MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-111
+101
-105
+100
-1½+145
+1½-160

4.29
4.65
8.94
o9-115
u9-103
o9-120
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.5%
51.5%
+100
-110
+105
-108
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+190
4.65
4.81
9.46
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+113
-125
+115
-122
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.92
4.97
8.89
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+117
-129
+124
-130
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+184
-205
+185
-200
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+100
4.31
5.80
10.11
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+131
-145
+141
-144
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+143
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-105
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+130
-143
+130
-135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+138
5.48
5.48
10.96
o11-105
u11-112
o10½-110
u11-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
+101
-111
+100
-110
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-116
+105
-115
+105
-1½+139
+1½-150
-1½+143
+1½-157
5.15
4.71
9.86
o10-110
u10+100
o10-115
u10+100
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
+101
-111
+102
-110
+1½-188
-1½+165

5.10
4.93
10.03
o12-110
u12-108
o12-105
u12-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-110
+100
-107
+100
-1½+151
+1½-172
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.23
5.19
9.42
o8-120
u8½-115
o8-110
u8+105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Michael McGreevy
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
-108
-102
-108
-102


4.26
4.03
8.29
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-130
+118
-110
+122
-1½+125
+1½-143

4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-110
u10-105
o10-110
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+167
-185
+170
-160
+1½-136
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
4.62
4.15
8.77
o7-122
u7+105
o7-110
u7+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
48.5%
51.5%
+101
-111
+108
-111
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+175
9.46
o8-120
u8+100
o8½-105
u8½-110
2nd
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
34.2%
65.8%
+178
-188
+181
-190
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-127
-1½+120
3
5
-0.43892-0.43383-0.41825
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
55.0%
45.0%
-153
+143
-150
+150
-1½+105
+1½-121
-1½+106
+1½-120
11
5
-0.51909-0.51083-0.59787
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
49.7%
50.3%
+111
-115
+108
-113
+1½-195
-1½+185

1
2
-0.63448-0.64512-0.68804
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
51.8%
48.2%
-275
+253
-285
+260
-1½-170
+1½+160
-1½-170
+1½+165
7
2
-0.32664-0.31864-0.65799
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.3%
44.7%
-102
-107
+102
-107
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+195
2
0
-0.70492-0.71498-0.59175
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
50.0%
50.0%
-107
-103
-105
+102
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-170
3
4
-0.70249-0.71031-0.69361
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
51.3%
48.7%
+190
-208
+197
-205
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+110
0
1
-0.41252-0.40609-0.71900
New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers
44.3%
55.7%
+132
-140
+132
-133
+1½-172
-1½+160
+1½-173
-1½+170
1
4
-0.55326-0.56252-0.58602
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
47.8%
52.2%
+127
-135
+130
-130
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+155
6
7
-0.56920-0.57054-0.64926
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+238
-255
+240
-262
+1½+112
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
8
5
-1.23193-1.24150-0.83000
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
36.8%
63.2%
+270
-295
+278
-300
+1½+125
-1½-144
+1½+130
-1½-140
1
5
-0.30886-0.30213-0.45828
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.2%
42.8%
-145
+138
-145
+135
-1½+115
+1½-131
-1½+115
+1½-130
4
3
-0.53645-0.54173-0.55837
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
33.4%
66.6%
+114
-124
+121
-124
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+176
1
5
-0.61201-0.59740-0.40599
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
40.6%
59.4%
+126
-134
+127
-135
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
9
0
-0.83037-0.83466-0.90049
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
39.9%
60.1%
-125
+116
-121
+118
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
5
-0.78847-0.78553-0.50921
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
33.3%
66.7%
+148
-155
+147
-155
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
6
-0.50886-0.51046-0.40506
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.74701 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.76430 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.76778
-0.02077
-0.00348

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.