MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Roki Sasaki
Gerrit Cole
46.5%
53.5%
-109
-101
-105
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160

4.14
4.50
8.64
o9-113
u9-105
o9-120
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.5%
51.5%
+100
-110
+105
-108
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-210
-1½+190
4.65
4.81
9.46
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+110
-121
+110
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.89
4.94
8.83
o7½-106
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Anthony Kay
Spencer Miles
46.6%
53.4%
+117
-129
+124
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
Chris Sale
35.9%
64.1%
+184
-205
+185
-200
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+100
4.24
5.71
9.95
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Sandy Alcantara
Logan Henderson
41.1%
58.9%
+133
-147
+141
-144
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+143
3.70
4.64
8.34
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Bailey Ober
Colin Rea
49.9%
50.1%
+129
-142
+130
-135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+138
5.48
5.48
10.96
o11-105
u11-110
o10½-110
u11-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Peter Lambert
31.0%
69.0%
+101
-111
+100
-110
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.73
5.68
9.41
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Mike King
Seth Lugo
54.3%
45.7%
-117
+106
-115
+108
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+143
+1½-150
4.99
4.53
9.52
o10-115
u10+100
o10-115
u10+100
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brady Singer
Gabriel Hughes
51.6%
48.4%
+101
-111
+102
-110
+1½-185
-1½+165

5.66
5.49
11.15
o12-110
u12-105
o12-105
u12-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Troy Melton
Reid Detmers
40.8%
59.2%
-110
+100
-107
+100
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.26
5.22
9.48
o8½-105
u8½-114
o8-110
u8+105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Michael McGreevy
Merrill Kelly
52.2%
47.8%
-106
-104
-108
-102


4.26
4.03
8.29
o9+100
u9-120
o9-105
u9+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cade Cavalli
Gage Jump
40.7%
59.3%
-130
+118
-110
+120
-1½+125
+1½-141

4.44
5.42
9.86
o10-110
u10-105
o10-110
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Landen Roupp
Bryce Miller
54.6%
45.4%
+163
-181
+170
-160
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
4.65
4.16
8.81
o7-120
u7+102
o7-110
u7+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
32.1%
67.9%
+148
-155
+152
-160
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+125
3
6
-0.50886-0.49765-0.38749
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
46.0%
54.0%
-123
+115
-123
+117
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
4
5
-0.78202-0.78704-0.61708
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
50.1%
49.9%
+112
-120
+116
-120
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
1
2
-0.62315-0.61452-0.69471
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.9%
39.1%
-153
+148
-157
+152
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-110
0
4
-0.91619-0.93194-0.93969
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
49.6%
50.4%
+248
-265
+250
-260
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-135
3
2
-1.26033-1.26068-0.70197
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
43.5%
56.5%
+155
-165
+155
-165
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
2
3
-0.48848-0.48848-0.57038
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
44.8%
55.2%
+262
-290
+263
-275
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-145
2
5
-0.31590-0.31893-0.59343
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
36.8%
63.2%
+225
-245
+230
-255
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-125
1
7
-0.35997-0.35197-0.45828
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
52.5%
47.5%
-123
+119
-124
+117
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+136
+1½-150
3
5
-0.79206-0.78902-0.74440
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
44.3%
55.7%
+124
-127
+120
-125
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+167
11
0
-0.81236-0.79851-0.81513
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
54.2%
45.8%
-143
+133
-141
+138
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
8
2
-0.54771-0.54125-0.61171
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
65.3%
34.7%
-117
+112
-122
+114
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
5
-0.76222-0.77751-1.05906
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+148
-155
+145
-150
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
8
7
-0.91925-0.90421-0.54239
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
55.4%
44.6%
-123
+114
-120
+116
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
1
4
-0.77949-0.77849-0.80650
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
46.8%
53.2%
+180
-190
+181
-194
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-110
-1½+110
0
4
-0.43510-0.43134-0.63025
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
-118
+115
-121
+116
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+130
+1½-140
5
3
-0.62019-0.61278-0.71707
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.70632 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.70672 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.71608
-0.00975
-0.00936

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.