NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 15, 2026

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0)
Minnesota Wild (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
60.4%
39.6%




3.30
2.27
5.57


Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Anaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
24.4%
75.6%
+144
-155
+152
-160
+1½-175
-1½+200
+1½-160
-1½+157
2
3
-0.51537-0.49765-0.28031
Buffalo Sabres
Montreal Canadiens
32.2%
67.8%
+200
-146
+135
-144
+1½+105
-1½+174
+1½-180
-1½+175
3
2
-1.02262-0.86998-1.13230
Colorado Avalanche
Minnesota Wild
60.4%
39.6%
-152
+315
-146
+139
-1½+174
+1½+135
-1½+170
+1½-190
5
2
-0.33610-0.53357-0.50455
Vegas Golden Knights
Anaheim Ducks
71.1%
28.9%
+107
+270
+112
-115
+1½-250
+1½+120
+1½-245
-1½+215
3
4
-1.02513-0.63228-1.24005
Buffalo Sabres
Montreal Canadiens
32.2%
67.8%
+110
-115
+120
-125
+1½-215
-1½+215
+1½-225
-1½+205
2
6
-0.63673-0.59784-0.38904
Colorado Avalanche
Minnesota Wild
60.4%
39.6%
-129
+600
-125
+115
-1½+185
+1½-217
-1½+190
+1½-195
1
5
-1.59800-0.78592-0.92579
Carolina Hurricanes
Philadelphia Flyers
60.0%
40.0%
-195
+173
-190
+178
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+145
+1½-150
3
2
-0.44093-0.43764-0.51049
Vegas Golden Knights
Anaheim Ducks
71.1%
28.9%
-111
+142
-105
+100
-1½+219
+1½-175
-1½+222
+1½-250
6
2
-0.57969-0.68116-0.34160
Montreal Canadiens
Buffalo Sabres
62.6%
37.4%
+175
-129
+118
-128
+1½-105
-1½+192
+1½-205
-1½+190
5
1
-0.93575-0.79924-0.46909
Carolina Hurricanes
Philadelphia Flyers
60.0%
40.0%
-163
+950
-155
+145
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-175
4
1
-0.14295-0.51371-0.51049
Anaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
24.4%
75.6%
+290
-150
+140
-150
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
1
-1.20597-0.89199-1.40874
Montreal Canadiens
Buffalo Sabres
62.6%
37.4%
+130
-142
+122
-132
+1½-220
-1½+186
+1½-195
-1½+190
2
4
-0.55443-0.58316-0.98235
Minnesota Wild
Colorado Avalanche
34.3%
65.7%
+325
-197
+175
-190
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
2
5
-0.30359-0.44150-0.41963
Anaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
24.4%
75.6%
+163
-165
+155
-165
+1½-140
-1½+151
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
3
-0.47665-0.48848-0.28031
Philadelphia Flyers
Carolina Hurricanes
34.6%
65.4%
+475
-255
+230
-252
+1½-127
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+105
2
3
-0.21681-0.35297-0.42477
Minnesota Wild
Colorado Avalanche
34.3%
65.7%
+173
-198
+175
-195
+1½-110
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+135
6
9
-0.43909-0.43833-0.41963
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.76900 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.68382 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.70630
0.06269
-0.02249

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.