MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-109
-101
-105
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160

4.14
4.50
8.64
o9-113
u9-105
o9-120
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.5%
51.5%
+100
-110
+105
-108
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-210
-1½+190
4.65
4.81
9.46
o9-102
u9-118
o9-105
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+113
-125
+115
-122
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.89
4.94
8.83
o7½-105
u7½-114
o7½-110
u7½-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+117
-129
+124
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+184
-205
+185
-200
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+100
4.24
5.71
9.95
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+133
-147
+141
-144
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+143
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+130
-143
+130
-135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+138
5.48
5.48
10.96
o11-105
u11-110
o10½-110
u11-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
+101
-111
+100
-110
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-117
+106
-115
+105
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+143
+1½-157
4.99
4.53
9.52
o10-115
u10+100
o10-115
u10+100
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
+101
-111
+102
-110
+1½-185
-1½+165

5.66
5.49
11.15
o12-110
u12-105
o12-105
u12-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-110
+100
-107
+100
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.26
5.22
9.48
o8½-105
u8½-114
o8-110
u8+105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Michael McGreevy
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
-105
-105
-108
-102


4.26
4.03
8.29
o9+100
u9-120
o9-105
u9+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-130
+118
-110
+120
-1½+125
+1½-141

4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-110
u10-105
o10-110
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+163
-181
+170
-160
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
4.65
4.16
8.81
o7-120
u7+102
o7-110
u7+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
48.5%
51.5%
+101
-111
+108
-111
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+175
9.46
o8-120
u8+100
o8½-105
u8½-110
6th
BOT
0
6

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
46.8%
53.2%
+125
-131
+126
-130
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
1
-0.82241-0.82303-0.75929
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
48.2%
51.8%
+220
-240
+220
-240
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-115
1
5
-0.36652-0.36652-0.65763
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
42.4%
57.6%
+175
-185
+180
-185
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+120
1
5
-0.44482-0.43838-0.55080
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
53.8%
46.2%
-154
+148
-151
+145
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
+1½-123
5
0
-0.50986-0.51788-0.62058
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.6%
37.4%
-180
+174
-180
+171
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-103
12
3
-0.44962-0.45361-0.46789
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
43.2%
56.8%
-151
+145
-154
+148
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-123
7
8
-0.90580-0.91774-0.56514
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
46.3%
53.7%
+242
-260
+240
-260
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-128
5
6
-0.33994-0.34163-0.62101
New York Yankees
Milwaukee Brewers
50.1%
49.9%
-109
+102
-111
+104
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
6
7
-0.71953-0.72909-0.69483
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
35.7%
64.3%
+310
-340
+305
-345
+1½+135
-1½-149
+1½+140
-1½-145
0
5
-0.27432-0.27648-0.44133
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
37.7%
62.3%
+185
-195
+185
-194
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
2
7
-0.42580-0.42641-0.47258
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
61.0%
39.0%
-143
+133
-142
+138
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
3
-0.86339-0.87402-0.94140
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
51.0%
49.0%
+145
-150
+148
-151
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
4
-0.51896-0.51299-0.71390
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
37.8%
62.2%
+141
-150
+142
-150
+1½-159
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
3
-0.89446-0.89690-0.97315
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
38.3%
61.7%
+193
-210
+190
-205
+1½-102
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-110
1
2
-0.40801-0.41412-0.48279
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
35.4%
64.6%
+230
-240
+229
-255
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
4
-0.35718-0.35287-0.43663
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
32.1%
67.9%
+148
-155
+152
-160
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+125
3
6
-0.50886-0.49765-0.38749
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.74701 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.76430 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.76778
-0.02077
-0.00348

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.