MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Unknown
Unknown
46.4%
53.6%




4.32
4.70
9.02


Games for Jul 15, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
51.2%
48.8%
+135
-149
+133
-141
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
10.11
o9½-110
u9½-106
o9½-110
u9½-105
8th
TOP
2
8
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
55.1%
44.9%
+110
-121
+114
-110
+1½-185
-1½+170

9.88
o9½+100
u9½-117
o9-115
u9½-120
9th
TOP
4
3
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
42.1%
57.9%
-128
+116
-125
+115
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
8.94
o9-107
u9-110
o9-110
u9½-120
9th
TOP
8
4
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
39.2%
60.8%
+135
-149
+134
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+158
8.99
o8-105
u8-114
o7½-120
u7½+105
9th
TOP
8
2
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
55.8%
44.2%
+119
-131
+120
-115
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+185
8.97
o7-110
u7-105
o7-115
u7+100
9th
TOP
5
0
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
47.9%
52.1%
-111
+101
-104
-102


8.77
o7½-116
u8-120
o7½-115
u8-105
8th
BOT
4
1
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
49.7%
50.3%
-109
-101
-107
+100
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-160
9.71
o8-105
u8-110
o8+100
u8½-120
FINAL
FINAL
3
2
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
48.4%
51.6%
+116
-128
+118
-124
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-172
-1½+160
10.89
o9-123
u9½-125
o9-120
u8½+105
8th
TOP
2
3
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
45.6%
54.4%
+136
-150
+136
-115
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+170
9.66
o9-105
u9-113
o9-105
u9+100
8th
TOP
1
9
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
51.7%
48.3%
+117
-129
+119
-127
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
8.52
o7½-105
u7½-106
o7½-115
u8½-120
6th
BOT
3
1
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
62.6%
37.4%
+125
-138
+128
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+158
9.54
o9-109
u9-110
o8½-105
u9-110
6th
TOP
1
4
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
38.1%
61.9%
+134
-148
+135
-140
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+143
9.58
o9-125
u9½-115
o8½-120
u9½-120
1st
BOT
1
0
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
33.5%
66.5%
+200
-223
+195
-217
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
8.77
o9½-105
u9½-114
o9½+100
u9½-110
1st
TOP
0
0
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
46.7%
53.3%
-126
+114
-119
+112
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
8.93
o8½-120
u8½+100
o9+100
u8½+100
1st
TOP
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
29.2%
70.8%
+155
-169
+160
-170
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+127
4
3
-0.95628-0.96964-1.22987
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
47.5%
52.5%
+109
-119
+112
-118
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+176
0
5
-0.63156-0.62672-0.64422
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
-127
+117
-124
+120
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+126
+1½-135
3
0
-0.60086-0.59946-0.85802
Chicago White Sox
New York Mets
50.8%
49.2%
+144
-157
+151
-160
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-136
-1½+126
6
2
-0.91250-0.93397-0.67686
San Diego Padres
Toronto Blue Jays
47.0%
53.0%
-116
+106
-114
+106
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+148
+1½-159
0
4
-0.74492-0.74068-0.63450
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
53.9%
46.1%
-107
-103
+100
-102

+1½-192
-1½+175
4
0
-0.68389-0.69808-0.61728
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
51.1%
48.9%
-105
-105
+105
-108


1
5
-0.69315-0.66240-0.71631
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
40.1%
59.9%
+182
-200
+180
-195
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+105
5
7
-0.42652-0.43197-0.51294
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
48.2%
51.8%
+133
-145
+138
-146
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+143
6
3
-0.86669-0.88068-0.72967
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
45.7%
54.3%
-150
+138
-148
+140
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-130
3
2
-0.53079-0.52957-0.78375
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
45.0%
55.0%
+134
-146
+140
-145
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+145
3
8
-0.54235-0.53299-0.59840
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
35.4%
64.6%
+198
-220
+203
-225
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-125
5
3
-1.11474-1.13066-1.03962
Chicago White Sox
New York Mets
41.1%
58.9%
+179
-197
+190
-200
+1½-125
-1½+108
+1½-120
-1½+110
1
5
-0.43201-0.41690-0.52890
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
46.9%
53.1%
-101
-109
+105
-113

-1½+157
+1½-160
2
3
-0.67472-0.65204-0.63262
San Diego Padres
Toronto Blue Jays
51.2%
48.8%
+111
-121
+113
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
2
0
-0.76791-0.76048-0.66873
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
52.6%
47.4%
-127
+122
-130
+131
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-115
3
7
-0.80737-0.83536-0.74680
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.72490 
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.72303 
DRatings94-5 (0.444)0-0.74285
-0.01795
-0.01982

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.