NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers
38.4%
61.6%
+195
-190
+195
-200
+4½-109
-4½-105
+5-110
-4½-110
23
28
-0.41840-0.40970-0.48381
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
30.5%
69.5%
+420
-460
+410
-500
+10-109
-11½+115
+10-110
-10+100
31
51
-0.20511-0.20012-0.36399
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens
18.0%
82.0%
+400
-470
+400
-450
+10-108
-11+110
+10-110
-10-110
28
12
-1.67280-1.65595-1.71274
Minnesota Vikings
San Francisco 49ers
32.1%
67.9%
+275
-330
+295
-310
+7-104
-7½+105
+7+100
-7-110
10
27
-0.28716-0.28572-0.38688
Seattle Seahawks
Philadelphia Eagles
53.8%
46.2%
-102
+105
-105
+100
+1-107
+1½-110
+1-110
+1-110
17
9
-0.67615-0.68102-0.61934
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
35.4%
64.6%
+300
-355
+325
-350
+8-115
-7-109
+7½-115
-7-110
26
20
-1.44864-1.47513-1.03801
Tennessee Titans
New England Patriots
20.2%
79.8%
+200
-210
+195
-230
+5-105
-4½-111
+5-110
-5-110
20
13
-1.11489-1.13631-1.59964
Buffalo Bills
Houston Texans
47.9%
52.1%
+127
-135
+130
-135
+1+108
-3+110
+3-125
-2½-110
19
22
-0.56745-0.56238-0.65187
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
58.7%
41.3%
-170
+165
-175
+160
-3½+100
+3+105
-3½+100
+3½-110
26
21
-0.46818-0.46861-0.53304
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
29.1%
70.9%
+200
-225
+200
-210
+5½-110
-4½-109
+5-110
-4-110
15
16
-0.38641-0.39742-0.34328
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
9.0%
91.0%
+255
-280
+275
-275
+7-110
-7½+120
+7-110
-6½-110
24
31
-0.31803-0.31016-0.09470
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
26.0%
74.0%
-125
+117
-120
+110
-2-109
+1+108
-1½-110
+2-110
10
28
-0.79266-0.76492-0.30071
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
68.7%
31.3%
-200
+185
-200
+180
-4-104
+4-105
-3½-105
+4-110
34
17
-0.41872-0.42349-0.37551
Washington Football Team
Dallas Cowboys
12.3%
87.7%
+475
-625
+550
-650
+12½-104
-13½+105
+12½-110
-12-110
16
47
-0.16951-0.15501-0.13173
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
61.3%
38.7%
-240
+210
-240
+220
-5-115
+6-115
-5½-110
+5½-110
20
38
-1.17652-1.19300-0.94951
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
47.9%
52.1%
-440
+355
-425
+370
-10½+105
+10-105
-9-110
+10-110
35
14
-0.22626-0.22518-0.73505
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.