NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Denver Broncos
69.1%
30.9%
-250
+260
-250
+230
-6-108
+6½-105
-6-110
+6-110
28
10
-0.33094-0.34866-0.36894
Detroit Lions
Arizona Cardinals
35.5%
64.5%
+205
-220
+210
-223
+5-110
-5-104
+5½-110
-5-110
26
23
-1.13887-1.15173-1.03491
Carolina Panthers
Los Angeles Chargers
27.0%
73.0%
+240
-265
+240
-260
+6-109
-6-104
+6½-110
-6-110
21
16
-1.25860-1.25194-1.30815
New York Jets
Indianapolis Colts
21.4%
78.6%
+475
-610
+500
-620
+11½-105
-13+108
+12-110
-11½-110
7
36
-0.17124-0.16579-0.24101
Chicago Bears
Atlanta Falcons
40.5%
59.5%
+120
-133
+120
-135
+2½+102
-2½-109
+2½+100
-2½-110
30
26
-0.81676-0.82089-0.90288
Cincinnati Bengals
Philadelphia Eagles
15.5%
84.5%
+205
-229
+205
-230
+6-115
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-110
23
23
-0.76598-0.76638-1.01743
Washington Football Team
Cleveland Browns
21.0%
79.0%
+280
-320
+296
-330
+7-105
-7½+110
+7-105
-7-110
20
34
-0.28852-0.27778-0.23571
Tennessee Titans
Minnesota Vikings
39.2%
60.8%
-143
+130
-145
+135
-2½-113
+3-120
-2½-110
+2½+100
31
30
-0.55017-0.53931-0.93532
San Francisco 49ers
New York Giants
82.2%
17.8%
-155
+140
-160
+145
-3-109
+3-109
-3-110
+3+100
36
9
-0.51822-0.50483-0.19619
Houston Texans
Pittsburgh Steelers
25.1%
74.9%
+175
-190
+175
-190
+4-109
-4-109
+4-110
-4-110
21
28
-0.43731-0.43731-0.28859
Los Angeles Rams
Buffalo Bills
34.9%
65.1%
+113
-128
+125
-130
+2½-110
-1½-114
+2½-110
-2-110
32
35
-0.60521-0.57912-0.42905
Las Vegas Raiders
New England Patriots
22.5%
77.5%
+280
-325
+270
-300
+7-105
-7-104
+7-110
-6½-115
20
36
-0.28664-0.30128-0.25529
Miami Dolphins
Jacksonville Jaguars
54.6%
45.4%
+125
-137
+130
-140
+3-120
-2½-109
+3-115
-2½-110
31
13
-0.83658-0.85397-0.60492
New Orleans Saints
Las Vegas Raiders
75.0%
25.0%
-200
+185
-190
+176
-4-109
+4½-110
-3½-110
+4-110
24
34
-1.07262-1.03965-1.38434
New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks
42.6%
57.4%
+190
-205
+195
-210
+4½-109
-4½-105
+5-110
-4½-110
30
35
-0.41000-0.40164-0.55478
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers
74.0%
26.0%
-410
+350
-375
+360
-10+105
+9½-105
-9-110
+9½-110
23
20
-0.23465-0.24075-0.30109
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.