175
-3½-109
+4-105
-3½-105
+3½-110
19
20
-1.05596-1.03778-1.09118
Atlanta Falcons
Green Bay Packers
36.1%
63.9%
+200
-222
+200
-220
+6-115
-5-109
+5½-110
-5-110
16
30
-0.38852-0.38995-0.44787
New England Patriots
Kansas City Chiefs
28.0%
72.0%
+520
-660
+525
-610
+12-110
-13½+110
+11½-110
-11-110
10
26
-0.15833-0.16301-0.32920
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.