NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+105
-120
+107
-125
+1-104
-1-110
+1½-108
-1½-108
13.9
24.6
38.5
o36-110
u36-110
o35½-110
u36-110
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
+110
-130
+105
-120
+1+100
-2-105
+1½-110
-1-108
15.7
22.5
38.2
o43½-110
u43½-110
o43½-110
u43½-110
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-130
+115
-130
+120
-2-110
+2-105
-2-108
+2½-110
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46-113
u46-105
o46-110
u46-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+250
-290
+250
-285
+6½-105
-6½-114
+6½-108
-6½-108
21.3
28.4
49.7
o38½-110
u39½-110
o39-110
u39½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+128
-145
+131
-150
+2½-101
-2½-115
+2½+104
-2½-110
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49½-105
u49-105
o49½-110
u49½-110
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+240
-280
+264
-310
+6½-110
-6½-105
+6½+100
-6½-110
15.2
30.7
45.9
o41-110
u41-110
o41-110
u41-110
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+125
-145
+130
-140
+2½+100
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-108
23.4
21.3
44.7
o38½-110
u38-105
o37½-110
u38-110
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+200
-240
+210
-220
+5-105
-5-110
+5-110
-4½-108
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+185
-215
+195
-215
+4½-110
-4½-106
+4½-108
-4½-108
23.2
29.9
53.1
o41-115
u41½-110
o41½-110
u42½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-145
+135
-145
+130
-2½-120
+2½+105
-3+100
+3-110
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-115
-105
-115
+100
-1-105
+1-110
-1-108
+1-108
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47½-115
u48-110
o48-110
u48½-110
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-290
+250
-280
+260
-6-115
+7-125
-6½-108
+7-120
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43-115
u43½-110
o43-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-165
+145
-155
+145
-3-110
+3½-123
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46½-110
u46½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
Philadelphia Eagles
50.6%
49.4%
+215
-250
+210
-235
+5½-110
-5½-110
+5½-108
-5-110
22
21
-1.17866-1.15518-0.68090
Chicago Bears
Houston Texans
51.8%
48.2%
+250
-300
+245
-280
+6½-110
-6-115
+6½-108
-6½-108
13
19
-0.32277-0.33173-0.72967
Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos
75.9%
24.1%
-148
+130
-145
+135
-2½-117
+3-120
-2½-118
+3-110
13
6
-0.54728-0.54173-0.27552
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
7.6%
92.4%
+240
-285
+250
-265
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½-105
-6½-108
25
26
-0.33455-0.33183-0.07945
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
53.1%
46.9%
-115
-105
-108
-108
+0-110
+0-105
+0-108
+0-108
10
41
-0.71505-0.69315-0.75745
New York Giants
Washington Football Team
38.6%
61.4%
+107
-120
+110
-120
+1-103
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-108
18
21
-0.63429-0.62755-0.48765
New York Jets
Tennessee Titans
12.9%
87.1%
-195
+170
-180
+175
-4-103
+4-110
-3½+102
+4-110
24
17
-0.44488-0.44830-2.04608
Seattle Seahawks
New England Patriots
63.8%
36.2%
-160
+140
-160
+145
-3-112
+3-105
-3-108
+3-105
23
20
-0.51706-0.50878-0.44943
San Francisco 49ers
Minnesota Vikings
46.5%
53.5%
-205
+180
-200
+176
-4-110
+4-105
-4-108
+4½-110
17
23
-1.05849-1.04381-0.62554
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars
78.1%
21.9%
+145
-165
+150
-160
+3+105
-3-114
+3-105
-3-108
18
13
-0.92644-0.93156-0.24691
Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay Packers
35.5%
64.5%
-135
+120
-130
+120
-2-117
+2½-105
-2-108
+2½-110
10
16
-0.81706-0.80802-0.43906
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
78.4%
21.6%
+290
-360
+320
-350
+8-110
-7½-113
+8-108
-7½-110
20
16
-1.39926-1.45081-0.24287
New Orleans Saints
Dallas Cowboys
78.3%
21.7%
+230
-275
+253
-270
+6+105
-6½-106
+6½-105
-6½-108
44
19
-1.22963-1.27422-0.24405
Los Angeles Chargers
Carolina Panthers
43.6%
56.4%
-215
+185
-200
+200
-4-113
+4½-105
-4½-108
+5-110
26
3
-0.41480-0.40546-0.82986
Las Vegas Raiders
Baltimore Ravens
22.6%
77.4%
+390
-480
+375
-400
+8½-105
-9+100
+9-110
-8-108
26
23
-1.62040-1.56858-1.48811
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
60.2%
39.8%
+125
-145
+125
-134
+2½-105
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-108
31
10
-0.84658-0.82789-0.50692
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks167-9 (0.438)0-0.81295 
Sportsbooks167-8 (0.469)1-0.80929 
DRatings1611-5 (0.688)0-0.63309
0.17986
0.17620

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.