MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Griffin Jax
Jake Bennett
48.5%
51.5%
+112
-123
+115
-120
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
4.65
4.81
9.46
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-105
-105
-105
+100
-1½+148
+1½-165

4.29
4.65
8.94
o9-115
u9-103
o9-120
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.5%
51.5%
+105
-110
+100
-110
+1½-200
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+185
4.65
4.81
9.46
o8-115
u8½-105
o9-110
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+114
-126
+115
-122
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.92
4.97
8.89
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+184
-205
+185
-200
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-119
-1½+100
4.31
5.80
10.11
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+129
-142
+130
-140
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-165
-1½+145
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+128
-141
+125
-135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+138
5.48
5.48
10.96
o10½-110
u10½-105
o10½-110
u10½-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
+100
-110
+100
-110
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-110
+100
-110
+100
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-160
5.15
4.71
9.86
o10½-105
u10+105
o10-115
u10+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
+101
-111
+103
-110
+1½-190
-1½+165

5.10
4.93
10.03
o12-112
u12-105
o12-105
u12-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-113
+103
-107
+100
-1½+151
+1½-172
-1½+152
+1½-170
4.23
5.19
9.42
o8-120
u8½-115
o8-110
u8+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
-106
-114
-104
-105
-1½+160
+1½-185

4.26
4.03
8.29
o9-115
u9-105
o9-110
u9+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-105
-105
-103
-105


4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-110
u10-105
o10-110
u10-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+139
-154
+140
-150
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+147
4.62
4.15
8.77
o7-122
u7+105
o7-110
u7+100
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
44.8%
55.2%
+133
-143
+136
-143
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+138
4
5
-0.54771-0.54235-0.59468
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
51.6%
48.4%
-138
+130
-132
+126
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+127
+1½-135
0
1
-0.84742-0.82675-0.72511
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
70.2%
29.8%
-182
+172
-185
+177
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½-105
0
2
-1.01357-1.02893-1.21150
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.2%
45.8%
+102
-111
+106
-110


3
2
-0.72400-0.73191-0.61236
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
46.1%
53.9%
-113
+106
-117
+110
-1½+141
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
5
10
-0.73854-0.75717-0.61798
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
53.9%
46.1%
-160
+153
-159
+152
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-119
5
1
-0.49610-0.49860-0.61793
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
43.3%
56.7%
+140
-146
+145
-142
+1½-156
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+145
5
4
-0.88557-0.89101-0.83729
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
40.9%
59.1%
-230
+216
-230
+215
-1½-135
+1½+129
-1½-130
+1½+116
9
5
-0.37436-0.37533-0.89289
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
55.8%
44.2%
-119
+118
-115
+110
-1½+125
+1½-136
-1½+130
+1½-138
3
0
-0.61205-0.63673-0.58422
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
50.2%
49.8%
-119
+112
-118
+120
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-145
1
4
-0.76638-0.78428-0.69701
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
50.6%
49.4%
+161
-170
+160
-170
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-143
-1½+125
3
5
-0.47531-0.47678-0.70449
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
27.1%
72.9%
+280
-310
+276
-300
+1½+140
-1½-150
+1½+145
-1½-155
6
1
-1.35406-1.34025-1.30671
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
50.8%
49.2%
-135
+126
-134
+126
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-128
6
1
-0.57111-0.57251-0.67690
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
39.6%
60.4%
-205
+190
-210
+201
-1½-120
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
1
2
-1.08152-1.11155-0.50352
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
40.2%
59.8%
+122
-131
+124
-131
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
0
1
-0.58462-0.58066-0.51425
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
36.4%
63.6%
+118
-127
+120
-127
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
2
-0.79735-0.80236-1.00928
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.74701 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.76430 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.76778
-0.02077
-0.00348

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.