NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Eagles
Miami Dolphins
80.9%
19.1%
-515
+435
-520
+425
-11½+105
+10½-110
-10-110
+10-110
31
37
-1.74434-1.73790-1.65700
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
40.8%
59.2%
-113
+105
+110
+100
+0-110
+1-105
-1-110
+1½-110
31
17
-0.65131-0.71726-0.89735
San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Ravens
46.6%
53.4%
+220
-245
+220
-235
+6+100
-5½-109
+6-110
-6+100
17
20
-0.35836-0.36456-0.62710
Washington Football Team
Carolina Panthers
10.9%
89.1%
+440
-515
+475
-575
+10½-105
-11½+105
+10½-110
-10½-110
29
21
-1.74933-1.82616-2.21935
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
85.0%
15.0%
-285
+275
-300
+260
-7½+125
+7-110
-6½-110
+6½-105
31
13
-0.30545-0.30638-0.16214
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
72.8%
27.2%
-340
+300
-340
+295
-7-109
+7½-105
-7-110
+7+100
26
18
-0.27265-0.27473-0.31686
Buffalo Bills
Dallas Cowboys
28.1%
71.9%
+255
-285
+270
-300
+6½-104
-7+105
+6½+100
-6½-110
26
15
-1.30671-1.34657-1.26961
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
62.5%
37.5%
-245
+225
-255
+220
-5½-108
+6½-115
-5½-110
+6-110
24
20
-0.35493-0.35254-0.46991
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Rams
50.7%
49.3%
-167
+170
-170
+150
-3½+105
+4-115
-3½+100
+3+100
45
6
-0.46593-0.48644-0.67940
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers
34.4%
65.6%
+160
-155
+150
-165
+3+106
-3-120
+3+100
-3½+100
8
37
-0.49166-0.49213-0.42100
Dallas Cowboys
New England Patriots
25.7%
74.3%
+220
-240
+220
-220
+6-115
-5½-107
+6-110
-5½-110
9
13
-0.36141-0.37469-0.29734
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
46.9%
53.1%
+190
-215
+195
-210
+4½-105
-4½-109
+4½-110
-4-110
20
42
-0.40602-0.40164-0.63232
Seattle Seahawks
Philadelphia Eagles
51.5%
48.5%
-110
+105
-120
+105
+0-110
+2-110
-1-110
+2-110
17
9
-0.65778-0.63711-0.66382
Detroit Lions
Washington Football Team
70.0%
30.0%
-190
+180
-200
+180
-4-107
+4-109
-4-110
+4-110
16
19
-1.04700-1.06352-1.20514
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
54.8%
45.2%
+165
-175
+165
-175
+4-115
-3½+100
+3½-115
-3½+100
35
22
-0.99290-0.99290-0.60168
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
29.9%
70.1%
+430
-500
+425
-540
+10-110
-11+110
+10-110
-10+100
31
34
-0.19561-0.19039-0.35488
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.